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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 23:30
GIL Vicente
#6 · 50 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Guimaraes
#8 · 42 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction GIL Vicente, result Guimaraes vince
66' (ast. Gonçalo Nogueira) Gustavo Silva

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Guimaraes 24%). The final result was GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes. In 1 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guimaraes.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
1.21
Actual xG
0.82
2
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
10
Corners
3
9
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
36'
↕ Agustín Moreira / Joelson Fernandes
63'
64'
Gonçalo Nogueira / Diogo Sousa ↕
64'
Oumar Camara / Miguel Nogueira ↕
66'
ast. Gonçalo Nogueira · Gustavo Silva⚽
↕ Facundo Cáseres / Zé Carlos
73'
↕ Luís Esteves / Martin Fernández
73'
74'
Nélson Oliveira / Gustavo Silva ↕
↕ Santi García / Hector Hernandez
79'
↕ Gustavo Varela / Carlos Eduardo
79'
81'
Thiago Balieiro
Ghislain Konan
83'
83'
Charles
84'
Tony Strata / Miguel Maga ↕
84'
Rodrigo Abascal / Samu ↕
Zé Carlos
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
53.03%
GIL
22.82%
X
24.16%
Guimaraes ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guimaraes) 24.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
GIL
1.83
1.21
-0.62
Guimaraes
1.36
0.82
-0.55
GIL Vicente dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
99 Dani Figueira Dani Figueira G 7.20
3 Ghislain Konan Ghislain Konan D 6.30
39 Jonathan Buatu Jonathan Buatu D 6.20
48 Antonio Espigares Antonio Espigares D 6.90
2 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos D 6.50
10 Luís Esteves Luís Esteves 73' M 7.00
5 Facundo Cáseres Facundo Cáseres 73' M 6.30
27 Agustín Moreira Agustín Moreira 63' M 6.30
95 Santi García Santi García 79' M 6.60
77 Murilo Murilo M 7.70
89 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela 79' F 7.00
Bench
29 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 18' F 6.30
23 Héctor Hernández Héctor Hernández 18' F 6.50
20 Hevertton Santos Hevertton Santos D
45
J. Mutombo D
32 Martin Fernández Martin Fernández 24' M 6.70
80
Rodrigo Rodrigues M
6 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos 24' M 6.50
Guimaraes Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 8.50
13 João Mendes João Mendes D 7.30
28
Thiago Balieiro D 7.70
4
D 7.20
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga 84' D 6.90
16
M 6.90
23
Diogo Sousa 64' M 7.20
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo M 6.30
20 Samu Samu 84' M 6.90
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 64' M 6.30
11 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.00
Bench
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 1 👟 33' M 6.90
19 Oumar Camara Oumar Camara 33' F 6.70
66 Tony Strata Tony Strata 13' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Charles
Charles
G · Guimaraes
8.50
· 27 pass
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva
F · Guimaraes
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Thiago Balieiro
D · Guimaraes
7.70
· 54 pass
Murilo
Murilo
M · GIL
7.70
1 shots · 23 pass
João Mendes
João Mendes
D · Guimaraes
7.30
· 39 pass
Diogo Sousa
M · Guimaraes
7.20
· 31 pass
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Figueira G 97 7.20 — — — 31 23% — — —
Ghislain Konan D 97 6.30 — — — 43 32% 1 1 —
Jonathan Buatu D 97 6.20 — — — 43 37% 1 — —
Antonio Espigares D 97 6.90 — — 1 55 41% 1 — —
Zé Carlos D 97 6.50 — — 1 41 30% 2 1 —
Luís Esteves M 73 7.00 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
Facundo Cáseres M 73 6.30 — — — 36 29% — — —
Agustín Moreira M 63 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Santi García M 79 6.60 — — — 22 17% — — —
Murilo M 97 7.70 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
Gustavo Varela F 79 7.00 — — 3 8 4% — — —
Carlos Eduardo F 18 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Héctor Hernández F 18 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Martin Fernández M 24 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Zé Carlos M 24 6.50 — — — 15 10% — — —
Guimaraes Guimaraes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 97 8.50 — — — 27 13% — 1 —
João Mendes D 97 7.30 — — — 39 27% 5 — —
Thiago Balieiro D 97 7.70 — — — 54 44% 4 1 —
D 97 7.20 — — — 57 49% 1 — —
Miguel Maga D 84 6.90 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
M 97 6.90 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
Diogo Sousa M 64 7.20 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
Noah Saviolo M 97 6.30 — — 2 16 12% — — —
Samu M 84 6.90 — — 1 20 16% 3 — —
Miguel Nogueira M 64 6.30 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
Gustavo Silva F 74 8.00 1 — 4 10 5% — — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 33 6.90 — 1 — 3 2% 2 — —
Oumar Camara F 33 6.70 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Tony Strata D 13 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
The final score was GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
The model assigned 53% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Guimaraes win.