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Pro League · Conference League Group - 34 April 21, 2026 20:30 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk
#9 · 8 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Charleroi
#4 · 12 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
M. Nzita 86' (og)
13' (ast. A. Colassin) E. Camara
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 25%, Charleroi 16%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Charleroi. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Charleroi.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
5
2.76
Actual xG
1.50
4
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
10
Corners
1
20
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. A. Colassin · E. Camara⚽
36'
Cheick Keita
↕ Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
63'
↕ A. Bibout / R. Mirisola
63'
↕ N. Adedeji-Sternberg / A. Yokoyama
63'
63'
A. Scheidler / A. Colassin ↕
63'
J. Romsaas / P. Pflucke ↕
66'
Y. Khalifi / A. Boukamir ↕
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
72'
81'
F. Szymczak / A. Bernier ↕
81'
M. Boukamir / L. Blum ↕
↕ J. Ito / J. Erabi
83'
↕ I. Bangoura / J. Steuckers
83'
⚽M. Nzita (og)
86'
Pre-match prediction
58.34%
Genk
25.08%
X ←
16.58%
Charleroi
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.68
2.76
+1.08
Charleroi
0.68
1.50
+0.82
Genk dominated by xG (2.76 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 6 16
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 6 15
3 Gent Gent 5 15
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 6 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Antwerp Antwerp 6 7
12 Lommel United Lommel United 6 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 6 7
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 6 3
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 6 1
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19 Y. Medina Y. Medina 63' D 6.90
6 M. Smets M. Smets D 6.90
3 Mujaid Sadick Mujaid Sadick D 6.90
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.30
21 I. Bangoura I. Bangoura 83' M 7.30
8 B. Heynen B. Heynen M 7.20
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 63' M 7.30
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.30
10 J. Ito J. Ito 83' M 6.70
23 A. Bibout A. Bibout 63' F 6.20
Bench
44 J. Kongolo J. Kongolo D
7 J. Steuckers J. Steuckers 14' F 6.70
29 R. Mirisola R. Mirisola 27' F 6.50
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Charleroi Charleroi 4-2-3-1
30
G 8.50
24 M. Nzita M. Nzita 1 ⚽ D 6.00
95 C. Keita C. Keita D 7.00
4 A. Ousou A. Ousou D 7.20
27 L. Blum L. Blum 81' D 6.90
56 A. Boukamir A. Boukamir 66' M 7.00
5 E. Camara E. Camara 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17 A. Bernier A. Bernier 81' M 6.70
14 P. Pflücke P. Pflücke 63' M 6.90
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof K. Van Den Kerkhof M 7.20
25 A. Colassin A. Colassin 1 👟 63' F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Scheidler A. Scheidler 27' F 6.20
8 J. Romsaas J. Romsaas 27' M 6.90
55
M. Delavallee
40 Y. Khalifi Y. Khalifi 24' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
G · Charleroi
8.50
· 41 pass
E. Camara
E. Camara
M · Charleroi
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
D · Genk
7.30
2 shots · 52 pass
I. Bangoura
I. Bangoura
M · Genk
7.30
· 30 pass
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
M · Genk
7.30
3 shots · 29 pass
K. Van Den Kerkhof
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M · Charleroi
7.20
2 shots · 17 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 24 20% — — —
Y. Medina D 63 6.90 — — 2 38 35% 3 — —
M. Smets D 90 6.90 — — — 93 84% 1 — —
Mujaid Sadick D 90 6.90 — — — 62 55% 4 — —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 — — 2 52 45% 1 — —
I. Bangoura M 83 7.30 — — — 30 26% 4 1 —
B. Heynen M 90 7.20 — — 2 56 50% 3 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 63 7.30 — — 3 29 27% 1 — —
D. Heymans M 90 6.30 — — 5 34 27% 1 — —
J. Ito M 83 6.70 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
A. Bibout F 63 6.20 — — 3 14 12% — — —
J. Steuckers F 14 6.70 — — — 13 10% — — —
R. Mirisola F 27 6.50 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Charleroi Charleroi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.50 — — — 41 24% — — —
M. Nzita D 90 6.00 1 — 1 36 27% 2 — —
C. Keita D 90 7.00 — — — 32 30% 1 1 —
A. Ousou D 90 7.20 — — 1 26 25% — — —
L. Blum D 81 6.90 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
A. Boukamir M 66 7.00 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
E. Camara M 90 7.30 1 — 1 45 37% 1 — —
A. Bernier M 81 6.70 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
P. Pflücke M 63 6.90 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
K. Van Den Kerkhof M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 14% 1 — —
A. Colassin F 63 6.70 — 1 1 13 7% 1 — —
A. Scheidler F 27 6.20 — — 1 12 7% — — —
J. Romsaas M 27 6.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
Y. Khalifi M 24 6.70 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Charleroi?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Charleroi.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Charleroi?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an Charleroi win.