✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
A. Bibout
(ast. J. Ito)
73'
90'
C. Nielsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Standard Liege 18%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Standard Liege.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
T. Mohr
47'
S. Assengue
/
M. Fossey
Y. Medina
64'
M. Smets
67'
Y. Medina
/ J. Kayembe
70'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
/ K. Karetsas
70'
⚽A. Bibout
· ast. J. Ito
73'
76'
T. Nkada
/
T. Mohr
77'
B. Nguene
/
A. Abid
83'
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
/
S. Assengue
83'
J. Homawoo
/
D. Bates
K. Karetsas
/ A. Yokoyama
84'
M. Sadick
90'
90'
C. Nielsen⚽
90'
R. Said
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Genk
23.19%
X ←
18.12%
Standard
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
2.15
+0.23
0.93
0.64
-0.29
Genk dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
19
Y. Medina
69'
D
Y. Medina
69'
D
6
M. Smets
D
M. Smets
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
D
Mujaid Sadick
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
8
B. Heynen
M
B. Heynen
M
21
I. Bangoura
M
I. Bangoura
M
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
69'
M
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
69'
M
10
J. Ito
1 👟
M
J. Ito
1 👟
M
38
D. Heymans
M
D. Heymans
M
23
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
A. Bibout
1 ⚽
F
Bench
44
J. Kongolo
D
J. Kongolo
D
7
J. Steuckers
F
J. Steuckers
F
20
K. Karetsas
15'
M
K. Karetsas
15'
M
29
R. Mirisola
F
R. Mirisola
F
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
1
G
18
H. Lawrence
D
H. Lawrence
D
4
David Robert Bates
83'
D
David Robert Bates
83'
D
25
D
3
G. Mortensen
M
G. Mortensen
M
20
I. Karamoko
M
I. Karamoko
M
94
C. Nielsen
1 ⚽
M
C. Nielsen
1 ⚽
M
13
M. Fossey
45'
M
M. Fossey
45'
M
7
T. Mohr
76'
F
T. Mohr
76'
F
11
A. Abid
76'
F
A. Abid
76'
F
17
Rafiki Saïd
F
Rafiki Saïd
F
Bench
26
Bernard Nguene
14'
F
Bernard Nguene
14'
F
29
D. Dierckx
D
D. Dierckx
D
24
J. Homawoo
13'
D
53
Steeven Assengue
38'
M
Steeven Assengue
38'
M
59
T. Nkada
14'
F
T. Nkada
14'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
C. Nielsen
M · Standard
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
B. Heynen
M · Genk
7.90
1 shots
· 61 pass
G · Standard
7.90
· 33 pass
I. Karamoko
M · Standard
7.60
1 shots
· 31 pass
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Y. Medina | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Smets | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 89 | 83% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| B. Heynen | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Bangoura | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Heymans | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| H. Lawrence | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 4 | — | — | |
| G. Mortensen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Karamoko | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nielsen | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Fossey | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Mohr | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Abid | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafiki Saïd | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bernard Nguene | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Homawoo | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Steeven Assengue | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Standard Liege win.