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Pro League · Conference League Group - 34 April 21, 2026 22:30
Genk
#1 · 33 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Charleroi
#3 · 30 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Pareggio
M. Nzita 86' (og)
13' (ast. A. Colassin) E. Camara

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 25%, Charleroi 16%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Charleroi. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Charleroi.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
2.76
Actual xG
1.50
4
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
10
Corners
1
20
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. A. Colassin · E. Camara⚽
36'
Cheick Keita
↕ Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
63'
↕ A. Bibout / R. Mirisola
63'
↕ N. Adedeji-Sternberg / A. Yokoyama
63'
63'
A. Scheidler / A. Colassin ↕
63'
J. Romsaas / P. Pflucke ↕
66'
Y. Khalifi / A. Boukamir ↕
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
72'
81'
F. Szymczak / A. Bernier ↕
81'
M. Boukamir / L. Blum ↕
↕ J. Ito / J. Erabi
83'
↕ I. Bangoura / J. Steuckers
83'
⚽M. Nzita (og)
86'
Pre-match prediction
58.34%
Genk
25.08%
X ←
16.58%
Charleroi
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.68
2.76
+1.08
Charleroi
0.68
1.50
+0.82
Genk dominated by xG (2.76 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19
Y. Medina 63' D 6.90
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
3
M. Sadick D 6.90
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.30
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 83' M 7.30
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen M 7.20
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 63' M 7.30
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.30
10 Junya Ito Junya Ito 83' M 6.70
23 Aaron Bibout Aaron Bibout 63' F 6.20
Bench
7 Jarne Steuckers Jarne Steuckers 14' F 6.70
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola 27' F 6.50
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Charleroi Charleroi 4-2-3-1
30
G 8.50
24 Mardochee Nzita Mardochee Nzita 1 ⚽ D 6.00
95 Cheick Keita Cheick Keita D 7.00
4 Aiham Ousou Aiham Ousou D 7.20
27 Lewin Blum Lewin Blum 81' D 6.90
56 Amine Boukamir Amine Boukamir 66' M 7.00
5 Etienne Camara Etienne Camara 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17 Antoine Bernier Antoine Bernier 81' M 6.70
14 Patrick Pflücke Patrick Pflücke 63' M 6.90
3 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Kevin Van Den Kerkhof M 7.20
25 Antoine Colassin Antoine Colassin 1 👟 63' F 6.70
Bench
21 Aurélien Scheidler Aurélien Scheidler 27' F 6.20
8 Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 27' M 6.90
55
M. Delavallee
40 Yassine Khalifi Yassine Khalifi 24' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
G · Charleroi
8.50
· 41 pass
Etienne Camara
Etienne Camara
M · Charleroi
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
D · Genk
7.30
2 shots · 52 pass
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M · Genk
7.30
· 30 pass
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
M · Genk
7.30
3 shots · 29 pass
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
M · Charleroi
7.20
2 shots · 17 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 24 20% — — —
Y. Medina D 63 6.90 — — 2 38 35% 3 — —
Matte Smets D 90 6.90 — — — 93 84% 1 — —
M. Sadick D 90 6.90 — — — 62 55% 4 — —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 — — 2 52 45% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 83 7.30 — — — 30 26% 4 1 —
Bryan Heynen M 90 7.20 — — 2 56 50% 3 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 63 7.30 — — 3 29 27% 1 — —
D. Heymans M 90 6.30 — — 5 34 27% 1 — —
Junya Ito M 83 6.70 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
Aaron Bibout F 63 6.20 — — 3 14 12% — — —
Jarne Steuckers F 14 6.70 — — — 13 10% — — —
Robin Mirisola F 27 6.50 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Charleroi Charleroi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.50 — — — 41 24% — — —
Mardochee Nzita D 90 6.00 1 — 1 36 27% 2 — —
Cheick Keita D 90 7.00 — — — 32 30% 1 1 —
Aiham Ousou D 90 7.20 — — 1 26 25% — — —
Lewin Blum D 81 6.90 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
Amine Boukamir M 66 7.00 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
Etienne Camara M 90 7.30 1 — 1 45 37% 1 — —
Antoine Bernier M 81 6.70 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
Patrick Pflücke M 63 6.90 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 14% 1 — —
Antoine Colassin F 63 6.70 — 1 1 13 7% 1 — —
Aurélien Scheidler F 27 6.20 — — 1 12 7% — — —
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas M 27 6.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
Yassine Khalifi M 24 6.70 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Charleroi?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Charleroi.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Charleroi?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an Charleroi win.