← Pro League
Pro League · Conference League Group - 35 April 25, 2026 20:15
Genk
#1 · 33 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Standard Liege
#2 · 33 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Pareggio
A. Bibout (ast. J. Ito) 73'
90' C. Nielsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Standard Liege 18%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. In 2 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Standard Liege.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
T. Mohr
47'
S. Assengue / M. Fossey ↕
Y. Medina
64'
M. Smets
67'
↕ Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
70'
↕ N. Adedeji-Sternberg / K. Karetsas
70'
⚽A. Bibout · ast. J. Ito
73'
76'
T. Nkada / T. Mohr ↕
77'
B. Nguene / A. Abid ↕
83'
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda / S. Assengue ↕
83'
J. Homawoo / D. Bates ↕
↕ K. Karetsas / A. Yokoyama
84'
M. Sadick
90'
90'
C. Nielsen⚽
90'
R. Said
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Genk
23.19%
X ←
18.12%
Standard
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.92
2.15
+0.23
Standard
0.93
0.64
-0.29
Genk dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19
Y. Medina 69' D 7.00
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
3
M. Sadick D 7.00
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.30
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen M 7.90
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 6.30
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 69' M 7.20
10 Junya Ito Junya Ito 1 👟 M 8.20
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.60
23 Aaron Bibout Aaron Bibout 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
7 Jarne Steuckers Jarne Steuckers F
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 15' M 6.90
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola F
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
18
H. Lawrence D 6.60
4
D. Bates 83' D 6.20
25
D 7.50
3
G. Mortensen M 6.30
20
I. Karamoko M 7.60
94
C. Nielsen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
13
M. Fossey 45' M 6.70
7
T. Mohr 76' F 6.20
11
A. Abid 76' F 6.90
17
R. Said F 6.60
Bench
26
B. Nguene 14' F 6.20
29
D. Dierckx D
24
J. Homawoo 13' D 6.60
53
S. Assengue 38' M 6.70
59
T. Nkada 14' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Junya Ito
Junya Ito
M · Genk
8.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
C. Nielsen
M · Standard
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen
M · Genk
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
G · Standard
7.90
· 33 pass
I. Karamoko
M · Standard
7.60
1 shots · 31 pass
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout
F · Genk
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 10 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 38 24% — — —
Y. Medina D 69 7.00 — — — 43 40% — 1 —
Matte Smets D 90 6.90 — — 2 89 83% 2 1 —
M. Sadick D 90 7.00 — — — 50 49% 4 1 —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 — — 1 42 37% — — —
Bryan Heynen M 90 7.90 — — 1 61 54% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 90 6.30 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 69 7.20 — — — 25 20% 4 — —
Junya Ito M 90 8.20 — 1 — 42 33% — — —
D. Heymans M 90 6.60 — — 4 45 36% — — —
Aaron Bibout F 90 7.60 1 — 5 10 9% 1 — —
K. Karetsas M 15 6.90 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 18% — — —
H. Lawrence D 90 6.60 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
D. Bates D 83 6.20 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 31 29% 4 — —
G. Mortensen M 90 6.30 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
I. Karamoko M 90 7.60 — — 1 31 26% 2 — —
C. Nielsen M 90 7.90 1 — 2 34 22% 2 — —
M. Fossey M 45 6.70 — — — 10 6% — — —
T. Mohr F 76 6.20 — — — 21 15% — 1 —
A. Abid F 76 6.90 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
R. Said F 90 6.60 — — 2 20 17% 1 1 —
B. Nguene F 14 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Homawoo D 13 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
S. Assengue M 38 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
T. Nkada F 14 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Standard Liege win.