Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 18:45 Euroborg, Groningen

Groningen

#18 · 0 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Excelsior

#15 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Groningen, result Excelsior wins

T. de Jonge (ast. D. van der Werff) 3'

Y. Taha (ast. T. de Jonge) 47'

40' (ast. E. Hansson) C. Widell

65' (ast. R. Meissen) D. Sanches Fernandes

90' (ast. A. Zagre) G. de Regt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Groningen a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Excelsior 17%). The final result was Groningen 2–3 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, Groningen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

9

0.87

Actual xG

2.38

5

Saves

3

56%

Possession

44%

5

Corners

8

13

Tackles

8

Match Events

⚽T. de Jonge · ast. D. van der Werff

3'

40'

ast. E. Hansson · C. Widell⚽

⚽Y. Taha · ast. T. de Jonge

47'

↕ D. van der Werff / R. Metu

56'

60'

S. Wlodarczyk / E. Hansson ↕

65'

ast. R. Meissen · D. Sanches Fernandes⚽

↕ T. Land / B. Willumsson

71'

77'

A. Carlen / L. Hartjes ↕

77'

J. Bergraaf / N. Naujoks ↕

85'

I. Bronkhorst / D. Sanches Fernandes ↕

↕ Y. Taha / M. Seuntjens

87'

↕ M. Rente / T. Mercera

87'

88'

M. van Duinen / J. Bergraaf ↕

90'

ast. A. Zagre · G. de Regt⚽

Pre-match prediction

58.36%

Groningen

24.05%

X

17.58%

Excelsior ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 17.58% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Groningen

2.16

0.87

-1.28

Excelsior

1.07

2.38

+1.31

Excelsior dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cambuur	0	0
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0
7	Twente	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0
15	Excelsior	0	0
16	ADO Den Haag	0	0
17	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0

Lineups

Groningen 4-2-3-1

1 E. Vaessen G 7.90

43

D 7.20

4 D. Janse D 6.50

3

D 7.20

5 Marco Rente 87' D 6.70

8 Tika de Jonge 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90

18 Tygo Land 71' M 6.90

14 Jorg Schreuders M 7.00

17 David van der Werff 1 👟 56' M 7.00

10

Younes Taha 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20

26 T. van Bergen F 6.20

Excelsior 4-3-3

1

G 6.90

12 A. Zagré 1 👟 D 6.60

14 Lewis Schouten D 6.50

4 Casper Widell 1 ⚽ D 7.00

3 Rick Meissen 1 👟 D 6.30

23

Irakli Yegoian M 6.60

20 Lennard Hartjes 77' M 6.60

10 N. Naujoks 77' M 6.20

7 Emil Hansson 1 👟 60' F 6.90

11 G. de Regt 1 ⚽ F 7.30

30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.60

Bench

2 Ilias Bronkhorst 14' D 6.90

33 Jerolldino Bergraaf 11' F 6.70

9 Szymon Włodarczyk 30' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

F · Excelsior

8.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 31 pass

Younes Taha

M · Groningen

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

E. Vaessen

G · Groningen

7.90

· 43 pass

Tika de Jonge

M · Groningen

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 56 pass

G. de Regt

F · Excelsior

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

D · Groningen

7.20

· 40 pass

Groningen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Vaessen	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	43	29%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	31%	1	—	—
D. Janse	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	71	55%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	64	60%	2	—	—
Marco Rente	D	87	6.70	—	—	—	30	22%	2	—	—
Tika de Jonge	M	90	7.90	1	1	2	56	47%	1	—	—
Tygo Land	M	71	6.90	—	—	—	47	42%	3	—	—
Jorg Schreuders	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	1	—	—
David van der Werff	M	56	7.00	—	1	—	24	14%	2	—	—
Younes Taha	M	87	8.20	1	—	2	14	11%	1	—	—
T. van Bergen	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—

Excelsior — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	19%	—	—	—
A. Zagré	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	41	34%	2	—	—
Lewis Schouten	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	44	38%	1	—	—
Casper Widell	D	90	7.00	1	—	3	35	25%	1	—	—
Rick Meissen	D	90	6.30	—	1	1	35	26%	—	—	—
Irakli Yegoian	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	37	31%	2	—	—
Lennard Hartjes	M	77	6.60	—	—	—	24	21%	2	—	—
N. Naujoks	M	77	6.20	—	—	2	19	14%	—	—	—
Emil Hansson	F	60	6.90	—	1	1	14	11%	—	—	—
G. de Regt	F	90	7.30	1	—	2	21	15%	—	—	—
Derensili Sanches Fernandes	F	85	8.60	1	—	3	31	24%	—	—	—
Ilias Bronkhorst	D	14	6.90	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Jerolldino Bergraaf	F	11	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Szymon Włodarczyk	F	30	6.20	—	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—