✓Model correct — prediction Genk
A. Bibout
(ast. J. Ito)
64'
R. Mirisola
69'
J. Ito
(ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 63% win probability (draw 15%, KVC Westerlo 21%). The final result was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo. In 4 previous meetings, Genk have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KVC Westerlo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
1.55
4
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
3
32
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Kayembe
20'
K. Karetsas
/ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
33'
D. Heymans
/ R. Mirisola
45'
51'
Nacho
⚽A. Bibout
· ast. J. Ito
64'
67'
B. Reynolds
⚽R. Mirisola
69'
74'
A. Patrao
/
I. Sakamoto
74'
S. Saito
/
A. Sayyadmanesh
⚽J. Ito
· ast. N. Adedeji-Sternberg
84'
87'
F. Goure
/
Nacho
87'
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
/
J. Alcocer
J. Ito
/ A. Yokoyama
88'
I. Bangoura
/ A. De Wannemacker
88'
B. Heynen
/ N. Sattlberger
88'
Pre-match prediction
63.24%
Genk ←
15.54%
X
21.22%
KVC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Genk)
63.24%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.34
1.41
-1.94
1.90
1.55
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
L. Kiaba Mounganga
G
L. Kiaba Mounganga
G
18
J. Kayembe
D
J. Kayembe
D
44
J. Kongolo
D
J. Kongolo
D
6
M. Smets
D
M. Smets
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
8
B. Heynen
88'
M
B. Heynen
88'
M
21
I. Bangoura
88'
M
I. Bangoura
88'
M
10
J. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
J. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
38
D. Heymans
45'
M
D. Heymans
45'
M
20
K. Karetsas
33'
M
K. Karetsas
33'
M
23
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
Bench
34
Adrian Palacios
D
Adrian Palacios
D
56
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
30
A. Yokoyama
4'
F
A. Yokoyama
4'
F
1
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
G
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
G
7
J. Steuckers
F
J. Steuckers
F
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
1 👟
59'
F
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
1 👟
59'
F
24
N. Sattlberger
4'
M
N. Sattlberger
4'
M
29
R. Mirisola
1 ⚽
47'
F
R. Mirisola
1 ⚽
47'
F
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
99
A. Jungdal
G
A. Jungdal
G
23
L. Mbamba-Muanda
D
L. Mbamba-Muanda
D
5
S. Kimura
D
S. Kimura
D
40
Emin Bayram
D
Emin Bayram
D
22
B. Reynolds
D
B. Reynolds
D
46
A. Piedfort
M
A. Piedfort
M
34
D. Haspolat
M
D. Haspolat
M
77
J. Alcócer
87'
M
J. Alcócer
87'
M
13
I. Sakamoto
74'
M
I. Sakamoto
74'
M
7
A. Sayyadmanesh
74'
M
A. Sayyadmanesh
74'
M
90
Nacho Ferri
87'
F
Nacho Ferri
87'
F
Bench
10
Afonso Patrao
18'
F
4
A. Lapage
D
A. Lapage
D
29
F. Gouré
5'
F
F. Gouré
5'
F
30
Koen Van Langendonck
G
Koen Van Langendonck
G
11
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
5'
F
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
5'
F
33
Roman Neustädter
D
Roman Neustädter
D
38
S. Saito
18'
F
S. Saito
18'
F
8
S. Sydorchuk
M
S. Sydorchuk
M
39
T. Van den Keybus
M
T. Van den Keybus
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
A. Piedfort
M · KVC
7.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
J. Kongolo
D · Genk
7.70
· 54 pass
L. Kiaba Mounganga
G · Genk
7.50
· 25 pass
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
Z. El Ouahdi
D · Genk
7.20
2 shots
· 24 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kiaba Mounganga | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Kongolo | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Smets | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 22% | 7 | — | — |
| B. Heynen | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Bangoura | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 88 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Heymans | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| August De Wannemacker | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Yokoyama | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | F | 59 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Sattlberger | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mirisola | F | 47 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
KVC Westerlo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jungdal | G | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| L. Mbamba-Muanda | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kimura | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Emin Bayram | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Reynolds | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Piedfort | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Haspolat | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Alcócer | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Sakamoto | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sayyadmanesh | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Afonso Patrao | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Gouré | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Bohamdi-Kamoni | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Saito | F | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The final score was Genk 3–0 KVC Westerlo.
What did the model predict before Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Genk win, 15% to a draw, and 21% to an KVC Westerlo win.