Canadian Premier League · Group Stage April 18, 2026 19:00

HFX Wanderers FC

#6 · 26 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Pacific FC

#8 · 14 pts

C. Kachwele 56'

I. Johnston 76' (pen.)

20' A. Diaz

90'+8 (ast. D. Konincks) B. Juach

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HFX Wanderers FC a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Pacific FC 31%). The final result was HFX Wanderers FC 2–2 Pacific FC. In 3 previous meetings, HFX Wanderers FC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pacific FC.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

3

1.88

Actual xG

1.12

58%

Possession

42%

5

Corners

4

Match Events

20'

A. Diaz⚽

R. Telfer

35'

⚽C. Kachwele

56'

↕ S. Zitman / L. Olguin

63'

↕ J. Bahamboula / T. Ciccarelli

69'

73'

C. Greco-Taylor

⚽I. Johnston (pen.)

76'

77'

A. Daniels / M. Bustos ↕

T. Ciccarelli

78'

78'

R. Juhmi / M. Baldisimo ↕

79'

J. Heard

79'

B. Juach / A. Diaz ↕

87'

R. Kratt / Y. R. Toualy ↕

87'

S. Keshavarz / T. Gomulka ↕

90'+8

ast. D. Konincks · B. Juach⚽

↕ I. Johnston / F. Troisi

90'

↕ C. Kachwele / A. Rampersad

90'

Pre-match prediction

37.03%

HFX

31.28%

X ←

31.7%

Pacific

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HFX

2.90

1.88

-1.02

Pacific

1.73

1.12

-0.61

HFX Wanderers FC dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	25	53
2	Forge	23	47
3	Atlético Ottawa	25	40
4	Vancouver FC	25	33
5	York United	24	27
6	HFX Wanderers FC	24	26
7	Supra du Quebec	23	25
8	Pacific FC	23	14