2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 15:00

Hertha BSC

#6 · 51 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Holstein Kiel

#11 · 41 pts

63' (ast. P. Harres) J. Therkelsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 25%). The final result was Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

3

3

Shots on target

1

1.95

Actual xG

0.30

0

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

5

Corners

3

8

Tackles

14

4

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

2'

M. Cuisance

5'

D. Zeefuik

10'

18'

L. Rosenboom

P. Seguin

45'+1

45'

J. Meffert

46'

J. Therkelsen / I. Ugoh ↕

63'

ast. P. Harres · J. Therkelsen⚽

↕ L. Schuler / D. Kownacki

67'

F. Reese

75'

80'

I. Nekic

↕ D. Zeefuik / J. Eitschberger

80'

↕ P. Seguin / M. Krattenmacher

87'

87'

N. Niehoff / A. Kapralik ↕

87'

M. Muller / P. Harres ↕

90'+1

S. Schwab / K. Davidsen ↕

90'+2

U. Tohumcu

90'+3

F. Roslyng / U. Tohumcu ↕

Pre-match prediction

49.5%

Hertha

25.38%

X

25.12%

Holstein ←

we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 25.12% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hertha

1.64

1.95

+0.31

Holstein

1.12

0.30

-0.82

Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1

1

G 6.30

33 Michał Karbownik D 7.50

31

D 7.30

44 Linus Gechter D 6.60

42

D. Zeefuik 80' D 6.60

30 Paul Seguin 87' M 6.30

10 Michaël Cuisance M 7.60

11 Fabian Reese M 7.20

7 Josip Brekalo M 7.20

22 Marten Winkler M 6.60

18 L. Schuler 67' F 6.60

Bench

9

D. Kownacki 23' F 6.30

2 Julian Eitschberger 10' D 6.90

8

Kevin Sessa M

27 Niklas Kolbe D

37 Toni Leistner D

Holstein Kiel 4-5-1

1

G 7.60

6

Marko Ivezić D 7.60

26 D. Zec D 7.00

13

I. Nekic D 6.90

23

L. Rosenboom D 6.30

8

U. Tohumcu 89' M 6.90

15

Kasper Davidsen 89' M 6.70

28

J. Meffert M 6.20

49

I. Ugoh 45' M 6.70

20

A. Kapralik 87' M 6.20

19

P. Harres 1 👟 87' F 6.90

Bench

18

Aldin Jakupovic F

2

F. Roslyng 1' D

10

J. Therkelsen 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70

25

M. Muller 8' F 6.50

22

Stefan Schwab 1' M

Best on the pitch

J. Therkelsen

M · Holstein

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Michaël Cuisance

M · Hertha

7.60

1 shots · 42 pass

G · Holstein

7.60

· 56 pass

Marko Ivezić

D · Holstein

7.60

· 41 pass

Michał Karbownik

D · Hertha

7.50

· 29 pass

D · Hertha

7.30

· 62 pass

Hertha BSC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
Michał Karbownik	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	62	53%	1	—	—
Linus Gechter	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	60	56%	—	—	—
D. Zeefuik	D	80	6.60	—	—	—	27	21%	3	1	—
Paul Seguin	M	87	6.30	—	—	3	60	51%	—	1	—
Michaël Cuisance	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	42	38%	1	1	—
Fabian Reese	M	90	7.20	—	—	4	34	28%	—	1	—
Josip Brekalo	M	90	7.20	—	—	3	33	27%	—	—	—
Marten Winkler	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	17	13%	2	—	—
L. Schuler	F	67	6.60	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
D. Kownacki	F	23	6.30	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
Julian Eitschberger	D	10	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Holstein Kiel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	56	45%	—	—	—
Marko Ivezić	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	41	35%	5	—	—
D. Zec	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
I. Nekic	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	—	1	—
L. Rosenboom	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	14%	—	1	—
U. Tohumcu	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	2	1	—
Kasper Davidsen	M	89	6.70	—	—	—	12	6%	1	—	—
J. Meffert	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	30	23%	—	1	—
I. Ugoh	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
A. Kapralik	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	10	5%	1	—	—
P. Harres	F	87	6.90	—	1	—	5	4%	—	—	—
F. Roslyng	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Therkelsen	M	45	7.70	1	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
M. Muller	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Stefan Schwab	M	1	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—