← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 13 April 26, 2026 23:00
Gremio
#17 · 17 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Coritiba
#9 · 20 pts
Gabriel Mec (ast. J. Enamorado) 43'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Coritiba 29%). The final result was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
1.20
Actual xG
0.65
4
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
Carlos Vinicius
10'
30'
Bruno Melo
34'
Felipe Jonatan / Breno Lopes ↕
35'
⚽Gabriel Mec · ast. J. Enamorado
43'
L. Perez
45'+6
45'+8
Vini Paulista
45'+8
Breno Lopes
↕ L. Perez / E. Noriega
46'
Viery
48'
59'
Willian Oliveira / Vini Paulista ↕
59'
Joao Pedro Chermont / Maicon ↕
↕ J. Enamorado / Tete
69'
↕ Gabriel Mec / J. Nardoni
75'
↕ Carlos Vinicius / M. Braithwaite
75'
78'
J. Lavega / Pedro Rocha ↕
78'
Tiago Coser / Thiago Santos ↕
↕ Arthur Melo / Riquelme
89'
90'+2
L. Castro
90'+5
L. Castro
90'+5
90'+8
Jacy
Pre-match prediction
38.27%
Gremio ←
32.18%
X
29.54%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio) 38.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gremio
0.96
1.20
+0.24
Coritiba
0.85
0.65
-0.2
Gremio dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Gremio Gremio 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.50
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel D 6.90
44 Viery Viery D 8.00
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D 6.90
7 Cristian Pavón Cristian Pavón D 7.60
8
Arthur Melo 89' M 7.90
33 Leonel Pérez Leonel Pérez 45' M 6.30
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu M 6.90
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90
99 José Enamorado José Enamorado 1 👟 69' M 7.20
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 75' F 6.20
Bench
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista D
19 Erick Noriega Erick Noriega 55' M 7.60
2 Fabián Balbuena Fabián Balbuena D
5
J. Nardoni 25' M 6.90
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha D
22 Martin Braithwaite Martin Braithwaite 25' F 6.70
65
Riquelme 11' M 6.30
21 Tetê Tetê 31' F 6.70
4 Walter Kannemann Walter Kannemann D
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.90
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo 30' D 5.20
3
Maicon 59' D 6.90
55 Jacy Maranhão Jacy Maranhão D 7.50
2 Tinga Tinga D 6.30
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 59' M 6.70
21
Thiago Santos 78' M 6.90
77
Breno Lopes 34' M 7.00
10 Josué Josué M 7.50
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier M 6.30
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 78' F 6.90
Bench
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 66' D 6.90
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 41' D 6.70
7 Joaquín Lavega Joaquín Lavega 22' F 6.30
23
Tiago Coser 22' D 6.90
8 Wallisson Luiz Wallisson Luiz M
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira 41' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Viery
Viery
D · Gremio
8.00
· 62 pass
Arthur Melo
M · Gremio
7.90
· 77 pass
Gabriel Mec
Gabriel Mec
M · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Erick Noriega
Erick Noriega
M · Gremio
7.60
· 34 pass
Cristian Pavón
Cristian Pavón
D · Gremio
7.60
1 shots · 73 pass
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.50
· 60 pass
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 7.50 — — — 22 14% — — —
Pedro Gabriel D 100 6.90 — — 2 31 24% — — —
Viery D 100 8.00 — — — 62 54% 5 1 —
Wagner Leonardo D 100 6.90 — — 1 49 44% — — —
Cristian Pavón D 100 7.60 — — 1 73 68% 1 — —
Arthur Melo M 89 7.90 — — — 77 73% 2 — —
Leonel Pérez M 45 6.30 — — — 10 9% — 1 —
F. Amuzu M 100 6.90 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Gabriel Mec M 75 7.90 1 — 2 16 11% 2 — —
José Enamorado M 69 7.20 — 1 — 21 16% 1 — —
Carlos Vinícius F 75 6.20 — — 1 1 — — 1 —
Erick Noriega M 55 7.60 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
J. Nardoni M 25 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
Martin Braithwaite F 25 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Riquelme M 11 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Tetê F 31 6.70 — — 2 14 14% 1 — —
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 100 6.90 — — — 34 19% 1 — —
Bruno Melo D 30 5.20 — — 1 10 10% — — 1
Maicon D 59 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Jacy Maranhão D 90 7.50 — — 1 35 31% 3 — 1
Tinga D 100 6.30 — — 1 31 24% — — —
Vini Paulista M 59 6.70 — — 1 15 13% 2 1 —
Thiago Santos M 78 6.90 — — — 24 21% 2 — —
Breno Lopes M 34 7.00 — — 2 5 4% 1 1 —
Josué M 100 7.50 — — — 60 54% — — —
Lucas Ronier M 100 6.30 — — 3 30 21% 1 — —
Pedro Rocha F 78 6.90 — — 2 12 10% — — —
Felipe Jonatan D 66 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
João Pedro Chermont D 41 6.70 — — — 13 11% — — —
Joaquín Lavega F 22 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Tiago Coser D 22 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
Willian Oliveira M 41 6.50 — — — 18 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Coritiba?
The final score was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gremio win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Coritiba win.