Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 18:45 Euroborg, Groningen

Groningen

#8 · 15 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Excelsior

#13 · 11 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Groningen, result Excelsior wins

T. de Jonge (ast. D. van der Werff) 3'

Y. Taha (ast. T. de Jonge) 47'

40' (ast. E. Hansson) C. Widell

65' (ast. R. Meissen) D. Sanches Fernandes

90' (ast. A. Zagre) G. de Regt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 17%). The final result was Groningen 2–3 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Groningen have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

9

0.87

Actual xG

2.38

5

Saves

3

56%

Possession

44%

5

Corners

8

13

Tackles

8

Match Events

⚽T. de Jonge · ast. D. van der Werff

3'

40'

ast. E. Hansson · C. Widell⚽

⚽Y. Taha · ast. T. de Jonge

47'

↕ D. van der Werff / R. Metu

56'

60'

S. Wlodarczyk / E. Hansson ↕

65'

ast. R. Meissen · D. Sanches Fernandes⚽

↕ T. Land / B. Willumsson

71'

77'

A. Carlen / L. Hartjes ↕

77'

J. Bergraaf / N. Naujoks ↕

85'

I. Bronkhorst / D. Sanches Fernandes ↕

↕ Y. Taha / M. Seuntjens

87'

↕ M. Rente / T. Mercera

87'

88'

M. van Duinen / J. Bergraaf ↕

90'

ast. A. Zagre · G. de Regt⚽

Pre-match prediction

58.36%

Groningen

24.05%

X

17.58%

Excelsior ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 17.58% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Groningen

2.16

0.87

-1.28

Excelsior

1.07

2.38

+1.31

Excelsior dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2

Lineups

Groningen 4-2-3-1

1 E. Vaessen G 7.90

43

D 7.20

4 D. Janse D 6.50

3

D 7.20

5 M. Rente 87' D 6.70

8 T. de Jonge 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90

18 T. Land 71' M 6.90

14 J. Schreuders M 7.00

17 D. van der Werff 1 👟 56' M 7.00

10 Y. Taha 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20

26 T. van Bergen F 6.20

Excelsior 4-3-3

1

G 6.90

12 A. Zagré 1 👟 D 6.60

14 L. Schouten D 6.50

4 C. Widell 1 ⚽ D 7.00

3 R. Meissen 1 👟 D 6.30

23 I. Yegoian M 6.60

20 L. Hartjes 77' M 6.60

10 N. Naujoks 77' M 6.20

7 Emil Hansson 1 👟 60' F 6.90

11 G. de Regt 1 ⚽ F 7.30

30 D. Sanches Fernandes 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.60

Bench

2 I. Bronkhorst 14' D 6.90

33 Jerolldino Armantrading 11' F 6.70

9 S. Włodarczyk 30' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

D. Sanches Fernandes

F · Excelsior

8.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 31 pass

Y. Taha

M · Groningen

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

E. Vaessen

G · Groningen

7.90

· 43 pass

T. de Jonge

M · Groningen

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 56 pass

G. de Regt

F · Excelsior

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

D · Groningen

7.20

· 40 pass

Groningen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Vaessen	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	43	29%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	31%	1	—	—
D. Janse	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	71	55%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	64	60%	2	—	—
M. Rente	D	87	6.70	—	—	—	30	22%	2	—	—
T. de Jonge	M	90	7.90	1	1	2	56	47%	1	—	—
T. Land	M	71	6.90	—	—	—	47	42%	3	—	—
J. Schreuders	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	1	—	—
D. van der Werff	M	56	7.00	—	1	—	24	14%	2	—	—
Y. Taha	M	87	8.20	1	—	2	14	11%	1	—	—
T. van Bergen	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—

Excelsior — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	19%	—	—	—
A. Zagré	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	41	34%	2	—	—
L. Schouten	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	44	38%	1	—	—
C. Widell	D	90	7.00	1	—	3	35	25%	1	—	—
R. Meissen	D	90	6.30	—	1	1	35	26%	—	—	—
I. Yegoian	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	37	31%	2	—	—
L. Hartjes	M	77	6.60	—	—	—	24	21%	2	—	—
N. Naujoks	M	77	6.20	—	—	2	19	14%	—	—	—
Emil Hansson	F	60	6.90	—	1	1	14	11%	—	—	—
G. de Regt	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	21	15%	—	—	—
D. Sanches Fernandes	F	85	8.60	1	—	3	31	24%	—	—	—
I. Bronkhorst	D	14	6.90	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Jerolldino Armantrading	F	11	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
S. Włodarczyk	F	30	6.20	—	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—