← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 05, 2026 17:15
Frosinone
#2 · 81 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Padova
#10 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone
A. Raimondo 25'
F. Gelli (ast. I. Monterisi) 29'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Padova 7%). The final result was Frosinone 2–0 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
2
2.54
Actual xG
1.10
2
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Raimondo
25'
⚽F. Gelli · ast. I. Monterisi
29'
46'
L. Crisetig / J. Harder ↕
46'
A. Capelli / F. Belli ↕
58'
K. Varas / P. Fusi ↕
58'
G. Favale / P. Ghiglione ↕
62'
Lorenzo Crisetig
Francesco Gelli
69'
71'
A. Seghetti / F. Di Mariano ↕
↕ G. Kvernadze / A. Fiori
74'
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
74'
↕ A. Raimondo / M. Zilli
80'
↕ A. Oyono / J. Oyono
80'
↕ F. Gelli / G. Cittadini
87'
88'
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Pre-match prediction
81.22%
Frosinone ←
11.73%
X
7.06%
Padova
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 81.22% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
3.11
2.54
-0.57
Padova
0.69
1.10
+0.41
Frosinone dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22
L. Palmisani G 7.70
79 G. Bracaglia G. Bracaglia D 7.20
3
G. Calvani D 6.90
30
I. Monterisi 1 👟 D 8.30
20
A. Oyono 80' D 7.90
16
M. Cichella M 7.50
10
F. Gelli 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.50
14 G. Calò G. Calò M 7.70
17
G. Kvernadze 74' F 7.30
9 A. Raimondo A. Raimondo 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.30
7 F. Ghedjemis F. Ghedjemis 74' F 6.90
Bench
80
A. Fiori 16' F 6.20
2
G. Cittadini 10' D 6.60
28
M. Zilli 10' F 6.90
Padova Padova 3-5-2
22
G 8.50
5 M. Perrotta M. Perrotta D 6.90
55
L. Villa D 7.20
4
F. Belli 45' D 6.90
72
Carlo Faedo M 6.70
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 58' M 5.90
44
J. Harder 45' M 7.00
23
L. Di Maggio M 6.30
18
P. Ghiglione 58' M 6.30
77
F. Di Mariano 71' F 7.30
15
F 7.30
Bench
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli 45' M 6.30
11
A. Seghetti 19' F 6.20
32
F. Sgarbi D
30
G. Favale 32' D 6.90
86
G. Giunti M
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo 32' M 6.30
6
Lorenzo Crisetig 45' M 6.90
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi F
Best on the pitch
F. Gelli
M · Frosinone
8.50
1 ⚽
5 shots · 40 pass
G · Padova
8.50
· 32 pass
I. Monterisi
D · Frosinone
8.30
1 👟
· 55 pass
A. Oyono
D · Frosinone
7.90
1 shots · 42 pass
L. Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.70
· 27 pass
G. Calò
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
7.70
· 74 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Palmisani G 90 7.70 — — — 27 10% — — —
G. Bracaglia D 90 7.20 — — 1 44 36% — — —
G. Calvani D 90 6.90 — — — 34 23% — — —
I. Monterisi D 90 8.30 — 1 — 55 46% 2 — —
A. Oyono D 80 7.90 — — 1 42 37% — — —
M. Cichella M 90 7.50 — — 1 35 29% 4 — —
F. Gelli M 87 8.50 1 — 5 40 32% 3 1 —
G. Calò M 90 7.70 — — — 74 61% — — —
G. Kvernadze F 74 7.30 — — 1 21 18% 3 — —
A. Raimondo F 80 7.30 1 — 5 10 5% — — —
F. Ghedjemis F 74 6.90 — — 1 19 14% — — —
A. Fiori F 16 6.20 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
G. Cittadini D 10 6.60 — — — 3 2% — — —
M. Zilli F 10 6.90 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.50 — — — 32 8% — — —
M. Perrotta D 90 6.90 — — 1 25 22% — — —
L. Villa D 90 7.20 — — 1 23 18% 7 — —
F. Belli D 45 6.90 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Carlo Faedo M 90 6.70 — — — 22 15% 3 — —
P. Fusi M 58 5.90 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
J. Harder M 45 7.00 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
L. Di Maggio M 90 6.30 — — — 21 12% 2 — —
P. Ghiglione M 58 6.30 — — 1 14 11% 2 — —
F. Di Mariano F 71 7.30 — — 1 8 3% — — —
F 90 7.30 — — 3 15 10% 2 — —
A. Capelli M 45 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
A. Seghetti F 19 6.20 — — — — — — — —
G. Favale D 32 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
Kevin Varas Marcillo M 32 6.30 — — — 9 8% — 1 —
Lorenzo Crisetig M 45 6.90 — — — 23 16% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Padova?
The final score was Frosinone 2–0 Padova.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Padova?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Frosinone win, 11% to a draw, and 7% to an Padova win.