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O. Camara (ast. G. Nogueira) 5'
M. Nogueira (ast. O. Camara) 18'
Samu 51' (pen.)
Gustavo 55'
J. I. Mendes 65' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Tondela 22%). The final result was Vitória SC 5–0 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Vitória SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
2.55
Actual xG
0.06
1
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
1
19
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
O. Camara · ast. G. Nogueira
5'
M. Nogueira · ast. O. Camara
18'
47'
Brayan Medina
49'
Samu (pen.)
51'
Gustavo
55'
56'
R. Conceicao / E. Maviram
56'
M. Aiko / Pedro Maranhao
56'
M. Ouattara / A. van der Heide
63'
J. I. Mendes (pen.)
65'
Samu / D. Sousa
67'
M. Nogueira / N. Saviolo
67'
68'
H. Felix / Rony Lopes
Gustavo / T. Arcanjo
75'
T. Strata / Maga
75'
80'
H. Tavares / J. Hodge
J. I. Mendes / O. Lebedenko
81'
Diogo Sousa
87'
Pre-match prediction
48.92%
Vitória ←
28.25%
X
22.84%
Tondela
we assigned to the actual result (Vitória SC) 48.92% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vitória
1.31
2.55
+1.24
Tondela
0.90
0.06
-0.84
Vitória SC dominated by xG (2.55 vs 0.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 6 18
2 Santa Clara Santa Clara 6 14
3 Benfica Benfica 5 13
4 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
5 Arouca Arouca 6 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 6 8
8 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
9 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
10 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 6 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 6 1
Lineups
Vitória SC Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 6.60
13 João Mendes João Mendes 1 ⚽ 81' D 7.30
28 Thiago Balieiro Thiago Balieiro D 6.90
4
D 7.30
66 T. Strata T. Strata 75' D 6.90
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 1 👟 M 7.60
16
M 7.20
19 O. Camara O. Camara 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
20 Samu Samu 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.90
11 Gustavo Gustavo 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.70
Bench
23 Diogo Sousa Diogo Sousa 28' M 6.30
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga 20' D 6.60
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo 28' F 6.50
Tondela Tondela 4-2-3-1
31
G 5.60
60
Emmanuel Maviram 56' D 5.30
20
B. Medina D 4.30
4
Christian Marques D 6.00
2
Bebeto D 5.90
10 J. Hodge J. Hodge 80' M 5.60
32
M 6.30
7 Pedro Maranhão Pedro Maranhão 56' M 6.00
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 68' M 6.20
26
A. van der Heide 56' M 6.50
29
F 6.20
Bench
23 B. Mbunga Kimpioka B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
8
Hélder Tavares 15' M 6.70
79
Hugo Félix 27' M 6.30
44 João Silva João Silva D
30
Lucas Cañizares G
90 M. Aïko M. Aïko 39' F 6.60
70
M. Ouattara
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição 39' D 6.30
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso D
Best on the pitch
O. Camara
O. Camara
M · Vitória
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
Samu
Samu
M · Vitória
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Miguel Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira
M · Vitória
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Gustavo
Gustavo
F · Vitória
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Gonçalo Nogueira
Gonçalo Nogueira
M · Vitória
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
João Mendes
João Mendes
D · Vitória
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
Vitória SC Vitória SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 95 6.60 32 14%
João Mendes D 81 7.30 1 1 25 22%
Thiago Balieiro D 95 6.90 1 52 49% 1
D 95 7.30 48 42% 2
T. Strata D 75 6.90 29 26% 2
Gonçalo Nogueira M 95 7.60 1 1 34 33% 4
M 95 7.20 52 50% 1
O. Camara M 95 8.60 1 1 1 21 17% 1
Samu M 67 7.90 1 1 24 21% 3
Miguel Nogueira M 67 7.90 1 1 23 15% 3
Gustavo F 75 7.70 1 2 8 4%
Diogo Sousa M 28 6.30 1 15 11% 2 1
Miguel Maga D 20 6.60 6 4%
Noah Saviolo F 28 6.50 1 3 3%
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 5.60 26 18%
Emmanuel Maviram D 56 5.30 1 28 18%
B. Medina D 95 4.30 46 41% 1 1
Christian Marques D 95 6.00 56 54% 2
Bebeto D 95 5.90 37 33% 2
J. Hodge M 80 5.60 1 35 28% 1
M 95 6.30 52 40% 2
Pedro Maranhão M 56 6.00 10 7%
Rony Lopes M 68 6.20 27 21% 2
A. van der Heide M 56 6.50 1 11 9%
F 95 6.20 10 6%
Hélder Tavares M 15 6.70 5 4%
Hugo Félix M 27 6.30 13 10%
M. Aïko F 39 6.60 2 2%
Rodrigo Conceição D 39 6.30 7 6% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Tondela?
The final score was Vitória SC 5–0 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Tondela?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Vitória SC win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Tondela win.