← J1 League
J1 League · Regular Season - 10 April 11, 2026 11:00
Gamba Osaka
#3 · 25 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cerezo Osaka
#4 · 25 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Gamba Osaka, result Cerezo Osaka vince
40' (ast. S. Tanaka) Thiago Andrade

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Cerezo Osaka 17%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
H. Okuda
13'
Thiago Andrade
S. Kurata
29'
↕ R. Handa / T. Kishimoto
35'
40'
ast. S. Tanaka · Thiago Andrade⚽
45'
Y. Yokoyama / R. Sakata ↕
↕ G. Nawata / H. Minamino
46'
↕ S. Kurata / S. Abe
46'
T. Kishimoto
54'
62'
S. Kagawa / Thiago Andrade ↕
62'
D. Cools / H. Okuda ↕
⚽D. Hummet (missed pen.)
71'
71'
↕ Welton / R. Meshino
81'
H. Minamino
84'
86'
S. Sakuragawa / M. Nakajima ↕
86'
S. Uejo / Y. Yokoyama ↕
↕ R. Yamashita / S. Toyama
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
67.09%
Gamba
15.13%
X
17.78%
Cerezo ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 17.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gamba
4.50
—
—
Cerezo
0.30
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
1 Masaaki Higashiguchi Masaaki Higashiguchi G 6.20
21 Ryo Hatsuse Ryo Hatsuse D 6.90
4 Shinnosuke Nakatani Shinnosuke Nakatani D 6.90
5 Genta Miura Genta Miura D 6.60
3 R. Handa R. Handa 35' D 7.00
10 Shu Kurata Shu Kurata 45' M 6.20
16 Tokuma Suzuki Tokuma Suzuki M 7.60
97 Welton Welton 81' M 7.20
38 Gaku Nawata Gaku Nawata 45' M 6.30
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 89' M 7.20
23 Deniz Hümmet Deniz Hümmet F 5.60
Bench
42 Harumi Minamino Harumi Minamino 45' F 6.90
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali F
44 Kanji Okunuki Kanji Okunuki M
8 Ryotaro Meshino Ryotaro Meshino 9' F 6.70
13 S. Abe S. Abe 45' M 7.30
47 Shinya Nakano Shinya Nakano D
15 Takeru Kishimoto Takeru Kishimoto 55' D 6.50
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-4-2
23
K. Nakamura G 10.00
66
A. Ohata D 7.20
44
S. Hatanaka D 7.00
4
Rikito Inoue D 8.30
16
H. Okuda 62' D 6.20
17
R. Sakata 44' M 6.90
18
N. Ishiwatari M 7.50
10
S. Tanaka 1 👟 M 7.20
48
M. Shibayama M 6.30
13
M. Nakajima 86' F 6.60
11
Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.50
Bench
27
D. Cools 28' D 7.20
5
H. Kida M
8
S. Kagawa 28' M 6.60
9
S. Sakuragawa 18' F 6.20
7
S. Uejo 18' M 6.70
14
Y. Yokoyama 42' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
K. Nakamura
G · Cerezo
10.00
· 36 pass
Rikito Inoue
D · Cerezo
8.30
· 30 pass
Tokuma Suzuki
Tokuma Suzuki
M · Gamba
7.60
2 shots · 67 pass
Thiago Andrade
F · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
N. Ishiwatari
M · Cerezo
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Abe
S. Abe
M · Gamba
7.30
1 shots · 24 pass
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Masaaki Higashiguchi G 90 6.20 — — — 25 16% — — —
Ryo Hatsuse D 90 6.90 — — — 51 39% 1 — —
Shinnosuke Nakatani D 90 6.90 — — 1 65 56% 1 — —
Genta Miura D 90 6.60 — — — 64 51% 1 — —
R. Handa D 35 7.00 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
Shu Kurata M 45 6.20 — — — 12 11% 2 1 —
Tokuma Suzuki M 90 7.60 — — 2 67 54% — — —
Welton M 81 7.20 — — 4 22 20% 1 — —
Gaku Nawata M 45 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
R. Yamashita M 89 7.20 — — 3 24 19% 1 — —
Deniz Hümmet F 90 5.60 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Harumi Minamino F 45 6.90 — — 2 2 2% — 1 —
Ryotaro Meshino F 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
S. Abe M 45 7.30 — — 1 24 18% — — —
Takeru Kishimoto D 55 6.50 — — — 27 19% 1 1 —
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Nakamura G 90 10.00 — — — 36 28% — — —
A. Ohata D 90 7.20 — — — 36 25% 2 — —
S. Hatanaka D 90 7.00 — — — 48 39% — — —
Rikito Inoue D 90 8.30 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
H. Okuda D 62 6.20 — — — 34 22% — 1 —
R. Sakata M 44 6.90 — — — 15 12% 2 — —
N. Ishiwatari M 90 7.50 — — — 34 29% 3 — —
S. Tanaka M 90 7.20 — 1 — 34 28% — — —
M. Shibayama M 90 6.30 — — 2 41 30% — — —
M. Nakajima F 86 6.60 — — 2 24 19% 1 — —
Thiago Andrade F 62 7.50 1 — 2 12 11% 2 1 —
D. Cools D 28 7.20 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
S. Kagawa M 28 6.60 — — — 18 18% — — —
S. Sakuragawa F 18 6.20 — — — 6 2% — — —
S. Uejo M 18 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Y. Yokoyama M 42 6.70 — — 2 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 15% to a draw, and 17% to an Cerezo Osaka win.