2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 13:00

Hertha BSC

#7 · 51 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Holstein Kiel

#12 · 41 pts

63' (ast. P. Harres) J. Therkelsen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hertha BSC a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 25%). The final result was Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics

16

Total shots

3

3

Shots on target

1

1.95

Actual xG

0.30

0

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

5

Corners

3

8

Tackles

14

4

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

2'

M. Cuisance

5'

D. Zeefuik

10'

18'

L. Rosenboom

P. Seguin

45'+1

45'

J. Meffert

46'

J. Therkelsen / I. Ugoh ↕

63'

ast. P. Harres · J. Therkelsen⚽

↕ L. Schuler / D. Kownacki

67'

F. Reese

75'

80'

I. Nekic

↕ D. Zeefuik / J. Eitschberger

80'

↕ P. Seguin / M. Krattenmacher

87'

87'

N. Niehoff / A. Kapralik ↕

87'

M. Muller / P. Harres ↕

90'+1

S. Schwab / K. Davidsen ↕

90'+2

U. Tohumcu

90'+3

F. Roslyng / U. Tohumcu ↕

Pre-match prediction

49.5%

Hertha

25.38%

X

25.12%

Holstein ←

we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 25.12% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hertha

1.64

1.95

+0.31

Holstein

1.12

0.30

-0.82

Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1

1

G 6.30

33 Michał Karbownik D 7.50

31

D 7.30

44 Linus Gechter D 6.60

42 D. Zeefuik 80' D 6.60

30 Paul Seguin 87' M 6.30

10 Michaël Cuisance M 7.60

11 F. Reese M 7.20

7 J. Brekalo M 7.20

22 M. Winkler M 6.60

18 L. Schuler 67' F 6.60

Bench

9

D. Kownacki 23' F 6.30

2 Julian Eitschberger 10' D 6.90

8 Kevin Sessa M

27 Niklas Kolbe D

37 T. Leistner D

Holstein Kiel 4-5-1

1

G 7.60

6 Marko Ivezić D 7.60

26 D. Zec D 7.00

13 Ivan Nekić D 6.90

23 Lasse Rosenboom D 6.30

8 Umut Tohumcu 89' M 6.90

15

Kasper Davidsen 89' M 6.70

28 Jonas Meffert M 6.20

49 Ikem Ugoh 45' M 6.70

20

Adrián Kaprálik 87' M 6.20

19 P. Harres 1 👟 87' F 6.90

Bench

18

Aldin Jakupovic F

2 Frederik Roslyng 1' D

10 Jonas Therkelsen 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70

25 Marcus Müller 8' F 6.50

22 Stefan Schwab 1' M

Best on the pitch

Jonas Therkelsen

M · Holstein

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Michaël Cuisance

M · Hertha

7.60

1 shots · 42 pass

G · Holstein

7.60

· 56 pass

Marko Ivezić

D · Holstein

7.60

· 41 pass

Michał Karbownik

D · Hertha

7.50

· 29 pass

D · Hertha

7.30

· 62 pass

Hertha BSC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
Michał Karbownik	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	62	53%	1	—	—
Linus Gechter	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	60	56%	—	—	—
D. Zeefuik	D	80	6.60	—	—	—	27	21%	3	1	—
Paul Seguin	M	87	6.30	—	—	3	60	51%	—	1	—
Michaël Cuisance	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	42	38%	1	1	—
F. Reese	M	90	7.20	—	—	4	34	28%	—	1	—
J. Brekalo	M	90	7.20	—	—	3	33	27%	—	—	—
M. Winkler	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	17	13%	2	—	—
L. Schuler	F	67	6.60	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
D. Kownacki	F	23	6.30	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
Julian Eitschberger	D	10	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Holstein Kiel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	56	45%	—	—	—
Marko Ivezić	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	41	35%	5	—	—
D. Zec	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
Ivan Nekić	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	—	1	—
Lasse Rosenboom	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	14%	—	1	—
Umut Tohumcu	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	2	1	—
Kasper Davidsen	M	89	6.70	—	—	—	12	6%	1	—	—
Jonas Meffert	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	30	23%	—	1	—
Ikem Ugoh	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
Adrián Kaprálik	M	87	6.20	—	—	—	10	5%	1	—	—
P. Harres	F	87	6.90	—	1	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Frederik Roslyng	D	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Jonas Therkelsen	M	45	7.70	1	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
Marcus Müller	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Stefan Schwab	M	1	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—