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J1 League · Regular Season - 10 April 11, 2026 09:00 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 11 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cerezo Osaka
#12 · 14 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Gamba Osaka, result Cerezo Osaka wins
40' (ast. S. Tanaka) Thiago Andrade
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Cerezo Osaka 17%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
H. Okuda
13'
Thiago Andrade
S. Kurata
29'
↕ R. Handa / T. Kishimoto
35'
40'
ast. S. Tanaka · Thiago Andrade⚽
45'
Y. Yokoyama / R. Sakata ↕
↕ G. Nawata / H. Minamino
46'
↕ S. Kurata / S. Abe
46'
T. Kishimoto
54'
62'
S. Kagawa / Thiago Andrade ↕
62'
D. Cools / H. Okuda ↕
⚽D. Hummet (missed pen.)
71'
71'
↕ Welton / R. Meshino
81'
H. Minamino
84'
86'
S. Sakuragawa / M. Nakajima ↕
86'
S. Uejo / Y. Yokoyama ↕
↕ R. Yamashita / S. Toyama
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
67.09%
Gamba
15.13%
X
17.78%
Cerezo ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 17.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gamba
4.50
—
—
Cerezo
0.30
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
1 M. Higashiguchi M. Higashiguchi G 6.20
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse D 6.90
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.90
5 Genta Miura Genta Miura D 6.60
3 R. Handa R. Handa 35' D 7.00
10 S. Kurata S. Kurata 45' M 6.20
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki M 7.60
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe 81' M 7.20
38 Gaku Nawata Gaku Nawata 45' M 6.30
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 89' M 7.20
23 D. Hümmet D. Hümmet F 5.60
Bench
42 H. Minamino H. Minamino 45' F 6.90
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali F
44 Kanji Okunuki Kanji Okunuki M
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino 9' F 6.70
13 S. Abe S. Abe 45' M 7.30
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano D
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto 55' D 6.50
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-4-2
23 Kosuke Nakamura Kosuke Nakamura G 10.00
66 A. Ohata A. Ohata D 7.20
44 S. Hatanaka S. Hatanaka D 7.00
4 R. Inoue R. Inoue D 8.30
16 H. Okuda H. Okuda 62' D 6.20
17 R. Sakata R. Sakata 44' M 6.90
18 N. Ishiwatari N. Ishiwatari M 7.50
10 S. Tanaka S. Tanaka 1 👟 M 7.20
48 M. Shibayama M. Shibayama M 6.30
13 M. Nakajima M. Nakajima 86' F 6.60
11 Thiago Andrade Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.50
Bench
27 Dion-Johan Cools Dion-Johan Cools 28' D 7.20
5 H. Kida H. Kida M
8 S. Kagawa S. Kagawa 28' M 6.60
9 S. Sakuragawa S. Sakuragawa 18' F 6.20
7 S. Uejo S. Uejo 18' M 6.70
14 Yumeki Yokoyama Yumeki Yokoyama 42' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Kosuke Nakamura
Kosuke Nakamura
G · Cerezo
10.00
· 36 pass
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
D · Cerezo
8.30
· 30 pass
T. Suzuki
T. Suzuki
M · Gamba
7.60
2 shots · 67 pass
Thiago Andrade
Thiago Andrade
F · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
N. Ishiwatari
N. Ishiwatari
M · Cerezo
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Abe
S. Abe
M · Gamba
7.30
1 shots · 24 pass
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Higashiguchi G 90 6.20 — — — 25 16% — — —
R. Hatsuse D 90 6.90 — — — 51 39% 1 — —
S. Nakatani D 90 6.90 — — 1 65 56% 1 — —
Genta Miura D 90 6.60 — — — 64 51% 1 — —
R. Handa D 35 7.00 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
S. Kurata M 45 6.20 — — — 12 11% 2 1 —
T. Suzuki M 90 7.60 — — 2 67 54% — — —
Welton Felipe M 81 7.20 — — 4 22 20% 1 — —
Gaku Nawata M 45 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
R. Yamashita M 89 7.20 — — 3 24 19% 1 — —
D. Hümmet F 90 5.60 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
H. Minamino F 45 6.90 — — 2 2 2% — 1 —
R. Meshino F 9 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
S. Abe M 45 7.30 — — 1 24 18% — — —
T. Kishimoto D 55 6.50 — — — 27 19% 1 1 —
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosuke Nakamura G 90 10.00 — — — 36 28% — — —
A. Ohata D 90 7.20 — — — 36 25% 2 — —
S. Hatanaka D 90 7.00 — — — 48 39% — — —
R. Inoue D 90 8.30 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
H. Okuda D 62 6.20 — — — 34 22% — 1 —
R. Sakata M 44 6.90 — — — 15 12% 2 — —
N. Ishiwatari M 90 7.50 — — — 34 29% 3 — —
S. Tanaka M 90 7.20 — 1 — 34 28% — — —
M. Shibayama M 90 6.30 — — 2 41 30% — — —
M. Nakajima F 86 6.60 — — 2 24 19% 1 — —
Thiago Andrade F 62 7.50 1 — 2 12 11% 2 1 —
Dion-Johan Cools D 28 7.20 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
S. Kagawa M 28 6.60 — — — 18 18% — — —
S. Sakuragawa F 18 6.20 — — — 6 2% — — —
S. Uejo M 18 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Yumeki Yokoyama M 42 6.70 — — 2 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 15% to a draw, and 17% to an Cerezo Osaka win.