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#1 · 33 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#4 · 30 pts
Model correct — prediction Genk
A. Bibout (ast. J. Ito) 64'
R. Mirisola 69'
J. Ito (ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg) 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 63% win probability (draw 15%, KVC Westerlo 21%). The final result was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KVC Westerlo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
1.55
4
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
3
32
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Kayembe
20'
K. Karetsas / N. Adedeji-Sternberg
33'
D. Heymans / R. Mirisola
45'
51'
Nacho
A. Bibout · ast. J. Ito
64'
67'
B. Reynolds
R. Mirisola
69'
74'
A. Patrao / I. Sakamoto
74'
S. Saito / A. Sayyadmanesh
J. Ito · ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg
84'
87'
F. Goure / Nacho
87'
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni / J. Alcocer
J. Ito / A. Yokoyama
88'
I. Bangoura / A. De Wannemacker
88'
B. Heynen / N. Sattlberger
88'
Pre-match prediction
63.24%
Genk ←
15.54%
X
21.22%
KVC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Genk) 63.24% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
3.34
1.41
-1.94
KVC
1.90
1.55
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28 Lucca Brughmans Lucca Brughmans G 7.50
18 J. Kayembe J. Kayembe D 6.90
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D 7.70
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.20
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen 88' M 6.60
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 88' M 6.60
10 Junya Ito Junya Ito 1 ⚽ 1 👟 88' M 8.60
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans 45' M 6.90
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 33' M 6.50
23 Aaron Bibout Aaron Bibout 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
34 Adrian Palacios Adrian Palacios D
56 August De Wannemacker August De Wannemacker 4' M
30 Ayumu Yokoyama Ayumu Yokoyama 4' F
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
7 Jarne Steuckers Jarne Steuckers F
24 Nikolas Sattlberger Nikolas Sattlberger 4' M
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 1 👟 59' F 7.00
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola 1 ⚽ 47' F 7.00
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
99 Andreas Jungdal Andreas Jungdal G 5.90
23 Lucas Mbamba Lucas Mbamba D 6.30
5 Seiji Kimura Seiji Kimura D 6.30
40 E. Bayram E. Bayram D 6.30
22 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds D 5.90
46 Arthur Piedfort Arthur Piedfort M 7.90
34 D. Haspolat D. Haspolat M 6.90
77 J. Alcócer J. Alcócer 87' M 6.50
13 Isa Sakamoto Isa Sakamoto 74' M 6.30
7 A. Sayyadmanesh A. Sayyadmanesh 74' M 6.60
90 Nacho Ferri Nacho Ferri 87' F 5.90
Bench
10 Afonso Patrao Afonso Patrao 18' F 6.30
4 Amando Lapage Amando Lapage D
29 Fernand Gouré Fernand Gouré 5' F
30 Koen Van Langendonck Koen Van Langendonck G
11 Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni 5' F
33 Roman Neustädter Roman Neustädter D
8 Serhiy Sydorchuk Serhiy Sydorchuk M
38 Shunsuke Saito Shunsuke Saito 18' F 7.00
39 Thomas Van den Keybus Thomas Van den Keybus M
Best on the pitch
Junya Ito
Junya Ito
M · Genk
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort
M · KVC
7.90
1 shots · 49 pass
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D · Genk
7.70
· 54 pass
Lucca Brughmans
Lucca Brughmans
G · Genk
7.50
· 25 pass
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout
F · Genk
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
D · Genk
7.20
2 shots · 24 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucca Brughmans G 92 7.50 25 19%
J. Kayembe D 92 6.90 1 48 41% 1 1
Josue Ndenge Kongolo D 92 7.70 54 50% 5
Matte Smets D 92 6.90 1 65 55% 2
Z. El Ouahdi D 92 7.20 2 24 22% 7
Bryan Heynen M 88 6.60 36 31% 1
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 88 6.60 31 27% 4
Junya Ito M 88 8.60 1 1 1 25 17% 5
D. Heymans M 45 6.90 15 13% 1
K. Karetsas M 33 6.50 8 6%
Aaron Bibout F 92 7.30 1 4 17 10%
August De Wannemacker M 4 2 1%
Ayumu Yokoyama F 4 3 2% 2
Nikolas Sattlberger M 4
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg F 59 7.00 1 26 19% 3
Robin Mirisola F 47 7.00 1 2 4 4% 1
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Andreas Jungdal G 92 5.90 34 28%
Lucas Mbamba D 92 6.30 2 38 37% 1
Seiji Kimura D 92 6.30 57 49% 2
E. Bayram D 92 6.30 37 29% 3
Bryan Reynolds D 92 5.90 28 26% 1
Arthur Piedfort M 92 7.90 1 49 39% 7
D. Haspolat M 92 6.90 1 55 46% 3
J. Alcócer M 87 6.50 1 30 27% 3
Isa Sakamoto M 74 6.30 2 20 20% 2
A. Sayyadmanesh M 74 6.60 2 15 10% 2
Nacho Ferri F 87 5.90 1 8 6% 1
Afonso Patrao F 18 6.30 5 4%
Fernand Gouré F 5 4 2%
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni F 5 1 1% 1
Shunsuke Saito F 18 7.00 8 5% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The final score was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo.
What did the model predict before Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Genk win, 15% to a draw, and 21% to an KVC Westerlo win.