Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
April 18, 2026 21:00
C. Kachwele
56'
I. Johnston
76'
(pen.)
20'
A. Diaz
90'+8
(ast. D. Konincks)
B. Juach
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HFX Wanderers FC a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Pacific FC 31%). The final result was HFX Wanderers FC 2–2 Pacific FC.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
1.88
Actual xG
1.12
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
4
Match Events
20'
A. Diaz⚽
R. Telfer
35'
⚽C. Kachwele
56'
S. Zitman
/ L. Olguin
63'
J. Bahamboula
/ T. Ciccarelli
69'
73'
C. Greco-Taylor
⚽I. Johnston
(pen.)
76'
77'
A. Daniels
/
M. Bustos
T. Ciccarelli
78'
78'
R. Juhmi
/
M. Baldisimo
79'
J. Heard
79'
B. Juach
/
A. Diaz
87'
R. Kratt
/
Y. R. Toualy
87'
S. Keshavarz
/
T. Gomulka
90'+8
ast. D. Konincks ·
B. Juach⚽
I. Johnston
/ F. Troisi
90'
C. Kachwele
/ A. Rampersad
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.03%
HFX
31.28%
X ←
31.7%
Pacific
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.90
1.88
-1.02
1.73
1.12
-0.61
HFX Wanderers FC dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC?
The final score was HFX Wanderers FC 2–2 Pacific FC.
What did the model predict before HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC?
The model assigned 37% probability to a HFX Wanderers FC win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Pacific FC win.