✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone
A. Raimondo
25'
F. Gelli
(ast. I. Monterisi)
29'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Padova 7%). The final result was Frosinone 2–0 Padova. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Padova.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
2
2.54
Actual xG
1.10
2
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Raimondo
25'
⚽F. Gelli
· ast. I. Monterisi
29'
46'
L. Crisetig
/
J. Harder
46'
A. Capelli
/
F. Belli
58'
K. Varas
/
P. Fusi
58'
G. Favale
/
P. Ghiglione
62'
Lorenzo Crisetig
Francesco Gelli
69'
71'
A. Seghetti
/
F. Di Mariano
G. Kvernadze
/ A. Fiori
74'
F. Ghedjemis
/ S. Fini
74'
A. Raimondo
/ M. Zilli
80'
A. Oyono
/ J. Oyono
80'
F. Gelli
/ G. Cittadini
87'
88'
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Pre-match prediction
81.22%
Frosinone ←
11.73%
X
7.06%
Padova
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone)
81.22%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
2.54
-0.57
0.69
1.10
+0.41
Frosinone dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.10).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
L. Palmisani
G
L. Palmisani
G
79
G. Bracaglia
D
G. Bracaglia
D
3
G. Calvani
D
G. Calvani
D
30
I. Monterisi
1 👟
D
I. Monterisi
1 👟
D
20
A. Oyono
80'
D
A. Oyono
80'
D
16
Matteo Cichella
M
Matteo Cichella
M
10
F. Gelli
1 ⚽
87'
M
14
G. Calò
M
G. Calò
M
17
G. Kvernadze
74'
F
G. Kvernadze
74'
F
9
A. Raimondo
1 ⚽
80'
F
A. Raimondo
1 ⚽
80'
F
7
F. Ghedjemis
74'
F
F. Ghedjemis
74'
F
Bench
80
A. Fiori
16'
F
A. Fiori
16'
F
2
G. Cittadini
10'
D
G. Cittadini
10'
D
28
M. Zilli
10'
F
22
G
5
Marco Perrotta
D
Marco Perrotta
D
55
L. Villa
D
L. Villa
D
4
F. Belli
45'
D
72
C. Faedo
M
C. Faedo
M
8
P. Fusi
58'
M
P. Fusi
58'
M
44
J. Harder
45'
M
J. Harder
45'
M
23
L. Di Maggio
M
L. Di Maggio
M
18
P. Ghiglione
58'
M
77
F. Di Mariano
71'
F
F. Di Mariano
71'
F
15
F
Bench
17
A. Capelli
45'
M
A. Capelli
45'
M
11
A. Seghetti
19'
F
A. Seghetti
19'
F
32
F. Sgarbi
D
F. Sgarbi
D
30
G. Favale
32'
D
86
G. Giunti
M
G. Giunti
M
7
K. Varas
32'
M
K. Varas
32'
M
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
45'
M
20
M. Bortolussi
F
M. Bortolussi
F
Best on the pitch
F. Gelli
M · Frosinone
8.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 40 pass
G · Padova
8.50
· 32 pass
I. Monterisi
D · Frosinone
8.30
1 👟
· 55 pass
A. Oyono
D · Frosinone
7.90
1 shots
· 42 pass
L. Palmisani
G · Frosinone
7.70
· 27 pass
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
7.70
· 74 pass
Frosinone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Palmisani | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| G. Calvani | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| I. Monterisi | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oyono | D | 80 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Gelli | M | 87 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 40 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Calò | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 61% | — | — | — |
| G. Kvernadze | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Fiori | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cittadini | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Zilli | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Padova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Marco Perrotta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Villa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 7 | — | — |
| F. Belli | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Faedo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Fusi | M | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Harder | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Di Maggio | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ghiglione | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Di Mariano | F | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Capelli | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Seghetti | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Favale | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Varas | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Crisetig | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Padova?
The final score was Frosinone 2–0 Padova.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Padova?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Frosinone win, 11% to a draw, and 7% to an Padova win.