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Pro League · Conference League Group - 35 April 25, 2026 18:15 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk
#6 · 15 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Standard Liege
#9 · 11 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
A. Bibout (ast. J. Ito) 73'
90' C. Nielsen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Standard Liege 18%). The final result was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. In 4 previous meetings, Genk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Standard Liege.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
2
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
T. Mohr
47'
S. Assengue / M. Fossey ↕
Y. Medina
64'
M. Smets
67'
↕ Y. Medina / J. Kayembe
70'
↕ N. Adedeji-Sternberg / K. Karetsas
70'
⚽A. Bibout · ast. J. Ito
73'
76'
T. Nkada / T. Mohr ↕
77'
B. Nguene / A. Abid ↕
83'
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda / S. Assengue ↕
83'
J. Homawoo / D. Bates ↕
↕ K. Karetsas / A. Yokoyama
84'
M. Sadick
90'
90'
C. Nielsen⚽
90'
R. Said
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Genk
23.19%
X ←
18.12%
Standard
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genk
1.92
2.15
+0.23
Standard
0.93
0.64
-0.29
Genk dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 7.00
19 Yaimar Medina Yaimar Medina 69' D 7.00
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
3
Mujaid Sadick D 7.00
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 7.30
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen M 7.90
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 6.30
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 69' M 7.20
10 J. Ito J. Ito 1 👟 M 8.20
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans M 6.60
23 A. Bibout A. Bibout 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D
7 J. Steuckers J. Steuckers F
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 15' M 6.90
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola F
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor F
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
18 Henry Lawrence Henry Lawrence D 6.60
4 David Robert Bates David Robert Bates 83' D 6.20
25
D 7.50
3 G. Mortensen G. Mortensen M 6.30
20 Ibrahim Karamoko Ibrahim Karamoko M 7.60
94 C. Nielsen C. Nielsen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
13 Marlon Fossey Marlon Fossey 45' M 6.70
7 Tobias Mohr Tobias Mohr 76' F 6.20
11 A. Abid A. Abid 76' F 6.90
17 R. Saïd R. Saïd F 6.60
Bench
26 Bernard Nguene Bernard Nguene 14' F 6.20
29 Daan Dierckx Daan Dierckx D
24
J. Homawoo 13' D 6.60
53 Steeven Assengue Steeven Assengue 38' M 6.70
59 T. Nkada T. Nkada 14' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
J. Ito
J. Ito
M · Genk
8.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
C. Nielsen
C. Nielsen
M · Standard
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen
M · Genk
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
G · Standard
7.90
· 33 pass
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko
M · Standard
7.60
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
F · Genk
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 10 pass
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 38 24% — — —
Yaimar Medina D 69 7.00 — — — 43 40% — 1 —
Matte Smets D 90 6.90 — — 2 89 83% 2 1 —
Mujaid Sadick D 90 7.00 — — — 50 49% 4 1 —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 7.30 — — 1 42 37% — — —
Bryan Heynen M 90 7.90 — — 1 61 54% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 90 6.30 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 69 7.20 — — — 25 20% 4 — —
J. Ito M 90 8.20 — 1 — 42 33% — — —
D. Heymans M 90 6.60 — — 4 45 36% — — —
A. Bibout F 90 7.60 1 — 5 10 9% 1 — —
K. Karetsas M 15 6.90 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 18% — — —
Henry Lawrence D 90 6.60 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
David Robert Bates D 83 6.20 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 31 29% 4 — —
G. Mortensen M 90 6.30 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
Ibrahim Karamoko M 90 7.60 — — 1 31 26% 2 — —
C. Nielsen M 90 7.90 1 — 2 34 22% 2 — —
Marlon Fossey M 45 6.70 — — — 10 6% — — —
Tobias Mohr F 76 6.20 — — — 21 15% — 1 —
A. Abid F 76 6.90 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
R. Saïd F 90 6.60 — — 2 20 17% 1 1 —
Bernard Nguene F 14 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Homawoo D 13 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
Steeven Assengue M 38 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
T. Nkada F 14 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Genk 1–1 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Standard Liege win.