Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 18:45

Groningen

#9 · 45 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Excelsior

#14 · 35 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Groningen, result Excelsior vince

T. de Jonge (ast. D. van der Werff) 3'

Y. Taha (ast. T. de Jonge) 47'

40' (ast. E. Hansson) C. Widell

65' (ast. R. Meissen) D. Sanches Fernandes

90' (ast. A. Zagre) G. de Regt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 17%). The final result was Groningen 2–3 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, Groningen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

9

0.87

Actual xG

2.38

5

Saves

3

56%

Possession

44%

5

Corners

8

13

Tackles

8

Match Events

⚽T. de Jonge · ast. D. van der Werff

3'

40'

ast. E. Hansson · C. Widell⚽

⚽Y. Taha · ast. T. de Jonge

47'

↕ D. van der Werff / R. Metu

56'

60'

S. Wlodarczyk / E. Hansson ↕

65'

ast. R. Meissen · D. Sanches Fernandes⚽

↕ T. Land / B. Willumsson

71'

77'

A. Carlen / L. Hartjes ↕

77'

J. Bergraaf / N. Naujoks ↕

85'

I. Bronkhorst / D. Sanches Fernandes ↕

↕ Y. Taha / M. Seuntjens

87'

↕ M. Rente / T. Mercera

87'

88'

M. van Duinen / J. Bergraaf ↕

90'

ast. A. Zagre · G. de Regt⚽

Pre-match prediction

58.36%

Groningen

24.05%

X

17.58%

Excelsior ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 17.58% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Groningen

2.16

0.87

-1.28

Excelsior

1.07

2.38

+1.31

Excelsior dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19

Lineups

Groningen 4-2-3-1

1 Etienne Vaessen G 7.90

43

D 7.20

4 Dies Janse D 6.50

3

D 7.20

5 Marco Rente 87' D 6.70

8 Tika de Jonge 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90

18 Tygo Land 71' M 6.90

14 Jorg Schreuders M 7.00

17 David van der Werff 1 👟 56' M 7.00

10 Y. Taha 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20

26 T. van Bergen F 6.20

Excelsior 4-3-3

1

G 6.90

12 A. Zagré 1 👟 D 6.60

14 Lewis Schouten D 6.50

4 Casper Widell 1 ⚽ D 7.00

3 Rick Meissen 1 👟 D 6.30

23 Irakli Yegoian M 6.60

20 Lennard Hartjes 77' M 6.60

10 N. Naujoks 77' M 6.20

7 Emil Hansson 1 👟 60' F 6.90

11 Gyan de Regt 1 ⚽ F 7.30

30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.60

Bench

2 I. Bronkhorst 14' D 6.90

33 Jerolldino Bergraaf 11' F 6.70

9 Szymon Włodarczyk 30' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

F · Excelsior

8.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 31 pass

Y. Taha

M · Groningen

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

Etienne Vaessen

G · Groningen

7.90

· 43 pass

Tika de Jonge

M · Groningen

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 56 pass

Gyan de Regt

F · Excelsior

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

D · Groningen

7.20

· 40 pass

Groningen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Etienne Vaessen	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	43	29%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	31%	1	—	—
Dies Janse	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	71	55%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	64	60%	2	—	—
Marco Rente	D	87	6.70	—	—	—	30	22%	2	—	—
Tika de Jonge	M	90	7.90	1	1	2	56	47%	1	—	—
Tygo Land	M	71	6.90	—	—	—	47	42%	3	—	—
Jorg Schreuders	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	1	—	—
David van der Werff	M	56	7.00	—	1	—	24	14%	2	—	—
Y. Taha	M	87	8.20	1	—	2	14	11%	1	—	—
T. van Bergen	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—

Excelsior — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	19%	—	—	—
A. Zagré	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	41	34%	2	—	—
Lewis Schouten	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	44	38%	1	—	—
Casper Widell	D	90	7.00	1	—	3	35	25%	1	—	—
Rick Meissen	D	90	6.30	—	1	1	35	26%	—	—	—
Irakli Yegoian	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	37	31%	2	—	—
Lennard Hartjes	M	77	6.60	—	—	—	24	21%	2	—	—
N. Naujoks	M	77	6.20	—	—	2	19	14%	—	—	—
Emil Hansson	F	60	6.90	—	1	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Gyan de Regt	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	21	15%	—	—	—
Derensili Sanches Fernandes	F	85	8.60	1	—	3	31	24%	—	—	—
I. Bronkhorst	D	14	6.90	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Jerolldino Bergraaf	F	11	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Szymon Włodarczyk	F	30	6.20	—	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—