← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 35 May 03, 2026 13:00
Hibernian
#5 · 51 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Celtic
#2 · 79 pts
J. Newell 45'+3
41' (ast. A. Johnston) D. Maeda
72' K. Iheanacho

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Hibernian 29%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Celtic.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.38
Actual xG
2.73
4
Saves
0
18%
Possession
82%
0
Corners
13
9
Tackles
3
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. McGrath
21'
41'
ast. A. Johnston · D. Maeda⚽
⚽J. Newell
45'+3
↕ N. Cadden / J. Obita
46'
↕ M. Boyle / J. Campbell
46'
J. Obita
48'
54'
L. Scales
J. Campbell
54'
63'
L. McCowan / A. Johnston ↕
63'
J. Forrest / S. Tounekti ↕
69'
K. Iheanacho / Yang Hyun-Jun ↕
72'
K. Iheanacho⚽
↕ J. Newell / D. Barlaser
73'
77'
A. Ralston / B. Nygren ↕
↕ O. Elding / D. Scarlett
81'
↕ J. Iredale / A. Suto
81'
90'+2
A. Engels
A. Suto
90'+3
90'+4
L. McCowan
Pre-match prediction
29.6%
Hibernian
26.73%
X
43.67%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 43.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hibernian
1.11
0.38
-0.73
Celtic
1.35
2.73
+1.38
Celtic dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Hibernian Hibernian 3-4-1-2
13
G 7.20
15 Jack Iredale Jack Iredale 81' D 6.70
33 Rocky Bushiri Rocky Bushiri D 6.90
5 Warren O'Hora Warren O'Hora D 8.20
19 Nicky Cadden Nicky Cadden 45' M 6.60
11 Joe Newell Joe Newell 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa Miguel Changa Chaiwa M 6.50
27
M 6.30
17 J. McGrath J. McGrath 21' F 3.90
47 Owen Elding Owen Elding 81' F 6.90
10 Martin Boyle Martin Boyle 45' F 6.50
Bench
77 Ante Šuto Ante Šuto 9' F 6.70
44 Dane Scarlett Dane Scarlett 9' F 6.70
22 Daniel Barlaser Daniel Barlaser 17' M 6.30
21 Jordan Obita Jordan Obita 45' D 6.30
32 Josh Campbell Josh Campbell 45' M 6.30
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.20
63 Kieran Tierney Kieran Tierney D 6.50
5 Liam Scales Liam Scales D 6.90
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.20
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston 1 👟 64' D 7.50
27 Arne Engels Arne Engels M 6.60
42 Callum McGregor Callum McGregor M 7.00
23 Sebastian Tounekti Sebastian Tounekti 63' M 6.60
8 Benjamin Nygren Benjamin Nygren 77' M 6.90
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 70' M 6.30
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 1 ⚽ F 6.70
Bench
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M
49 James Forrest James Forrest 27' M 6.90
17 Kelechi Iheanacho Kelechi Iheanacho 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.20
14 Luke McCowan Luke McCowan 26' M 6.60
41 Reo Hatate Reo Hatate M
56 Tony Ralston Tony Ralston 13' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora
D · Hibernian
8.20
· 19 pass
Joe Newell
Joe Newell
M · Hibernian
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston
D · Celtic
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
Kelechi Iheanacho
Kelechi Iheanacho
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots · 100 pass
G · Hibernian
7.20
· 32 pass
Hibernian Hibernian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 32 7% — — —
Jack Iredale D 81 6.70 — — — 13 4% 1 — —
Rocky Bushiri D 90 6.90 — — — 14 11% — — —
Warren O'Hora D 90 8.20 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Nicky Cadden M 45 6.60 — — 1 7 1% 1 — —
Joe Newell M 73 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% 1 — —
Miguel Changa Chaiwa M 90 6.50 — — — 10 4% 1 — —
M 90 6.30 — — — 9 7% 2 — —
J. McGrath F 21 3.90 — — — — — — — 1
Owen Elding F 81 6.90 — — — 10 5% — — —
Martin Boyle F 45 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Ante Šuto F 9 6.70 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Dane Scarlett F 9 6.70 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Daniel Barlaser M 17 6.30 — — — 6 3% — — —
Jordan Obita D 45 6.30 — — — 5 3% — 1 —
Josh Campbell M 45 6.30 — — — 9 5% 1 1 —
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 35 31% — — —
Kieran Tierney D 90 6.50 — — 2 86 77% — — —
Liam Scales D 90 6.90 — — 1 109 106% — 1 —
Auston Trusty D 90 7.20 — — 1 100 93% — — —
Alistair Johnston D 64 7.50 — 1 1 46 43% — — —
Arne Engels M 90 6.60 — — — 39 29% 2 — —
Callum McGregor M 90 7.00 — — 2 70 68% 1 — —
Sebastian Tounekti M 63 6.60 — — — 46 39% — — —
Benjamin Nygren M 77 6.90 — — 1 50 45% — — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 70 6.30 — — 1 63 49% — — —
Daizen Maeda F 90 6.70 1 — 3 13 9% — — —
James Forrest M 27 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Kelechi Iheanacho F 20 7.20 1 — 1 5 5% — — —
Luke McCowan M 26 6.60 — — — 16 13% — — —
Tony Ralston D 13 6.70 — — — 16 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Celtic?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Hibernian win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Celtic win.