League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Grimsby
G. McCleary
(ast. A. Little)
55'
42'
(ast. K. Green)
A. Cook
74'
J. Kabia
80'
(ast. C. Vernam)
K. Green
85'
(ast. K. Green)
C. Vernam
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grimsby a 57% win probability (draw 19%, Gillingham 23%). The final result was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby. In 1 previous meetings, Gillingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Grimsby.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
42'
ast. K. Green ·
A. Cook⚽
A. Little
45'+3
45'
J. Amaluzor
⚽G. McCleary
· ast. A. Little
55'
66'
G. D. Turi
/
J. Walker
74'
J. Kabia⚽
76'
J. Sweeney
/
R. Staunton
76'
C. Vernam
/
J. Kabia
76'
D. Burns
/
J. Amaluzor
C. Masterson
/ S. Vokes
78'
L. Cirino
/ B. Dack
79'
80'
ast. C. Vernam ·
K. Green⚽
85'
ast. K. Green ·
C. Vernam⚽
G. McCleary
/ T. Akomeah
87'
88'
T. Warren
/
C. Oduor
N. Khumbeni
/ H. Waldock
88'
R. Hale
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Gillingham
19.24%
X
57.48%
Grimsby ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Grimsby)
57.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
2.09
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
D
4
C. Masterson
78'
D
30
Sam Gale
D
2
D
27
Nelson Khumbeni
88'
M
8
A. Little
1 👟
M
32
L. Cirino
79'
M
7
Garath McCleary
1 ⚽
87'
M
12
S. Palmer-Houlden
M
38
Ronan Hale
F
Ronan Hale
F
Bench
23
B. Dack
11'
M
24
H. Waldock
2'
M
19
S. Vokes
12'
F
31
G
16
Reece Staunton
76'
D
17
D
2
M. Kacurri
D
5
H. Rodgers
D
7
J. Walker
66'
M
9
76'
M
29
C. Oduor
88'
M
4
K. Green
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
14
76'
M
39
A. Cook
1 ⚽
F
Bench
30
C. Vernam
1 ⚽
1 👟
14'
F
18
Darragh Burns
14'
M
15
G. D. Turi
24'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Green
M · Grimsby
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
C. Vernam
F · Grimsby
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 2 pass
M · Grimsby
7.30
1 shots
· 9 pass
A. Little
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Garath McCleary
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Reece Staunton
D · Grimsby
7.20
· 29 pass
Gillingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Masterson | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Sam Gale | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — | |
| Nelson Khumbeni | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Little | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Cirino | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Garath McCleary | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Hale | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Dack | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Waldock | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Vokes | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Grimsby — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Reece Staunton | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Kacurri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodgers | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Walker | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Oduor | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Green | M | 90 | 10.00 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M | 76 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — | |
| A. Cook | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vernam | F | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Darragh Burns | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. D. Turi | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The final score was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby.
What did the model predict before Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Gillingham win, 19% to a draw, and 57% to an Grimsby win.