✗Model wrong — prediction Gamba Osaka, result Cerezo Osaka wins
40'
(ast. S. Tanaka)
Thiago Andrade
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Cerezo Osaka 17%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
H. Okuda
13'
Thiago Andrade
S. Kurata
29'
R. Handa
/ T. Kishimoto
35'
40'
ast. S. Tanaka ·
Thiago Andrade⚽
45'
Y. Yokoyama
/
R. Sakata
G. Nawata
/ H. Minamino
46'
S. Kurata
/ S. Abe
46'
T. Kishimoto
54'
62'
S. Kagawa
/
Thiago Andrade
62'
D. Cools
/
H. Okuda
⚽D. Hummet
(missed pen.)
71'
71'
Welton
/ R. Meshino
81'
H. Minamino
84'
86'
S. Sakuragawa
/
M. Nakajima
86'
S. Uejo
/
Y. Yokoyama
R. Yamashita
/ S. Toyama
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
67.09%
Gamba
15.13%
X
17.78%
Cerezo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka)
17.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
—
—
0.30
—
—
Lineups
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
G
Masaaki Higashiguchi
G
21
Ryo Hatsuse
D
Ryo Hatsuse
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
S. Nakatani
D
5
Genta Miura
D
Genta Miura
D
3
R. Handa
35'
D
R. Handa
35'
D
10
Shu Kurata
45'
M
Shu Kurata
45'
M
16
Tokuma Suzuki
M
Tokuma Suzuki
M
97
Welton
81'
M
Welton
81'
M
38
Gaku Nawata
45'
M
Gaku Nawata
45'
M
17
R. Yamashita
89'
M
R. Yamashita
89'
M
23
D. Hümmet
F
D. Hümmet
F
Bench
42
H. Minamino
45'
F
H. Minamino
45'
F
11
I. Jebali
F
I. Jebali
F
44
Kanji Okunuki
M
Kanji Okunuki
M
8
Ryotaro Meshino
9'
F
Ryotaro Meshino
9'
F
13
S. Abe
45'
M
S. Abe
45'
M
47
Shinya Nakano
D
Shinya Nakano
D
15
Takeru Kishimoto
55'
D
Takeru Kishimoto
55'
D
23
Kosuke Nakamura
G
Kosuke Nakamura
G
66
A. Ohata
D
A. Ohata
D
44
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
D
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
D
4
Rikito Inoue
D
Rikito Inoue
D
16
Hayato Okuda
62'
D
Hayato Okuda
62'
D
17
R. Sakata
44'
M
18
Nelson Ishiwatari
M
Nelson Ishiwatari
M
10
Shunta Tanaka
1 👟
M
Shunta Tanaka
1 👟
M
48
M. Shibayama
M
M. Shibayama
M
13
M. Nakajima
86'
F
M. Nakajima
86'
F
11
Thiago Andrade
1 ⚽
62'
F
Thiago Andrade
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
27
Dion Cools
28'
D
Dion Cools
28'
D
5
Hinata Kida
M
Hinata Kida
M
7
Satoki Uejo
18'
M
Satoki Uejo
18'
M
8
Shinji Kagawa
28'
M
Shinji Kagawa
28'
M
9
S. Sakuragawa
18'
F
S. Sakuragawa
18'
F
14
Yumeki Yokoyama
42'
M
Yumeki Yokoyama
42'
M
Best on the pitch
Kosuke Nakamura
G · Cerezo
10.00
· 36 pass
Rikito Inoue
D · Cerezo
8.30
· 30 pass
Tokuma Suzuki
M · Gamba
7.60
2 shots
· 67 pass
Thiago Andrade
F · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Nelson Ishiwatari
M · Cerezo
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Abe
M · Gamba
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masaaki Higashiguchi | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ryo Hatsuse | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nakatani | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Genta Miura | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Handa | D | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Shu Kurata | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tokuma Suzuki | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Welton | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaku Nawata | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Yamashita | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hümmet | F | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Minamino | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryotaro Meshino | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Abe | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Takeru Kishimoto | D | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Nakamura | G | 90 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Ohata | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Shinnosuke Hatanaka | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Rikito Inoue | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Hayato Okuda | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Sakata | M | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Nelson Ishiwatari | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Shunta Tanaka | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Shibayama | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Nakajima | F | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Andrade | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dion Cools | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Satoki Uejo | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Shinji Kagawa | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Sakuragawa | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | M | 42 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 15% to a draw, and 17% to an Cerezo Osaka win.