Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 35
May 03, 2026 13:00
J. Newell
45'+3
41'
(ast. A. Johnston)
D. Maeda
72'
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Hibernian 29%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.38
Actual xG
2.73
4
Saves
0
18%
Possession
82%
0
Corners
13
9
Tackles
3
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. McGrath
21'
41'
ast. A. Johnston ·
D. Maeda⚽
⚽J. Newell
45'+3
N. Cadden
/ J. Obita
46'
M. Boyle
/ J. Campbell
46'
J. Obita
48'
54'
L. Scales
J. Campbell
54'
63'
L. McCowan
/
A. Johnston
63'
J. Forrest
/
S. Tounekti
69'
K. Iheanacho
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
K. Iheanacho⚽
J. Newell
/ D. Barlaser
73'
77'
A. Ralston
/
B. Nygren
O. Elding
/ D. Scarlett
81'
J. Iredale
/ A. Suto
81'
90'+2
A. Engels
A. Suto
90'+3
90'+4
L. McCowan
Pre-match prediction
29.6%
Hibernian
26.73%
X
43.67%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
43.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
0.38
-0.73
1.35
2.73
+1.38
Celtic dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
15
J. Iredale
81'
D
J. Iredale
81'
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
D
Rocky Bushiri
D
5
W. O'Hora
D
W. O'Hora
D
19
N. Cadden
45'
M
N. Cadden
45'
M
11
J. Newell
1 ⚽
73'
M
J. Newell
1 ⚽
73'
M
14
M. Chaiwa
M
M. Chaiwa
M
27
M
17
J. McGrath
21'
F
J. McGrath
21'
F
47
O. Elding
81'
F
O. Elding
81'
F
10
M. Boyle
45'
F
M. Boyle
45'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
9'
F
A. Šuto
9'
F
22
D. Barlaser
17'
M
D. Barlaser
17'
M
44
D. Scarlett
9'
F
D. Scarlett
9'
F
32
J. Campbell
45'
M
J. Campbell
45'
M
21
J. Obita
45'
D
J. Obita
45'
D
12
G
63
K. Tierney
D
K. Tierney
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
2
Alistair Johnston
1 👟
64'
D
Alistair Johnston
1 👟
64'
D
27
A. Engels
M
A. Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
23
S. Tounekti
63'
M
S. Tounekti
63'
M
8
B. Nygren
77'
M
B. Nygren
77'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
70'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
70'
M
38
Daizen Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Daizen Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
56
A. Ralston
13'
D
A. Ralston
13'
D
49
J. Forrest
27'
M
J. Forrest
27'
M
17
K. Ịheanachọ
1 ⚽
20'
F
K. Ịheanachọ
1 ⚽
20'
F
14
L. McCowan
26'
M
L. McCowan
26'
M
41
R. Hatate
M
R. Hatate
M
Best on the pitch
W. O'Hora
D · Hibernian
8.20
· 19 pass
J. Newell
M · Hibernian
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Alistair Johnston
D · Celtic
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 46 pass
K. Ịheanachọ
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots
· 100 pass
G · Hibernian
7.20
· 32 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| J. Iredale | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Newell | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. McGrath | F | 21 | 3.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| O. Elding | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Barlaser | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Scarlett | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Campbell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Obita | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 77% | — | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 109 | 106% | — | 1 | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 100 | 93% | — | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 64 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 43% | — | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Daizen Maeda | F | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Ịheanachọ | F | 20 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Celtic?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Hibernian win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Celtic win.