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#9 · 9 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#6 · 11 pts
Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
A. Bibout (ast. J. Ito) 73'
90' C. Nielsen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Standard Liege 18%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Standard Liege.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
T. Mohr
47'
S. Assengue / M. Fossey
Y. Medina
64'
M. Smets
67'
Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
70'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg / K. Karetsas
70'
A. Bibout · ast. J. Ito
73'
76'
T. Nkada / T. Mohr
77'
B. Nguene / A. Abid
83'
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda / S. Assengue
83'
J. Homawoo / D. Bates
K. Karetsas / A. Yokoyama
84'
M. Sadick
90'
90'
C. Nielsen
90'
R. Said
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Genk
23.19%
X ←
18.12%
Standard
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.92
2.15
+0.23
Standard
0.93
0.64
-0.29
Genk dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 6 16
2 Gent Gent 6 16
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 6 15
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 6 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 6 9
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Antwerp Antwerp 6 7
12 Lommel United Lommel United 6 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 6 7
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 6 3
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 6 1
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19 Y. Medina Y. Medina 69' D 7.00
6 M. Smets M. Smets D 6.90
3 Mujaid Sadick Mujaid Sadick D 7.00
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.30
8 B. Heynen B. Heynen M 7.90
21 I. Bangoura I. Bangoura M 6.30
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 69' M 7.20
10 J. Ito J. Ito 1 👟 M 8.20
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.60
23 A. Bibout A. Bibout 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
44 J. Kongolo J. Kongolo D
7 J. Steuckers J. Steuckers F
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 15' M 6.90
29 R. Mirisola R. Mirisola F
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
18 H. Lawrence H. Lawrence D 6.60
4 David Robert Bates David Robert Bates 83' D 6.20
25
D 7.50
3 G. Mortensen G. Mortensen M 6.30
20 I. Karamoko I. Karamoko M 7.60
94 C. Nielsen C. Nielsen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
13 M. Fossey M. Fossey 45' M 6.70
7 T. Mohr T. Mohr 76' F 6.20
11 A. Abid A. Abid 76' F 6.90
17 Rafiki Saïd Rafiki Saïd F 6.60
Bench
26 Bernard Nguene Bernard Nguene 14' F 6.20
29 D. Dierckx D. Dierckx D
24
J. Homawoo 13' D 6.60
53 Steeven Assengue Steeven Assengue 38' M 6.70
59 T. Nkada T. Nkada 14' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
J. Ito
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
C. Nielsen
C. Nielsen
M · Standard
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
B. Heynen
B. Heynen
M · Genk
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
G · Standard
7.90
· 33 pass
I. Karamoko
I. Karamoko
M · Standard
7.60
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 10 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 38 24%
Y. Medina D 69 7.00 43 40% 1
M. Smets D 90 6.90 2 89 83% 2 1
Mujaid Sadick D 90 7.00 50 49% 4 1
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 1 42 37%
B. Heynen M 90 7.90 1 61 54% 1
I. Bangoura M 90 6.30 47 41% 1
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 69 7.20 25 20% 4
J. Ito M 90 8.20 1 42 33%
D. Heymans M 90 6.60 4 45 36%
A. Bibout F 90 7.60 1 5 10 9% 1
K. Karetsas M 15 6.90 2 6 5%
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 33 18%
H. Lawrence D 90 6.60 32 28% 2
David Robert Bates D 83 6.20 37 30% 1
D 90 7.50 1 31 29% 4
G. Mortensen M 90 6.30 27 23% 1
I. Karamoko M 90 7.60 1 31 26% 2
C. Nielsen M 90 7.90 1 2 34 22% 2
M. Fossey M 45 6.70 10 6%
T. Mohr F 76 6.20 21 15% 1
A. Abid F 76 6.90 23 18% 1
Rafiki Saïd F 90 6.60 2 20 17% 1 1
Bernard Nguene F 14 6.20 5 4%
J. Homawoo D 13 6.60 6 4%
Steeven Assengue M 38 6.70 13 10% 1
T. Nkada F 14 6.20
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Standard Liege win.