Liga MX
· Clausura - 17
April 26, 2026 03:07
✗Model wrong — prediction Guadalajara Chivas, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 69% win probability (draw 17%, Club Tijuana 12%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Club Tijuana.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
1.07
3
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Gutierrez
22'
D. Aguirre
37'
59'
M. El Ghezouani
/
D. Abreu
59'
D. Blanco
/
R. Arciga
O. Govea
65'
B. Gutierrez
/ R. Marin
70'
E. Alvarez
/ S. Sandoval
70'
74'
A. Perez
/
G. Mora
81'
A. Gomez
B. Gonzalez
/ H. Camberos
83'
86'
A. Zapata
/
I. Rivero
D. Aguirre
/ M. Gomez
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
69.7%
Guadalajara
17.42%
X ←
12.88%
Club
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
1.99
-0.45
0.80
1.07
+0.27
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
4
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
23
D. Aguirre
89'
D
5
Bryan González
83'
M
Bryan González
83'
M
6
Omar Govea
M
Omar Govea
M
11
B. Gutiérrez
70'
M
B. Gutiérrez
70'
M
37
Richard Ledezma
86'
M
Richard Ledezma
86'
M
10
Efrain Alvarez
70'
F
Efrain Alvarez
70'
F
25
R. Alvarado
F
34
A. González
F
A. González
F
Bench
26
Hugo Camberos
18'
M
Hugo Camberos
18'
M
24
Miguel Gómez
1'
D
Miguel Gómez
1'
D
17
Ricardo Marín
20'
F
Ricardo Marín
20'
F
2
G
11
D
6
A. Gomez
D
12
D
4
D
8
I. Tona
M
19
G. Mora
74'
M
22
I. Rivero
86'
M
10
K. Castaneda
M
17
R. Arciga
59'
M
31
D. Abreu
59'
F
Bench
26
A. Perez
16'
M
20
A. Zapata
15'
M
27
D. Blanco
31'
M
30
J. Martinez
F
9
M. El Ghezouani
31'
F
33
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
D
Best on the pitch
Efrain Alvarez
F · Guadalajara
8.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
B. Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
7.90
· 43 pass
G · Club
7.90
· 33 pass
D · Club
7.60
1 shots
· 31 pass
Óscar Whalley
G · Guadalajara
7.50
· 13 pass
A. Gomez
D · Club
7.50
· 27 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| Diego Campillo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 69 | 63% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bryan González | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Govea | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 86% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 70 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Richard Ledezma | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | F | 70 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Camberos | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Gomez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| I. Tona | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mora | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Rivero | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Castaneda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Arciga | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Perez | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Blanco | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. El Ghezouani | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 17% to a draw, and 12% to an Club Tijuana win.