2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 31
April 25, 2026 13:00
63'
(ast. P. Harres)
J. Therkelsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 25%). The final result was Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
0.30
0
Saves
2
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
3
8
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
M. Cuisance
5'
D. Zeefuik
10'
18'
L. Rosenboom
P. Seguin
45'+1
45'
J. Meffert
46'
J. Therkelsen
/
I. Ugoh
63'
ast. P. Harres ·
J. Therkelsen⚽
L. Schuler
/ D. Kownacki
67'
F. Reese
75'
80'
I. Nekic
D. Zeefuik
/ J. Eitschberger
80'
P. Seguin
/ M. Krattenmacher
87'
87'
N. Niehoff
/
A. Kapralik
87'
M. Muller
/
P. Harres
90'+1
S. Schwab
/
K. Davidsen
90'+2
U. Tohumcu
90'+3
F. Roslyng
/
U. Tohumcu
Pre-match prediction
49.5%
Hertha
25.38%
X
25.12%
Holstein ←
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel)
25.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.95
+0.31
1.12
0.30
-0.82
Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
Michał Karbownik
D
Michał Karbownik
D
31
D
44
Linus Gechter
D
Linus Gechter
D
42
Deyovaisio Zeefuik
80'
D
Deyovaisio Zeefuik
80'
D
30
P. Seguin
87'
M
P. Seguin
87'
M
10
Michaël Cuisance
M
Michaël Cuisance
M
11
Fabian Reese
M
Fabian Reese
M
7
J. Brekalo
M
J. Brekalo
M
22
Marten Winkler
M
Marten Winkler
M
18
Jan Luca Schuler
67'
F
Jan Luca Schuler
67'
F
Bench
9
D. Kownacki
23'
F
2
J. Eitschberger
10'
D
J. Eitschberger
10'
D
8
Kevin Sessa
M
Kevin Sessa
M
27
Niklas Kolbe
D
Niklas Kolbe
D
37
T. Leistner
D
T. Leistner
D
1
G
6
Marko Ivezić
D
Marko Ivezić
D
26
David Zec
D
David Zec
D
13
I. Nekić
D
I. Nekić
D
23
Lasse Rosenboom
D
Lasse Rosenboom
D
8
Umut Tohumcu
89'
M
Umut Tohumcu
89'
M
15
Kasper Davidsen
89'
M
Kasper Davidsen
89'
M
28
Jonas Meffert
M
Jonas Meffert
M
49
Ikem Ugoh
45'
M
Ikem Ugoh
45'
M
20
A. Kaprálik
87'
M
A. Kaprálik
87'
M
19
P. Harres
1 👟
87'
F
P. Harres
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
18
Aldin Jakupovic
F
2
Frederik Roslyng
1'
D
Frederik Roslyng
1'
D
10
Jonas Therkelsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
Jonas Therkelsen
1 ⚽
45'
M
25
Marcus Müller
8'
F
Marcus Müller
8'
F
22
S. Schwab
1'
M
S. Schwab
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Jonas Therkelsen
M · Holstein
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Michaël Cuisance
M · Hertha
7.60
1 shots
· 42 pass
G · Holstein
7.60
· 56 pass
Marko Ivezić
D · Holstein
7.60
· 41 pass
Michał Karbownik
D · Hertha
7.50
· 29 pass
D · Hertha
7.30
· 62 pass
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — | |
| Linus Gechter | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Deyovaisio Zeefuik | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Seguin | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabian Reese | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Brekalo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Marten Winkler | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Luca Schuler | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Kownacki | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Eitschberger | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| David Zec | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Nekić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Umut Tohumcu | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Meffert | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Ikem Ugoh | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | M | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Harres | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Roslyng | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Therkelsen | M | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Müller | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Schwab | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Hertha BSC win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Holstein Kiel win.