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Pro League · Conference League Group - 35 April 25, 2026 18:15 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk
#8 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Standard Liege
#11 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
A. Bibout (ast. J. Ito) 73'
90' C. Nielsen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Standard Liege 18%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Standard Liege.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
T. Mohr
47'
S. Assengue / M. Fossey ↕
Y. Medina
64'
M. Smets
67'
↕ Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
70'
↕ N. Adedeji-Sternberg / K. Karetsas
70'
⚽A. Bibout · ast. J. Ito
73'
76'
T. Nkada / T. Mohr ↕
77'
B. Nguene / A. Abid ↕
83'
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda / S. Assengue ↕
83'
J. Homawoo / D. Bates ↕
↕ K. Karetsas / A. Yokoyama
84'
M. Sadick
90'
90'
C. Nielsen⚽
90'
R. Said
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Genk
23.19%
X ←
18.12%
Standard
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.92
2.15
+0.23
Standard
0.93
0.64
-0.29
Genk dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Antwerp Antwerp 0 0
2 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0 0
3 Lommel United Lommel United 0 0
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
5 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0 0
6 Charleroi Charleroi 0 0
7 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 0 0
8 Genk Genk 0 0
9 Gent Gent 0 0
10 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 0 0
11 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0 0
12 St. Truiden St. Truiden 0 0
13 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 0 0
14 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 0 0
15 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0 0
16 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
17 SK Beveren SK Beveren 0 0
18 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 0 0
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19 Yaimar Medina Yaimar Medina 69' D 7.00
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
3 Mujaid Sadick Mujaid Sadick D 7.00
77 Zakaria El Ouahdi Zakaria El Ouahdi D 7.30
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen M 7.90
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 6.30
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 69' M 7.20
10 Junya Ito Junya Ito 1 👟 M 8.20
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.60
23 A. Bibout A. Bibout 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D
7 J. Steuckers J. Steuckers F
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 15' M 6.90
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola F
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
18 Henry Lawrence Henry Lawrence D 6.60
4 David Robert Bates David Robert Bates 83' D 6.20
25
D 7.50
3 Gustav Mortensen Gustav Mortensen M 6.30
20 I. Karamoko I. Karamoko M 7.60
94 Casper Nielsen Casper Nielsen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
13 Marlon Fossey Marlon Fossey 45' M 6.70
7 Tobias Mohr Tobias Mohr 76' F 6.20
11 A. Abid A. Abid 76' F 6.90
17 Rafiki Saïd Rafiki Saïd F 6.60
Bench
26 Bernard Nguene Bernard Nguene 14' F 6.20
29 Daan Dierckx Daan Dierckx D
24
J. Homawoo 13' D 6.60
53 Steeven Assengue Steeven Assengue 38' M 6.70
59 Timothee Nkada Timothee Nkada 14' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Junya Ito
Junya Ito
M · Genk
8.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen
M · Standard
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen
M · Genk
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
G · Standard
7.90
· 33 pass
I. Karamoko
I. Karamoko
M · Standard
7.60
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 10 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 38 24% — — —
Yaimar Medina D 69 7.00 — — — 43 40% — 1 —
Matte Smets D 90 6.90 — — 2 89 83% 2 1 —
Mujaid Sadick D 90 7.00 — — — 50 49% 4 1 —
Zakaria El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 — — 1 42 37% — — —
Bryan Heynen M 90 7.90 — — 1 61 54% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 90 6.30 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 69 7.20 — — — 25 20% 4 — —
Junya Ito M 90 8.20 — 1 — 42 33% — — —
D. Heymans M 90 6.60 — — 4 45 36% — — —
A. Bibout F 90 7.60 1 — 5 10 9% 1 — —
K. Karetsas M 15 6.90 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 18% — — —
Henry Lawrence D 90 6.60 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
David Robert Bates D 83 6.20 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 31 29% 4 — —
Gustav Mortensen M 90 6.30 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
I. Karamoko M 90 7.60 — — 1 31 26% 2 — —
Casper Nielsen M 90 7.90 1 — 2 34 22% 2 — —
Marlon Fossey M 45 6.70 — — — 10 6% — — —
Tobias Mohr F 76 6.20 — — — 21 15% — 1 —
A. Abid F 76 6.90 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
Rafiki Saïd F 90 6.60 — — 2 20 17% 1 1 —
Bernard Nguene F 14 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Homawoo D 13 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
Steeven Assengue M 38 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Timothee Nkada F 14 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Standard Liege win.