League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Grimsby
G. McCleary
(ast. A. Little)
55'
42'
(ast. K. Green)
A. Cook
74'
J. Kabia
80'
(ast. C. Vernam)
K. Green
85'
(ast. K. Green)
C. Vernam
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grimsby a 57% win probability (draw 19%, Gillingham 23%). The final result was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby. In 1 previous meetings, Gillingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Grimsby.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
42'
ast. K. Green ·
A. Cook⚽
A. Little
45'+3
45'
J. Amaluzor
⚽G. McCleary
· ast. A. Little
55'
66'
G. D. Turi
/
J. Walker
74'
J. Kabia⚽
76'
J. Sweeney
/
R. Staunton
76'
C. Vernam
/
J. Kabia
76'
D. Burns
/
J. Amaluzor
C. Masterson
/ S. Vokes
78'
L. Cirino
/ B. Dack
79'
80'
ast. C. Vernam ·
K. Green⚽
85'
ast. K. Green ·
C. Vernam⚽
G. McCleary
/ T. Akomeah
87'
88'
T. Warren
/
C. Oduor
N. Khumbeni
/ H. Waldock
88'
R. Hale
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Gillingham
19.24%
X
57.48%
Grimsby ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Grimsby)
57.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
2.09
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
D
4
C. Masterson
78'
D
C. Masterson
78'
D
30
S. Gale
D
S. Gale
D
2
D
27
Nelson Khumbeni
88'
M
8
A. Little
1 👟
M
32
L. Cirino
79'
M
7
Garath McCleary
1 ⚽
87'
M
12
S. Palmer-Houlden
M
S. Palmer-Houlden
M
38
Ronan Hale
F
Ronan Hale
F
Bench
23
B. Dack
11'
M
24
Harry Waldock
2'
M
Harry Waldock
2'
M
19
S. Vokes
12'
F
31
G
16
R. Staunton
76'
D
R. Staunton
76'
D
17
D
2
Maldini Kacurri
D
Maldini Kacurri
D
5
Harvey Rodgers
D
Harvey Rodgers
D
7
Jamie Walker
66'
M
Jamie Walker
66'
M
9
76'
M
29
Clarke Oduor
88'
M
4
K. Green
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
K. Green
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
14
76'
M
39
Andy Cook
1 ⚽
F
Andy Cook
1 ⚽
F
Bench
30
Charles Vernam
1 ⚽
1 👟
14'
F
Charles Vernam
1 ⚽
1 👟
14'
F
18
D. Burns
14'
M
D. Burns
14'
M
15
Géza Dávid Turi
24'
M
Géza Dávid Turi
24'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Green
M · Grimsby
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Charles Vernam
F · Grimsby
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 2 pass
M · Grimsby
7.30
1 shots
· 9 pass
A. Little
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Garath McCleary
M · Gillingham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
R. Staunton
D · Grimsby
7.20
· 29 pass
Gillingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Masterson | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| S. Gale | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — | |
| Nelson Khumbeni | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Little | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Cirino | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Garath McCleary | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Hale | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Dack | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Harry Waldock | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Vokes | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Grimsby — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| R. Staunton | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| Maldini Kacurri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Harvey Rodgers | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie Walker | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clarke Oduor | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Green | M | 90 | 10.00 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M | 76 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — | |
| Andy Cook | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles Vernam | F | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Géza Dávid Turi | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The final score was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby.
What did the model predict before Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Gillingham win, 19% to a draw, and 57% to an Grimsby win.