← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15
Guimaraes
#8 · 42 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Casa Pia
#16 · 29 pts
86' (ast. J. Marques) G. Larrazabal

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guimaraes a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Casa Pia 15%). The final result was Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia. In 1 previous meetings, Guimaraes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Casa Pia.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.94
Actual xG
0.88
4
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
6
Corners
4
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
P. Rosas
46'
K. Osundina / L. Ofori ↕
↕ Gustavo / O. Camara
60'
↕ M. Nogueira / T. Arcanjo
60'
↕ G. Nogueira / Zeega
60'
69'
C. Mendes / D. Livramento ↕
74'
A. Conte / K. Prieto ↕
R. Abascal
76'
Beni
78'
↕ Samu / A. Ndoye
81'
86'
ast. J. Marques · G. Larrazabal⚽
90'+5
A. Dafe / C. Mendes ↕
90'+6
J. Fonte / G. Larrazabal ↕
Pre-match prediction
56.46%
Guimaraes
27.77%
X
15.77%
Casa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Casa Pia) 15.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guimaraes
1.29
0.94
-0.35
Casa
0.47
0.88
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Guimaraes Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 7.20
82 Francisco Dias Francisco Dias D 7.30
26 Rodrigo Abascal Rodrigo Abascal D 7.20
4 Óscar Rivas Óscar Rivas D 6.90
66 Tony Strata Tony Strata D 6.60
16 Beni Mukendi Beni Mukendi M 7.60
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 60' M 6.70
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo M 7.30
20 Samu Samu 81' M 7.20
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 60' M 6.90
11 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 60' F 6.30
Bench
90 Alioune Ndoye Alioune Ndoye 9' F 6.20
13 João Mendes João Mendes D
25 Juan Castillo Juan Castillo G
50 Martim Guedes Martim Guedes 30' M 6.50
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga D
3 Miguel Nóbrega Miguel Nóbrega D
19 Oumar Camara Oumar Camara 30' F 6.70
80 Rica Rocha Rica Rocha M
18 Telmo Arcanjo Telmo Arcanjo 30' M 6.70
Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-4-3
1 Patrick Sequeira Patrick Sequeira G 6.60
43 David Sousa David Sousa D 7.00
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 8.20
4 João Goulart João Goulart D 6.90
75 Pedro Rosas Pedro Rosas M 6.30
42 Sebastián Pérez Sebastián Pérez M 6.90
80 Lawrence Ofori Lawrence Ofori 45' M 6.70
19 Kevin Prieto Kevin Prieto 74' M 6.90
11 Joao Marques Joao Marques 1 👟 F 6.90
10 Dailon Rocha Livramento Dailon Rocha Livramento 69' F 6.30
72 Gaizka Larrazabal Gaizka Larrazabal 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.60
Bench
5 Abdu Conté Abdu Conté 16' D 6.90
59 Abdu Dafe Abdu Dafe 1' M
99 Claudio Mendes Claudio Mendes 20' F 6.70
95 Ivan Mandić Ivan Mandić G
6 José Fonte José Fonte 1' D
7 Kelian Nsona Kelian Nsona F
32 Kiki Silva Kiki Silva F
13 Oluwakorede Osundina Oluwakorede Osundina 45' F 6.50
21 Tiago Morais Tiago Morais F
Best on the pitch
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D · Casa
8.20
· 13 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
Gaizka Larrazabal
F · Casa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
Beni Mukendi
Beni Mukendi
M · Guimaraes
7.60
· 79 pass
Francisco Dias
Francisco Dias
D · Guimaraes
7.30
· 54 pass
Noah Saviolo
Noah Saviolo
M · Guimaraes
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
Charles
Charles
G · Guimaraes
7.20
· 28 pass
Guimaraes Guimaraes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 90 7.20 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Francisco Dias D 90 7.30 — — — 54 48% 3 — —
Rodrigo Abascal D 90 7.20 — — 2 65 56% 1 1 —
Óscar Rivas D 90 6.90 — — — 65 55% 2 — —
Tony Strata D 90 6.60 — — — 53 44% 1 — —
Beni Mukendi M 90 7.60 — — — 79 71% 5 1 —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 60 6.70 — — — 22 21% 1 — —
Noah Saviolo M 90 7.30 — — 1 23 15% — — —
Samu M 81 7.20 — — 2 43 35% 2 — —
Miguel Nogueira M 60 6.90 — — 1 20 16% — — —
Gustavo Silva F 60 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
Alioune Ndoye F 9 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Martim Guedes M 30 6.50 — — 2 12 9% — — —
Oumar Camara F 30 6.70 — — — 13 12% — — —
Telmo Arcanjo M 30 6.70 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
Casa Pia Casa Pia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Patrick Sequeira G 90 6.60 — — — 26 7% — — —
David Sousa D 90 7.00 — — 1 18 10% 2 — —
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 90 8.20 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
João Goulart D 90 6.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
Pedro Rosas M 90 6.30 — — — 16 10% 1 1 —
Sebastián Pérez M 90 6.90 — — — 31 25% 2 — —
Lawrence Ofori M 45 6.70 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Kevin Prieto M 74 6.90 — — — 13 9% 3 — —
Joao Marques F 90 6.90 — 1 — 19 10% 2 — —
Dailon Rocha Livramento F 69 6.30 — — 3 13 6% — — —
Gaizka Larrazabal F 89 7.60 1 — 2 20 13% — — —
Abdu Conté D 16 6.90 — — 1 — — — — —
Abdu Dafe M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Claudio Mendes F 20 6.70 — — 1 2 — — — —
José Fonte D 1 — — — — — — 1 — —
Oluwakorede Osundina F 45 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
The final score was Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia.
What did the model predict before Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Guimaraes win, 27% to a draw, and 15% to an Casa Pia win.