✓Model correct — prediction Genk
A. Bibout
(ast. J. Ito)
64'
R. Mirisola
69'
J. Ito
(ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 63% win probability (draw 15%, KVC Westerlo 21%). The final result was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo. In 4 previous meetings, Genk have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KVC Westerlo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
1.55
4
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
3
32
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Kayembe
20'
K. Karetsas
/ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
33'
D. Heymans
/ R. Mirisola
45'
51'
Nacho
⚽A. Bibout
· ast. J. Ito
64'
67'
B. Reynolds
⚽R. Mirisola
69'
74'
A. Patrao
/
I. Sakamoto
74'
S. Saito
/
A. Sayyadmanesh
⚽J. Ito
· ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg
84'
87'
F. Goure
/
Nacho
87'
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
/
J. Alcocer
J. Ito
/ A. Yokoyama
88'
I. Bangoura
/ A. De Wannemacker
88'
B. Heynen
/ N. Sattlberger
88'
Pre-match prediction
63.24%
Genk ←
15.54%
X
21.22%
KVC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Genk)
63.24%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.34
1.41
-1.94
1.90
1.55
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
Lucca Brughmans
G
Lucca Brughmans
G
18
Joris Kayembe
D
Joris Kayembe
D
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
6
Matte Smets
D
Matte Smets
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
8
Bryan Heynen
88'
M
Bryan Heynen
88'
M
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
88'
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
88'
M
10
J. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
J. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
38
D. Heymans
45'
M
D. Heymans
45'
M
20
K. Karetsas
33'
M
K. Karetsas
33'
M
23
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
Bench
34
Adrian Palacios
D
Adrian Palacios
D
56
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
4'
F
Ayumu Yokoyama
4'
F
1
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
G
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
G
7
J. Steuckers
F
J. Steuckers
F
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
1 👟
59'
F
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
1 👟
59'
F
24
N. Sattlberger
4'
M
N. Sattlberger
4'
M
29
Robin Mirisola
1 ⚽
47'
F
Robin Mirisola
1 ⚽
47'
F
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
99
Andreas Jungdal
G
Andreas Jungdal
G
23
Lucas Mbamba
D
Lucas Mbamba
D
5
Seiji Kimura
D
Seiji Kimura
D
40
Emin Bayram
D
Emin Bayram
D
22
B. Reynolds
D
B. Reynolds
D
46
A. Piedfort
M
A. Piedfort
M
34
D. Haspolat
M
D. Haspolat
M
77
J. Alcócer
87'
M
J. Alcócer
87'
M
13
I. Sakamoto
74'
M
I. Sakamoto
74'
M
7
A. Sayyadmanesh
74'
M
A. Sayyadmanesh
74'
M
90
Nacho Ferri
87'
F
Nacho Ferri
87'
F
Bench
10
Afonso Patrao
18'
F
4
Amando Lapage
D
Amando Lapage
D
29
F. Gouré
5'
F
F. Gouré
5'
F
30
Koen Van Langendonck
G
Koen Van Langendonck
G
11
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
5'
F
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
5'
F
33
Roman Neustädter
D
Roman Neustädter
D
38
S. Saito
18'
F
S. Saito
18'
F
8
S. Sydorchuk
M
S. Sydorchuk
M
39
Thomas Van den Keybus
M
Thomas Van den Keybus
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
A. Piedfort
M · KVC
7.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D · Genk
7.70
· 54 pass
Lucca Brughmans
G · Genk
7.50
· 25 pass
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
Z. El Ouahdi
D · Genk
7.20
2 shots
· 24 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucca Brughmans | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Joris Kayembe | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| Matte Smets | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 22% | 7 | — | — |
| Bryan Heynen | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 88 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Heymans | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| August De Wannemacker | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | F | 59 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Sattlberger | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Mirisola | F | 47 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
KVC Westerlo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Jungdal | G | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Mbamba | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Seiji Kimura | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Emin Bayram | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Reynolds | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Piedfort | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Haspolat | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Alcócer | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Sakamoto | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sayyadmanesh | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Afonso Patrao | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Gouré | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Saito | F | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The final score was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo.
What did the model predict before Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Genk win, 15% to a draw, and 21% to an KVC Westerlo win.