86'
(ast. J. Marques)
G. Larrazabal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guimaraes a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Casa Pia 15%). The final result was Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia. In 1 previous meetings, Guimaraes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Casa Pia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.94
Actual xG
0.88
4
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
6
Corners
4
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
P. Rosas
46'
K. Osundina
/
L. Ofori
Gustavo
/ O. Camara
60'
M. Nogueira
/ T. Arcanjo
60'
G. Nogueira
/ Zeega
60'
69'
C. Mendes
/
D. Livramento
74'
A. Conte
/
K. Prieto
R. Abascal
76'
Beni
78'
Samu
/ A. Ndoye
81'
86'
ast. J. Marques ·
G. Larrazabal⚽
90'+5
A. Dafe
/
C. Mendes
90'+6
J. Fonte
/
G. Larrazabal
Pre-match prediction
56.46%
Guimaraes
27.77%
X
15.77%
Casa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Casa Pia)
15.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.94
-0.35
0.47
0.88
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
82
Francisco Dias
D
Francisco Dias
D
26
Rodrigo Abascal
D
Rodrigo Abascal
D
4
Óscar Rivas
D
Óscar Rivas
D
66
Tony Strata
D
Tony Strata
D
16
Beni Mukendi
M
Beni Mukendi
M
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
60'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
60'
M
48
Noah Saviolo
M
Noah Saviolo
M
20
Samu
81'
M
Samu
81'
M
88
Miguel Nogueira
60'
M
Miguel Nogueira
60'
M
11
Gustavo Silva
60'
F
Gustavo Silva
60'
F
Bench
90
Alioune Ndoye
9'
F
Alioune Ndoye
9'
F
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
25
Juan Castillo
G
Juan Castillo
G
50
Martim Guedes
30'
M
Martim Guedes
30'
M
2
Miguel Maga
D
Miguel Maga
D
3
Miguel Nóbrega
D
Miguel Nóbrega
D
19
Oumar Camara
30'
F
Oumar Camara
30'
F
80
Rica Rocha
M
Rica Rocha
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
30'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
30'
M
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
3
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
M
Pedro Rosas
M
42
Sebastián Pérez
M
Sebastián Pérez
M
80
Lawrence Ofori
45'
M
Lawrence Ofori
45'
M
19
Kevin Prieto
74'
M
Kevin Prieto
74'
M
11
João Marques
1 👟
F
João Marques
1 👟
F
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento
69'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
69'
F
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
89'
F
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
5
Abdu Conté
16'
D
Abdu Conté
16'
D
59
Abdu Dafe
1'
M
Abdu Dafe
1'
M
99
Claudio Mendes
20'
F
Claudio Mendes
20'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
6
José Fonte
1'
D
José Fonte
1'
D
7
Kelian Nsona
F
Kelian Nsona
F
32
Kiki Silva
F
Kiki Silva
F
13
K. Osundina
45'
F
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
Best on the pitch
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D · Casa
8.20
· 13 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
F · Casa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Beni Mukendi
M · Guimaraes
7.60
· 79 pass
Francisco Dias
D · Guimaraes
7.30
· 54 pass
Noah Saviolo
M · Guimaraes
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
Charles
G · Guimaraes
7.20
· 28 pass
Guimaraes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Dias | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Abascal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Tony Strata | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Beni Mukendi | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Saviolo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alioune Ndoye | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martim Guedes | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Oumar Camara | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | F | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| José Fonte | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| K. Osundina | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
The final score was Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia.
What did the model predict before Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Guimaraes win, 27% to a draw, and 15% to an Casa Pia win.