← League Two
#17 · 53 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#7 · 78 pts
Model correct — prediction Grimsby
G. McCleary (ast. A. Little) 55'
42' (ast. K. Green) A. Cook
74' J. Kabia
80' (ast. C. Vernam) K. Green
85' (ast. K. Green) C. Vernam

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grimsby a 57% win probability (draw 19%, Gillingham 23%). The final result was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby. In 1 previous meetings, Gillingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Grimsby.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
42'
ast. K. Green · A. Cook
A. Little
45'+3
45'
J. Amaluzor
G. McCleary · ast. A. Little
55'
66'
G. D. Turi / J. Walker
74'
J. Kabia
76'
J. Sweeney / R. Staunton
76'
C. Vernam / J. Kabia
76'
D. Burns / J. Amaluzor
C. Masterson / S. Vokes
78'
L. Cirino / B. Dack
79'
80'
ast. C. Vernam · K. Green
85'
ast. K. Green · C. Vernam
G. McCleary / T. Akomeah
87'
88'
T. Warren / C. Oduor
N. Khumbeni / H. Waldock
88'
R. Hale
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Gillingham
19.24%
X
57.48%
Grimsby ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Grimsby) 57.48% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gillingham
0.74
Grimsby
2.09
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bromley Bromley 46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 46 86
3 Cambridge United Cambridge United 46 82
4 Salford City Salford City 46 81
5 Notts County Notts County 46 80
6 Chesterfield Chesterfield 46 79
7 Grimsby Grimsby 46 78
8 Barnet Barnet 46 76
9 Swindon Town Swindon Town 46 75
10 Oldham Oldham 46 68
11 Crewe Crewe 46 67
12 Colchester Colchester 46 66
13 Walsall Walsall 46 65
14 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 46 62
15 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 46 61
16 Accrington ST Accrington ST 46 53
17 Gillingham Gillingham 46 53
18 Cheltenham Cheltenham 46 52
19 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 46 49
20 Newport County Newport County 46 43
21 Tranmere Tranmere 46 41
22 Crawley Town Crawley Town 46 40
23 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 46 39
24 Barrow Barrow 46 36
Lineups
Gillingham Gillingham 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.00
3
D 6.30
4
C. Masterson 78' D 6.90
30
Sam Gale D 6.50
2
D 5.60
27
Nelson Khumbeni 88' M 6.30
8
A. Little 1 👟 M 7.30
32
L. Cirino 79' M 6.70
7
Garath McCleary 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
12
S. Palmer-Houlden M 6.00
38 Ronan Hale Ronan Hale F 6.20
Bench
23
B. Dack 11' M 6.50
24
H. Waldock 2' M
19
S. Vokes 12' F 6.30
Grimsby Grimsby 4-1-4-1
31
G 6.20
16
Reece Staunton 76' D 7.20
17
D 7.20
2
M. Kacurri D 6.90
5
H. Rodgers D 6.60
7
J. Walker 66' M 6.70
9
76' M 7.30
29
C. Oduor 88' M 6.30
4
K. Green 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 10.00
14
76' M 5.50
39
A. Cook 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
30
C. Vernam 1 ⚽ 1 👟 14' F 7.90
18
Darragh Burns 14' M 6.50
15
G. D. Turi 24' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
K. Green
M · Grimsby
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
C. Vernam
F · Grimsby
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 2 pass
M · Grimsby
7.30
1 shots · 9 pass
A. Little
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 36 pass
Garath McCleary
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
Reece Staunton
D · Grimsby
7.20
· 29 pass
Gillingham Gillingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.00 41 18%
D 90 6.30 40 26% 4
C. Masterson D 78 6.90 28 25%
Sam Gale D 90 6.50 30 19% 2
D 90 5.60 26 17% 3
Nelson Khumbeni M 88 6.30 19 9% 1
A. Little M 90 7.30 1 1 36 29% 3 1
L. Cirino M 79 6.70 9 4% 2
Garath McCleary M 87 7.30 1 2 21 16%
S. Palmer-Houlden M 90 6.00 1 11 5%
Ronan Hale F 90 6.20 3 9 7%
B. Dack M 11 6.50 2 2%
H. Waldock M 2 3 2%
S. Vokes F 12 6.30 1 1%
Grimsby Grimsby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 39 29%
Reece Staunton D 76 7.20 29 19%
D 90 7.20 55 37% 2
M. Kacurri D 90 6.90 33 24%
H. Rodgers D 90 6.60 25 14% 1
J. Walker M 66 6.70 1 19 9% 3
M 76 7.30 1 9 5% 1
C. Oduor M 88 6.30 18 14% 2
K. Green M 90 10.00 1 2 2 28 22%
M 76 5.50 15 8% 1
A. Cook F 90 6.90 1 3 13 9% 1
C. Vernam F 14 7.90 1 1 1 2 1%
Darragh Burns M 14 6.50 1 1%
G. D. Turi M 24 6.60 4 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The final score was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby.
What did the model predict before Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Gillingham win, 19% to a draw, and 57% to an Grimsby win.