86'
(ast. J. Marques)
G. Larrazabal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Casa Pia 15%). The final result was Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia. In 2 previous meetings, Vitória SC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Casa Pia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.94
Actual xG
0.88
4
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
6
Corners
4
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
P. Rosas
46'
K. Osundina
/
L. Ofori
Gustavo
/ O. Camara
60'
M. Nogueira
/ T. Arcanjo
60'
G. Nogueira
/ Zeega
60'
69'
C. Mendes
/
D. Livramento
74'
A. Conte
/
K. Prieto
R. Abascal
76'
Beni
78'
Samu
/ A. Ndoye
81'
86'
ast. J. Marques ·
G. Larrazabal⚽
90'+5
A. Dafe
/
C. Mendes
90'+6
J. Fonte
/
G. Larrazabal
Pre-match prediction
56.46%
Vitória
27.77%
X
15.77%
Casa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Casa Pia)
15.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.94
-0.35
0.47
0.88
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
82
F. Dias
D
F. Dias
D
26
R. Abascal
D
R. Abascal
D
4
Óscar Rivas
D
Óscar Rivas
D
66
T. Strata
D
T. Strata
D
16
Beni
M
Beni
M
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
60'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
60'
M
48
Noah Saviolo
M
Noah Saviolo
M
20
Samu
81'
M
Samu
81'
M
88
Miguel Nogueira
60'
M
Miguel Nogueira
60'
M
11
Gustavo
60'
F
Gustavo
60'
F
Bench
90
A. Ndoye
9'
F
A. Ndoye
9'
F
25
J. Castillo
G
J. Castillo
G
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
50
Martim Guedes
30'
M
Martim Guedes
30'
M
2
Miguel Maga
D
Miguel Maga
D
3
Miguel Nóbrega
D
19
O. Camara
30'
F
O. Camara
30'
F
80
Rica Rocha
M
Rica Rocha
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
30'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
30'
M
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
3
Kaly
D
Kaly
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
M
Pedro Rosas
M
42
S. Pérez
M
S. Pérez
M
80
L. Ofori
45'
M
L. Ofori
45'
M
19
K. Prieto
74'
M
K. Prieto
74'
M
11
João Marques
1 👟
F
10
D. Livramento
69'
F
D. Livramento
69'
F
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
89'
F
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
5
Abdu Conté
16'
D
Abdu Conté
16'
D
59
Abdu Dafe
1'
M
Abdu Dafe
1'
M
99
Claudio
20'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
6
José Fonte
1'
D
José Fonte
1'
D
32
Kiki Silva
F
Kiki Silva
F
7
K. Nsona
F
K. Nsona
F
13
Oluwakorede Osundina
45'
F
Oluwakorede Osundina
45'
F
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
Best on the pitch
Kaly
D · Casa
8.20
· 13 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
F · Casa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Beni
M · Vitória
7.60
· 79 pass
F. Dias
D · Vitória
7.30
· 54 pass
Noah Saviolo
M · Vitória
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
Charles
G · Vitória
7.20
· 28 pass
Vitória SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Dias | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Abascal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Strata | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Beni | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Saviolo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Ndoye | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martim Guedes | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Camara | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Prieto | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | F | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| José Fonte | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
The final score was Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Vitória SC win, 27% to a draw, and 15% to an Casa Pia win.