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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:30
Hamburger SV
#11 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC Augsburg
#9 · 43 pts
R. Konigsdorffer (ast. R. Glatzel) 60'
22' Arthur Chaves

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hamburger SV a 45% win probability (draw 23%, FC Augsburg 31%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Augsburg.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
3
1.59
Actual xG
2.29
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
22'
Arthur Chaves⚽
Philip Otele
41'
↕ P. Otele / R. Philippe
46'
Jordan Torunarigha
55'
59'
Fabian Rieder
⚽R. Konigsdorffer · ast. R. Glatzel
60'
Miro Muheim
64'
↕ R. Konigsdorffer / G. Gocholeishvili
67'
↕ R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek
67'
80'
R. Ribeiro / A. Kade ↕
80'
H. Massengo / R. Fellhauer ↕
81'
Cedric Zesiger
85'
87'
Keven Schlotterbeck
↕ / O. Stange
90'+5
90'
U. Ogundu / A. Claude-Maurice ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.01%
Hamburger
23.03%
X ←
31.95%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.72
1.59
-0.13
FC
1.63
2.29
+0.66
FC Augsburg dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.20
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.30
44 Luka Vušković Luka Vušković D 7.30
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 6.90
28 M. Muheim M. Muheim 64' M 6.70
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira M 7.00
6 Albert Sambi Lokonga Albert Sambi Lokonga M 7.50
2
W. Mikelbrencis M 6.90
27 Philip Otele Philip Otele 45' F 6.90
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.20
9
R. Glatzel 1 👟 67' F 6.90
Bench
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 23' M 6.30
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 44' F 6.50
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
16
Cedric Zesiger D 7.50
31
Keven Schlotterbeck D 7.60
34
Arthur Chaves 1 ⚽ D 7.30
13
D. Giannoulis M 6.70
32
Fabian Rieder M 6.60
19
R. Fellhauer 80' M 6.60
27
M. Wolf M 8.70
20
A. Claude-Maurice 89' F 7.30
30
A. Kade 80' F 6.30
38 M. Gregoritsch M. Gregoritsch F 6.20
Bench
8
E. Rexhbecaj M
4
H. Massengo 10' M 6.70
6
J. Gouweleeuw D
36
M. Komur M
21
R. Ribeiro 10' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Wolf
M · FC
8.70
1 shots · 27 pass
G · FC
7.90
· 38 pass
Keven Schlotterbeck
D · FC
7.60
· 36 pass
Cedric Zesiger
D · FC
7.50
· 54 pass
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Albert Sambi Lokonga
M · Hamburger
7.50
· 64 pass
A. Claude-Maurice
F · FC
7.30
2 shots · 30 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 33 24% — — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.30 — — 1 40 34% 2 1 —
Luka Vušković D 90 7.30 — — 1 69 59% 2 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 6.90 — — — 38 36% — — —
M. Muheim M 64 6.70 — — 1 25 20% — — 1
Fábio Vieira M 90 7.00 — — — 43 38% — — —
Albert Sambi Lokonga M 90 7.50 — — — 64 57% 3 — —
W. Mikelbrencis M 90 6.90 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
Philip Otele F 45 6.90 — — 1 10 8% — 1 —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 67 7.20 1 — 2 17 13% — — —
R. Glatzel F 67 6.90 — 1 3 16 15% — — —
Albert Grønbæk M 23 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Rayan Philippe F 44 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 38 27% — — —
Cedric Zesiger D 90 7.50 — — — 54 47% 2 1 —
Keven Schlotterbeck D 90 7.60 — — — 36 33% 4 1 —
Arthur Chaves D 90 7.30 1 — 1 33 28% — — —
D. Giannoulis M 90 6.70 — — — 31 21% 1 — —
Fabian Rieder M 90 6.60 — — 3 43 34% 2 1 —
R. Fellhauer M 80 6.60 — — — 25 19% 2 — —
M. Wolf M 90 8.70 — — 1 27 21% 2 — —
A. Claude-Maurice F 89 7.30 — — 2 30 23% 1 — —
A. Kade F 80 6.30 — — 3 16 10% 1 — —
M. Gregoritsch F 90 6.20 — — 5 15 9% — — —
H. Massengo M 10 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
R. Ribeiro F 10 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 23% to a draw, and 31% to an FC Augsburg win.