← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 03, 2026 21:00
Guimaraes
#8 · 42 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Tondela
#17 · 28 pts
O. Camara (ast. G. Nogueira) 5'
M. Nogueira (ast. O. Camara) 18'
Samu 51' (pen.)
Gustavo 55'
J. I. Mendes 65' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guimaraes a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Tondela 22%). The final result was Guimaraes 5–0 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Guimaraes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
2.55
Actual xG
0.06
1
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
1
19
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽O. Camara · ast. G. Nogueira
5'
⚽M. Nogueira · ast. O. Camara
18'
47'
Brayan Medina
49'
⚽Samu (pen.)
51'
⚽Gustavo
55'
56'
R. Conceicao / E. Maviram ↕
56'
M. Aiko / Pedro Maranhao ↕
56'
M. Ouattara / A. van der Heide ↕
63'
⚽J. I. Mendes (pen.)
65'
↕ Samu / D. Sousa
67'
↕ M. Nogueira / N. Saviolo
67'
68'
H. Felix / Rony Lopes ↕
↕ Gustavo / T. Arcanjo
75'
↕ T. Strata / Maga
75'
80'
H. Tavares / J. Hodge ↕
↕ J. I. Mendes / O. Lebedenko
81'
Diogo Sousa
87'
Pre-match prediction
48.92%
Guimaraes ←
28.25%
X
22.84%
Tondela
we assigned to the actual result (Guimaraes) 48.92% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guimaraes
1.31
2.55
+1.24
Tondela
0.90
0.06
-0.84
Guimaraes dominated by xG (2.55 vs 0.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Guimaraes Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 6.60
13 João Mendes João Mendes 1 ⚽ 81' D 7.30
28
Thiago Balieiro D 6.90
4
D 7.30
66 Tony Strata Tony Strata 75' D 6.90
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 1 👟 M 7.60
16
M 7.20
19 Oumar Camara Oumar Camara 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
20 Samu Samu 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
11 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.70
Bench
23
Diogo Sousa 28' M 6.30
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga 20' D 6.60
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo 28' F 6.50
Tondela Tondela 4-2-3-1
31
G 5.60
60
E. Maviram 56' D 5.30
20 B. Medina B. Medina D 4.30
4 Christian Marques Christian Marques D 6.00
2 Bebeto Bebeto D 5.90
10 Joe Hodge Joe Hodge 80' M 5.60
32
M 6.30
7 Maranhão Maranhão 56' M 6.00
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 68' M 6.20
26 Arjen Van Der Heide Arjen Van Der Heide 56' M 6.50
29
F 6.20
Bench
23 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka F
8 Hélder Tavares Hélder Tavares 15' M 6.70
79 Hugo Félix Hugo Félix 27' M 6.30
44 João Silva João Silva D
30
L. Canizares G
90 Makan Aïko Makan Aïko 39' F 6.60
70
M. Ouattara
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição 39' D 6.30
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso D
Best on the pitch
Oumar Camara
Oumar Camara
M · Guimaraes
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
Samu
Samu
M · Guimaraes
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Miguel Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira
M · Guimaraes
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva
F · Guimaraes
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Gonçalo Nogueira
Gonçalo Nogueira
M · Guimaraes
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
João Mendes
João Mendes
D · Guimaraes
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
Guimaraes Guimaraes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 95 6.60 — — — 32 14% — — —
João Mendes D 81 7.30 1 — 1 25 22% — — —
Thiago Balieiro D 95 6.90 — — 1 52 49% 1 — —
D 95 7.30 — — — 48 42% 2 — —
Tony Strata D 75 6.90 — — — 29 26% 2 — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 95 7.60 — 1 1 34 33% 4 — —
M 95 7.20 — — — 52 50% 1 — —
Oumar Camara M 95 8.60 1 1 1 21 17% 1 — —
Samu M 67 7.90 1 — 1 24 21% 3 — —
Miguel Nogueira M 67 7.90 1 — 1 23 15% 3 — —
Gustavo Silva F 75 7.70 1 — 2 8 4% — — —
Diogo Sousa M 28 6.30 — — 1 15 11% 2 1 —
Miguel Maga D 20 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
Noah Saviolo F 28 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 5.60 — — — 26 18% — — —
E. Maviram D 56 5.30 — — 1 28 18% — — —
B. Medina D 95 4.30 — — — 46 41% 1 1 —
Christian Marques D 95 6.00 — — — 56 54% 2 — —
Bebeto D 95 5.90 — — — 37 33% 2 — —
Joe Hodge M 80 5.60 — — 1 35 28% 1 — —
M 95 6.30 — — — 52 40% 2 — —
Maranhão M 56 6.00 — — — 10 7% — — —
Rony Lopes M 68 6.20 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Arjen Van Der Heide M 56 6.50 — — 1 11 9% — — —
F 95 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Hélder Tavares M 15 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Hugo Félix M 27 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
Makan Aïko F 39 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 39 6.30 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guimaraes vs Tondela?
The final score was Guimaraes 5–0 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Guimaraes vs Tondela?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Guimaraes win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Tondela win.