League Two · Regular Season - 44 April 18, 2026 16:00

Gillingham

#12 · 17 pts

1 – 4

Final score

Grimsby

#11 · 17 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Grimsby

G. McCleary (ast. A. Little) 55'

42' (ast. K. Green) A. Cook

74' J. Kabia

80' (ast. C. Vernam) K. Green

85' (ast. K. Green) C. Vernam

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grimsby a 57% win probability (draw 19%, Gillingham 23%). The final result was Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby. In 2 previous meetings, Gillingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Grimsby.

Match statistics

7

Total shots

8

1

Shots on target

6

2

Saves

0

49%

Possession

51%

3

Corners

2

15

Tackles

10

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

42'

ast. K. Green · A. Cook⚽

A. Little

45'+3

45'

J. Amaluzor

⚽G. McCleary · ast. A. Little

55'

66'

G. D. Turi / J. Walker ↕

74'

J. Kabia⚽

76'

J. Sweeney / R. Staunton ↕

76'

C. Vernam / J. Kabia ↕

76'

D. Burns / J. Amaluzor ↕

↕ C. Masterson / S. Vokes

78'

↕ L. Cirino / B. Dack

79'

80'

ast. C. Vernam · K. Green⚽

85'

ast. K. Green · C. Vernam⚽

↕ G. McCleary / T. Akomeah

87'

88'

T. Warren / C. Oduor ↕

↕ N. Khumbeni / H. Waldock

88'

R. Hale

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

23.28%

Gillingham

19.24%

X

57.48%

Grimsby ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Grimsby) 57.48% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Gillingham

0.74

—

—

Grimsby

2.09

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Salford City	13	28
2	Barnet	12	25
3	Cheltenham	13	21
4	Crewe	13	21
5	York	13	20
6	Walsall	12	19
7	Chesterfield	13	19
8	Exeter City	13	19
9	Accrington ST	13	18
10	Shrewsbury	13	18
11	Grimsby	13	17
12	Gillingham	13	17
13	Tranmere	13	16
14	Swindon Town	13	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	16
16	Newport County	13	15
17	Rochdale	13	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	14
19	Northampton	11	13
20	Oldham	12	12
21	Colchester	12	12
22	Rotherham	13	12
23	Port Vale	11	12
24	Crawley Town	11	6

Lineups

Gillingham 4-2-3-1

1

G 6.00

3

D 6.30

4 C. Masterson 78' D 6.90

30 S. Gale D 6.50

2

D 5.60

27

Nelson Khumbeni 88' M 6.30

8

A. Little 1 👟 M 7.30

32 Lenni Rae Cirino 79' M 6.70

7

Garath McCleary 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30

12 S. Palmer-Houlden M 6.00

38 Ronan Hale F 6.20

Bench

23

B. Dack 11' M 6.50

24 Harry Waldock 2' M

19

S. Vokes 12' F 6.30

Grimsby 4-1-4-1

31

G 6.20

16 R. Staunton 76' D 7.20

17

D 7.20

2 Maldini Kacurri D 6.90

5 Harvey Rodgers D 6.60

7 Jamie Walker 66' M 6.70

9

76' M 7.30

29

Clarke Oduor 88' M 6.30

4 K. Green 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 10.00

14

76' M 5.50

39 Andy Cook 1 ⚽ F 6.90

Bench

30 C. Vernam 1 ⚽ 1 👟 14' F 7.90

18 D. Burns 14' M 6.50

15 G. Turi 24' M 6.60

Best on the pitch

K. Green

M · Grimsby

10.00

1 ⚽ 2 👟

2 shots · 28 pass

C. Vernam

F · Grimsby

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 2 pass

M · Grimsby

7.30

1 shots · 9 pass

A. Little

M · Gillingham

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 36 pass

Garath McCleary

M · Gillingham

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

R. Staunton

D · Grimsby

7.20

· 29 pass

Gillingham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	41	18%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	40	26%	4	—	—
C. Masterson	D	78	6.90	—	—	—	28	25%	—	—	—
S. Gale	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	30	19%	2	—	—
	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	26	17%	3	—	—
Nelson Khumbeni	M	88	6.30	—	—	—	19	9%	1	—	—
A. Little	M	90	7.30	—	1	1	36	29%	3	1	—
Lenni Rae Cirino	M	79	6.70	—	—	—	9	4%	2	—	—
Garath McCleary	M	87	7.30	1	—	2	21	16%	—	—	—
S. Palmer-Houlden	M	90	6.00	—	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
Ronan Hale	F	90	6.20	—	—	3	9	7%	—	—	—
B. Dack	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Harry Waldock	M	2	—	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
S. Vokes	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Grimsby — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
R. Staunton	D	76	7.20	—	—	—	29	19%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	55	37%	2	—	—
Maldini Kacurri	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	24%	—	—	—
Harvey Rodgers	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	25	14%	1	—	—
Jamie Walker	M	66	6.70	—	—	1	19	9%	3	—	—
	M	76	7.30	—	—	1	9	5%	1	—	—
Clarke Oduor	M	88	6.30	—	—	—	18	14%	2	—	—
K. Green	M	90	10.00	1	2	2	28	22%	—	—	—
	M	76	5.50	—	—	—	15	8%	—	1	—
Andy Cook	F	90	6.90	1	—	3	13	9%	1	—	—
C. Vernam	F	14	7.90	1	1	1	2	1%	—	—	—
D. Burns	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
G. Turi	M	24	6.60	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—