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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 13 April 26, 2026 21:00
Gremio
#15 · 28 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Coritiba
#8 · 38 pts
Gabriel Mec (ast. J. Enamorado) 43'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Coritiba 29%). The final result was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
1.20
Actual xG
0.65
4
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
Carlos Vinicius
10'
30'
Bruno Melo
34'
Felipe Jonatan / Breno Lopes ↕
35'
⚽Gabriel Mec · ast. J. Enamorado
43'
L. Perez
45'+6
45'+8
Vini Paulista
45'+8
Breno Lopes
↕ L. Perez / E. Noriega
46'
Viery
48'
59'
Willian Oliveira / Vini Paulista ↕
59'
Joao Pedro Chermont / Maicon ↕
↕ J. Enamorado / Tete
69'
↕ Gabriel Mec / J. Nardoni
75'
↕ Carlos Vinicius / M. Braithwaite
75'
78'
J. Lavega / Pedro Rocha ↕
78'
Tiago Coser / Thiago Santos ↕
↕ Arthur Melo / Riquelme
89'
90'+2
L. Castro
90'+5
L. Castro
90'+5
90'+8
Jacy
Pre-match prediction
38.27%
Gremio ←
32.18%
X
29.54%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio) 38.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gremio
0.96
1.20
+0.24
Coritiba
0.85
0.65
-0.2
Gremio dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 26 32
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Gremio Gremio 26 28
16 Mirassol Mirassol 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Gremio Gremio 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.50
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel D 6.90
44 Viery Viery D 8.00
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D 6.90
7 C. Pavón C. Pavón D 7.60
8 Arthur Arthur 89' M 7.90
33 L. Pérez L. Pérez 45' M 6.30
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu M 6.90
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90
99 J. Enamorado J. Enamorado 1 👟 69' M 7.20
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 75' F 6.20
Bench
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista D
19 E. Noriega E. Noriega 55' M 7.60
2 F. Balbuena F. Balbuena D
5 J. Nardoni J. Nardoni 25' M 6.90
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha D
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite 25' F 6.70
65 Riquelme Freitas Riquelme Freitas 11' M 6.30
21 Tetê Tetê 31' F 6.70
4 W. Kannemann W. Kannemann D
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.90
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo 30' D 5.20
3 Maicon Maicon 59' D 6.90
55 Jacy Jacy D 7.50
2 Tinga Tinga D 6.30
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 59' M 6.70
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos 78' M 6.90
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes 34' M 7.00
10 Josué Josué M 7.50
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier M 6.30
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 78' F 6.90
Bench
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 66' D 6.90
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 22' F 6.30
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 41' D 6.70
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser 22' D 6.90
8 Wallisson Wallisson M
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira 41' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Viery
Viery
D · Gremio
8.00
· 62 pass
Arthur
Arthur
M · Gremio
7.90
· 77 pass
Gabriel Mec
Gabriel Mec
M · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
E. Noriega
E. Noriega
M · Gremio
7.60
· 34 pass
C. Pavón
C. Pavón
D · Gremio
7.60
1 shots · 73 pass
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.50
· 60 pass
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 7.50 — — — 22 14% — — —
Pedro Gabriel D 100 6.90 — — 2 31 24% — — —
Viery D 100 8.00 — — — 62 54% 5 1 —
Wagner Leonardo D 100 6.90 — — 1 49 44% — — —
C. Pavón D 100 7.60 — — 1 73 68% 1 — —
Arthur M 89 7.90 — — — 77 73% 2 — —
L. Pérez M 45 6.30 — — — 10 9% — 1 —
F. Amuzu M 100 6.90 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Gabriel Mec M 75 7.90 1 — 2 16 11% 2 — —
J. Enamorado M 69 7.20 — 1 — 21 16% 1 — —
Carlos Vinícius F 75 6.20 — — 1 1 — — 1 —
E. Noriega M 55 7.60 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
J. Nardoni M 25 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
M. Braithwaite F 25 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Riquelme Freitas M 11 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Tetê F 31 6.70 — — 2 14 14% 1 — —
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 100 6.90 — — — 34 19% 1 — —
Bruno Melo D 30 5.20 — — 1 10 10% — — 1
Maicon D 59 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Jacy D 90 7.50 — — 1 35 31% 3 — 1
Tinga D 100 6.30 — — 1 31 24% — — —
Vini Paulista M 59 6.70 — — 1 15 13% 2 1 —
Thiago Santos M 78 6.90 — — — 24 21% 2 — —
Breno Lopes M 34 7.00 — — 2 5 4% 1 1 —
Josué M 100 7.50 — — — 60 54% — — —
Lucas Ronier M 100 6.30 — — 3 30 21% 1 — —
Pedro Rocha F 78 6.90 — — 2 12 10% — — —
Felipe Jonatan D 66 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
J. Lavega F 22 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
João Pedro Chermont D 41 6.70 — — — 13 11% — — —
Tiago Cóser D 22 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
Willian Oliveira M 41 6.50 — — — 18 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Coritiba?
The final score was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gremio win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Coritiba win.