Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 13
April 26, 2026 23:00
Gabriel Mec
(ast. J. Enamorado)
43'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Coritiba 29%). The final result was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
1.20
Actual xG
0.65
4
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
Carlos Vinicius
10'
30'
Bruno Melo
34'
Felipe Jonatan
/
Breno Lopes
35'
⚽Gabriel Mec
· ast. J. Enamorado
43'
L. Perez
45'+6
45'+8
Vini Paulista
45'+8
Breno Lopes
L. Perez
/ E. Noriega
46'
Viery
48'
59'
Willian Oliveira
/
Vini Paulista
59'
Joao Pedro Chermont
/
Maicon
J. Enamorado
/ Tete
69'
Gabriel Mec
/ J. Nardoni
75'
Carlos Vinicius
/ M. Braithwaite
75'
78'
J. Lavega
/
Pedro Rocha
78'
Tiago Coser
/
Thiago Santos
Arthur Melo
/ Riquelme
89'
90'+2
L. Castro
90'+5
L. Castro
90'+5
90'+8
Jacy
Pre-match prediction
38.27%
Gremio ←
32.18%
X
29.54%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
38.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.20
+0.24
0.85
0.65
-0.2
Gremio dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
7
Cristian Pavón
D
Cristian Pavón
D
8
Arthur
89'
M
Arthur
89'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
9
F. Amuzu
M
F. Amuzu
M
37
Gabriel Mec
1 ⚽
75'
M
Gabriel Mec
1 ⚽
75'
M
99
José Enamorado
1 👟
69'
M
José Enamorado
1 👟
69'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
75'
F
Carlos Vinícius
75'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
19
Erick Noriega
55'
M
Erick Noriega
55'
M
2
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
5
J. Nardoni
25'
M
J. Nardoni
25'
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
25'
F
Martin Braithwaite
25'
F
65
Riquelme Freitas
11'
M
Riquelme Freitas
11'
M
21
Tetê
31'
F
Tetê
31'
F
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
30'
D
Bruno Melo
30'
D
3
Maicon
59'
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
2
Tinga
D
Tinga
D
36
Vini Paulista
59'
M
Vini Paulista
59'
M
21
Thiago Santos
78'
M
Thiago Santos
78'
M
77
Breno Lopes
34'
M
Breno Lopes
34'
M
10
Josué
M
Josué
M
11
Lucas Ronier
M
Lucas Ronier
M
32
Pedro Rocha
78'
F
Pedro Rocha
78'
F
Bench
6
Felipe Jonatan
66'
D
Felipe Jonatan
66'
D
7
J. Lavega
22'
F
J. Lavega
22'
F
44
João Pedro Chermont
41'
D
João Pedro Chermont
41'
D
23
Tiago Cóser
22'
D
Tiago Cóser
22'
D
8
Wallisson Luiz
M
Wallisson Luiz
M
29
Willian Oliveira
41'
M
Willian Oliveira
41'
M
Best on the pitch
Viery
D · Gremio
8.00
· 62 pass
Arthur
M · Gremio
7.90
· 77 pass
Gabriel Mec
M · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Erick Noriega
M · Gremio
7.60
· 34 pass
Cristian Pavón
D · Gremio
7.60
1 shots
· 73 pass
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.50
· 60 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Viery | D | 100 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 100 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 75 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 55 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 30 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | 1 |
| Maicon | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Tinga | D | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josué | M | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Lavega | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Coritiba?
The final score was Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gremio win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Coritiba win.