✗Model wrong — prediction GIL Vicente, result Guimaraes wins
66'
(ast. Gonçalo Nogueira)
Gustavo Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Guimaraes 24%). The final result was GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes. In 1 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guimaraes.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
1.21
Actual xG
0.82
2
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
10
Corners
3
9
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
36'
Agustín Moreira
/ Joelson Fernandes
63'
64'
Gonçalo Nogueira
/
Diogo Sousa
64'
Oumar Camara
/
Miguel Nogueira
66'
ast. Gonçalo Nogueira ·
Gustavo Silva⚽
Facundo Cáseres
/ Zé Carlos
73'
Luís Esteves
/ Martin Fernández
73'
74'
Nélson Oliveira
/
Gustavo Silva
Santi García
/ Hector Hernandez
79'
Gustavo Varela
/ Carlos Eduardo
79'
81'
Thiago Balieiro
Ghislain Konan
83'
83'
Charles
84'
Tony Strata
/
Miguel Maga
84'
Rodrigo Abascal
/
Samu
Zé Carlos
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
53.03%
GIL
22.82%
X
24.16%
Guimaraes ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Guimaraes)
24.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.21
-0.62
1.36
0.82
-0.55
GIL Vicente dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Dani Figueira
G
3
Ghislain Konan
D
Ghislain Konan
D
39
Jonathan Buatu
D
Jonathan Buatu
D
48
Antonio Espigares
D
Antonio Espigares
D
2
Zé Carlos
D
Zé Carlos
D
10
Luís Esteves
73'
M
Luís Esteves
73'
M
5
Facundo Cáseres
73'
M
Facundo Cáseres
73'
M
27
Agustín Moreira
63'
M
Agustín Moreira
63'
M
95
Santi García
79'
M
Santi García
79'
M
77
Murilo
M
Murilo
M
89
Gustavo Varela
79'
F
Gustavo Varela
79'
F
Bench
29
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
23
Héctor Hernández
18'
F
Héctor Hernández
18'
F
20
Hevertton Santos
D
Hevertton Santos
D
45
J. Mutombo
D
32
Martin Fernández
24'
M
Martin Fernández
24'
M
80
Rodrigo Rodrigues
M
6
Zé Carlos
24'
M
Zé Carlos
24'
M
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
Thiago Balieiro
D
4
D
2
Miguel Maga
84'
D
Miguel Maga
84'
D
16
M
23
Diogo Sousa
64'
M
48
Noah Saviolo
M
Noah Saviolo
M
20
Samu
84'
M
Samu
84'
M
88
Miguel Nogueira
64'
M
Miguel Nogueira
64'
M
11
Gustavo Silva
1 ⚽
74'
F
Gustavo Silva
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
1 👟
33'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
1 👟
33'
M
19
Oumar Camara
33'
F
Oumar Camara
33'
F
66
Tony Strata
13'
D
Tony Strata
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Charles
G · Guimaraes
8.50
· 27 pass
Gustavo Silva
F · Guimaraes
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
Thiago Balieiro
D · Guimaraes
7.70
· 54 pass
Murilo
M · GIL
7.70
1 shots
· 23 pass
João Mendes
D · Guimaraes
7.30
· 39 pass
Diogo Sousa
M · Guimaraes
7.20
· 31 pass
GIL Vicente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Figueira | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ghislain Konan | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Espigares | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Cáseres | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Moreira | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Héctor Hernández | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Martin Fernández | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
Guimaraes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| João Mendes | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — | |
| Miguel Maga | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Saviolo | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | F | 74 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Oumar Camara | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tony Strata | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
The final score was GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
The model assigned 53% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Guimaraes win.