✗Model wrong — prediction Gamba Osaka, result Cerezo Osaka wins
40'
(ast. S. Tanaka)
Thiago Andrade
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Cerezo Osaka 17%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka. In 1 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerezo Osaka.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
H. Okuda
13'
Thiago Andrade
S. Kurata
29'
R. Handa
/ T. Kishimoto
35'
40'
ast. S. Tanaka ·
Thiago Andrade⚽
45'
Y. Yokoyama
/
R. Sakata
G. Nawata
/ H. Minamino
46'
S. Kurata
/ S. Abe
46'
T. Kishimoto
54'
62'
S. Kagawa
/
Thiago Andrade
62'
D. Cools
/
H. Okuda
⚽D. Hummet
(missed pen.)
71'
71'
Welton
/ R. Meshino
81'
H. Minamino
84'
86'
S. Sakuragawa
/
M. Nakajima
86'
S. Uejo
/
Y. Yokoyama
R. Yamashita
/ S. Toyama
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
67.09%
Gamba
15.13%
X
17.78%
Cerezo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka)
17.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
—
—
0.30
—
—
Lineups
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
G
21
R. Hatsuse
D
R. Hatsuse
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
S. Nakatani
D
5
Genta Miura
D
Genta Miura
D
3
R. Handa
35'
D
R. Handa
35'
D
10
S. Kurata
45'
M
S. Kurata
45'
M
16
T. Suzuki
M
T. Suzuki
M
97
Welton Felipe
81'
M
Welton Felipe
81'
M
38
G. Nawata
45'
M
G. Nawata
45'
M
17
R. Yamashita
89'
M
R. Yamashita
89'
M
23
D. Hümmet
F
D. Hümmet
F
Bench
42
H. Minamino
45'
F
H. Minamino
45'
F
11
I. Jebali
F
I. Jebali
F
44
Kanji Okunuki
M
Kanji Okunuki
M
8
R. Meshino
9'
F
R. Meshino
9'
F
13
S. Abe
45'
M
S. Abe
45'
M
47
S. Nakano
D
S. Nakano
D
15
T. Kishimoto
55'
D
T. Kishimoto
55'
D
23
Kosuke Nakamura
G
Kosuke Nakamura
G
66
A. Ohata
D
A. Ohata
D
44
S. Hatanaka
D
S. Hatanaka
D
4
R. Inoue
D
R. Inoue
D
16
H. Okuda
62'
D
H. Okuda
62'
D
17
R. Sakata
44'
M
R. Sakata
44'
M
18
N. Ishiwatari
M
N. Ishiwatari
M
10
S. Tanaka
1 👟
M
S. Tanaka
1 👟
M
48
M. Shibayama
M
M. Shibayama
M
13
M. Nakajima
86'
F
M. Nakajima
86'
F
11
Thiago Andrade
1 ⚽
62'
F
Thiago Andrade
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
27
Dion-Johan Cools
28'
D
Dion-Johan Cools
28'
D
5
H. Kida
M
H. Kida
M
8
S. Kagawa
28'
M
S. Kagawa
28'
M
9
S. Sakuragawa
18'
F
S. Sakuragawa
18'
F
7
S. Uejo
18'
M
S. Uejo
18'
M
14
Yumeki Yokoyama
42'
M
Yumeki Yokoyama
42'
M
Best on the pitch
Kosuke Nakamura
G · Cerezo
10.00
· 36 pass
R. Inoue
D · Cerezo
8.30
· 30 pass
T. Suzuki
M · Gamba
7.60
2 shots
· 67 pass
Thiago Andrade
F · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
N. Ishiwatari
M · Cerezo
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Abe
M · Gamba
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masaaki Higashiguchi | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Hatsuse | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nakatani | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Genta Miura | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Handa | D | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kurata | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Suzuki | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Welton Felipe | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Nawata | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Yamashita | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hümmet | F | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Minamino | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Meshino | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Abe | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Kishimoto | D | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Nakamura | G | 90 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Ohata | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Hatanaka | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| R. Inoue | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Okuda | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Sakata | M | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ishiwatari | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Tanaka | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Shibayama | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Nakajima | F | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Andrade | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dion-Johan Cools | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kagawa | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Sakuragawa | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Uejo | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | M | 42 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 15% to a draw, and 17% to an Cerezo Osaka win.