✗Model wrong — prediction Guadalajara Chivas, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 69% win probability (draw 17%, Club Tijuana 12%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Club Tijuana.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
1.07
3
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Gutierrez
22'
D. Aguirre
37'
59'
M. El Ghezouani
/
D. Abreu
59'
D. Blanco
/
R. Arciga
O. Govea
65'
B. Gutierrez
/ R. Marin
70'
E. Alvarez
/ S. Sandoval
70'
74'
A. Perez
/
G. Mora
81'
A. Gomez
B. Gonzalez
/ H. Camberos
83'
86'
A. Zapata
/
I. Rivero
D. Aguirre
/ M. Gomez
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
69.7%
Guadalajara
17.42%
X ←
12.88%
Club
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
1.99
-0.45
0.80
1.07
+0.27
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
4
D
19
D. Campillo
D
D. Campillo
D
23
D. Aguirre
89'
D
D. Aguirre
89'
D
5
Bryan González
83'
M
Bryan González
83'
M
6
O. Govea
M
O. Govea
M
11
B. Gutiérrez
70'
M
B. Gutiérrez
70'
M
37
R. Ledezma
86'
M
R. Ledezma
86'
M
10
E. Álvarez
70'
F
E. Álvarez
70'
F
25
R. Alvarado
F
R. Alvarado
F
34
A. González
F
A. González
F
Bench
26
H. Camberos
18'
M
H. Camberos
18'
M
24
Miguel Gómez
1'
D
Miguel Gómez
1'
D
17
R. Marín
20'
F
R. Marín
20'
F
2
G
11
D
6
A. Gómez
D
A. Gómez
D
12
D
4
D
8
I. Tona
M
I. Tona
M
19
G. Mora
74'
M
G. Mora
74'
M
22
José Rivero
86'
M
José Rivero
86'
M
10
K. Castañeda
M
K. Castañeda
M
17
R. Árciga
59'
M
R. Árciga
59'
M
31
D. Abreu
59'
F
D. Abreu
59'
F
Bench
26
A. Perez
16'
M
A. Perez
16'
M
20
Á. Zapata
15'
M
Á. Zapata
15'
M
27
D. Blanco
31'
M
D. Blanco
31'
M
30
Josef Martínez
F
Josef Martínez
F
9
Mourad
31'
F
Mourad
31'
F
33
P. Ortíz
D
P. Ortíz
D
Best on the pitch
E. Álvarez
F · Guadalajara
8.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
B. Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
7.90
· 43 pass
G · Club
7.90
· 33 pass
D · Club
7.60
1 shots
· 31 pass
Óscar Whalley
G · Guadalajara
7.50
· 13 pass
A. Gómez
D · Club
7.50
· 27 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Campillo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 69 | 63% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bryan González | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Govea | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 86% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 70 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Ledezma | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | F | 70 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| H. Camberos | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| I. Tona | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mora | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| José Rivero | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Castañeda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Árciga | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Perez | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Zapata | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Blanco | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Mourad | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 17% to a draw, and 12% to an Club Tijuana win.