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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 15:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
#17 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC Augsburg
#3 · 7 pts
R. Konigsdorffer (ast. R. Glatzel) 60'
22' Arthur Chaves
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hamburger SV a 45% win probability (draw 23%, FC Augsburg 31%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Augsburg.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
3
1.59
Actual xG
2.29
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
22'
Arthur Chaves⚽
Philip Otele
41'
↕ P. Otele / R. Philippe
46'
Jordan Torunarigha
55'
59'
Fabian Rieder
⚽R. Konigsdorffer · ast. R. Glatzel
60'
Miro Muheim
64'
↕ R. Konigsdorffer / G. Gocholeishvili
67'
↕ R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek
67'
80'
R. Ribeiro / A. Kade ↕
80'
H. Massengo / R. Fellhauer ↕
81'
Cedric Zesiger
85'
87'
Keven Schlotterbeck
↕ / O. Stange
90'+5
90'
U. Ogundu / A. Claude-Maurice ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.01%
Hamburger
23.03%
X ←
31.95%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.72
1.59
-0.13
FC
1.63
2.29
+0.66
FC Augsburg dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.20
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.30
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 7.30
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 6.90
28 Miro Muheim Miro Muheim 64' M 6.70
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira M 7.00
6 A. Sambi Lokonga A. Sambi Lokonga M 7.50
2 W. Mikelbrencis W. Mikelbrencis M 6.90
27 P. Otele P. Otele 45' F 6.90
11 R. Königsdörffer R. Königsdörffer 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.20
9 R. Glatzel R. Glatzel 1 👟 67' F 6.90
Bench
23 A. Grønbæk A. Grønbæk 23' M 6.30
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
14 R. Philippe R. Philippe 44' F 6.50
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
16 Cedric Zesiger Cedric Zesiger D 7.50
31 K. Schlotterbeck K. Schlotterbeck D 7.60
34
Arthur Chaves 1 ⚽ D 7.30
13 D. Giannoulis D. Giannoulis M 6.70
32 F. Rieder F. Rieder M 6.60
19 R. Fellhauer R. Fellhauer 80' M 6.60
27 M. Wolf M. Wolf M 8.70
20 A. Claude-Maurice A. Claude-Maurice 89' F 7.30
30 A. Kade A. Kade 80' F 6.30
38 M. Gregoritsch M. Gregoritsch F 6.20
Bench
8 E. Rexhbeçaj E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 H. Massengo H. Massengo 10' M 6.70
6 J. Gouweleeuw J. Gouweleeuw D
36 M. Kömür M. Kömür M
21 Rodrigo Ribeiro Rodrigo Ribeiro 10' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Wolf
M. Wolf
M · FC
8.70
1 shots · 27 pass
G · FC
7.90
· 38 pass
K. Schlotterbeck
K. Schlotterbeck
D · FC
7.60
· 36 pass
Cedric Zesiger
Cedric Zesiger
D · FC
7.50
· 54 pass
A. Sambi Lokonga
A. Sambi Lokonga
M · Hamburger
7.50
· 64 pass
A. Claude-Maurice
A. Claude-Maurice
F · FC
7.30
2 shots · 30 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 33 24% — — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.30 — — 1 40 34% 2 1 —
L. Vušković D 90 7.30 — — 1 69 59% 2 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 6.90 — — — 38 36% — — —
Miro Muheim M 64 6.70 — — 1 25 20% — — 1
Fábio Vieira M 90 7.00 — — — 43 38% — — —
A. Sambi Lokonga M 90 7.50 — — — 64 57% 3 — —
W. Mikelbrencis M 90 6.90 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
P. Otele F 45 6.90 — — 1 10 8% — 1 —
R. Königsdörffer F 67 7.20 1 — 2 17 13% — — —
R. Glatzel F 67 6.90 — 1 3 16 15% — — —
A. Grønbæk M 23 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
R. Philippe F 44 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 38 27% — — —
Cedric Zesiger D 90 7.50 — — — 54 47% 2 1 —
K. Schlotterbeck D 90 7.60 — — — 36 33% 4 1 —
Arthur Chaves D 90 7.30 1 — 1 33 28% — — —
D. Giannoulis M 90 6.70 — — — 31 21% 1 — —
F. Rieder M 90 6.60 — — 3 43 34% 2 1 —
R. Fellhauer M 80 6.60 — — — 25 19% 2 — —
M. Wolf M 90 8.70 — — 1 27 21% 2 — —
A. Claude-Maurice F 89 7.30 — — 2 30 23% 1 — —
A. Kade F 80 6.30 — — 3 16 10% 1 — —
M. Gregoritsch F 90 6.20 — — 5 15 9% — — —
H. Massengo M 10 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
Rodrigo Ribeiro F 10 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 23% to a draw, and 31% to an FC Augsburg win.