2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 13:00

Hertha BSC

#1 · 18 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Holstein Kiel

#16 · 4 pts

63' (ast. P. Harres) J. Therkelsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 25%). The final result was Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

3

3

Shots on target

1

1.95

Actual xG

0.30

0

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

5

Corners

3

8

Tackles

14

4

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

2'

M. Cuisance

5'

D. Zeefuik

10'

18'

L. Rosenboom

P. Seguin

45'+1

45'

J. Meffert

46'

J. Therkelsen / I. Ugoh ↕

63'

ast. P. Harres · J. Therkelsen⚽

↕ L. Schuler / D. Kownacki

67'

F. Reese

75'

80'

I. Nekic

↕ D. Zeefuik / J. Eitschberger

80'

↕ P. Seguin / M. Krattenmacher

87'

87'

N. Niehoff / A. Kapralik ↕

87'

M. Muller / P. Harres ↕

90'+1

S. Schwab / K. Davidsen ↕

90'+2

U. Tohumcu

90'+3

F. Roslyng / U. Tohumcu ↕

Pre-match prediction

49.5%

Hertha

25.38%

X

25.12%

Holstein ←

we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 25.12% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hertha

1.64

1.95

+0.31

Holstein

1.12

0.30

-0.82

Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	4

Lineups

Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1

1

G 6.30

33 Michał Karbownik D 7.50

31

D 7.30

44 L. Gechter D 6.60

42 D. Zeefuik 80' D 6.60

30 P. Seguin 87' M 6.30

10 M. Cuisance M 7.60

11 F. Reese M 7.20

7 J. Brekalo M 7.20

22 M. Winkler M 6.60

18 L. Schuler 67' F 6.60

Bench

9

D. Kownacki 23' F 6.30

2 J. Eitschberger 10' D 6.90

8 K. Sessa M

27 N. Kolbe D

37 T. Leistner D

Holstein Kiel 4-5-1

1

G 7.60

6 Marko Ivezić D 7.60

26 D. Zec D 7.00

13 I. Nekić D 6.90

23 Lasse Rosenboom D 6.30

8 U. Tohumcu 89' M 6.90

15 K. Davidsen 89' M 6.70

28 J. Meffert M 6.20

49 I. Ugoh 45' M 6.70

20 A. Kaprálik 87' M 6.20

19 P. Harres 1 👟 87' F 6.90

Bench

18

A. Jakupović F

2 Frederik Roslyng 1' D

10 J. Therkelsen 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70

25 Marcus Müller 8' F 6.50

22 S. Schwab 1' M

Best on the pitch

J. Therkelsen

M · Holstein

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

M. Cuisance

M · Hertha

7.60

1 shots · 42 pass

G · Holstein

7.60

· 56 pass

Marko Ivezić

D · Holstein

7.60

· 41 pass

Michał Karbownik

D · Hertha

7.50

· 29 pass

D · Hertha

7.30

· 62 pass

Hertha BSC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
Michał Karbownik	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	62	53%	1	—	—
L. Gechter	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	60	56%	—	—	—
D. Zeefuik	D	80	6.60	—	—	—	27	21%	3	1	—
P. Seguin	M	87	6.30	—	—	3	60	51%	—	1	—
M. Cuisance	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	42	38%	1	1	—
F. Reese	M	90	7.20	—	—	4	34	28%	—	1	—
J. Brekalo	M	90	7.20	—	—	3	33	27%	—	—	—
M. Winkler	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	17	13%	2	—	—
L. Schuler	F	67	6.60	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
D. Kownacki	F	23	6.30	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
J. Eitschberger	D	10	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Holstein Kiel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	56	45%	—	—	—
Marko Ivezić	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	41	35%	5	—	—
D. Zec	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
I. Nekić	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	—	1	—
Lasse Rosenboom	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	14%	—	1	—
U. Tohumcu	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	2	1	—
K. Davidsen	M	89	6.70	—	—	—	12	6%	1	—	—
J. Meffert	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	30	23%	—	1	—
I. Ugoh	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
A. Kaprálik	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	10	5%	1	—	—
P. Harres	F	87	6.90	—	1	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Frederik Roslyng	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Therkelsen	M	45	7.70	1	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
Marcus Müller	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
S. Schwab	M	1	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—