Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 35
May 03, 2026 13:00
J. Newell
45'+3
41'
(ast. A. Johnston)
D. Maeda
72'
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Hibernian 29%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.38
Actual xG
2.73
4
Saves
0
18%
Possession
82%
0
Corners
13
9
Tackles
3
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. McGrath
21'
41'
ast. A. Johnston ·
D. Maeda⚽
⚽J. Newell
45'+3
N. Cadden
/ J. Obita
46'
M. Boyle
/ J. Campbell
46'
J. Obita
48'
54'
L. Scales
J. Campbell
54'
63'
L. McCowan
/
A. Johnston
63'
J. Forrest
/
S. Tounekti
69'
K. Iheanacho
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
K. Iheanacho⚽
J. Newell
/ D. Barlaser
73'
77'
A. Ralston
/
B. Nygren
O. Elding
/ D. Scarlett
81'
J. Iredale
/ A. Suto
81'
90'+2
A. Engels
A. Suto
90'+3
90'+4
L. McCowan
Pre-match prediction
29.6%
Hibernian
26.73%
X
43.67%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
43.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
0.38
-0.73
1.35
2.73
+1.38
Celtic dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
15
Jack Iredale
81'
D
Jack Iredale
81'
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
D
Rocky Bushiri
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
Warren O'Hora
D
19
Nicky Cadden
45'
M
Nicky Cadden
45'
M
11
Joe Newell
1 ⚽
73'
M
Joe Newell
1 ⚽
73'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
27
M
17
J. McGrath
21'
F
J. McGrath
21'
F
47
Owen Elding
81'
F
Owen Elding
81'
F
10
M. Boyle
45'
F
M. Boyle
45'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
9'
F
A. Šuto
9'
F
44
Dane Scarlett
9'
F
Dane Scarlett
9'
F
22
Daniel Barlaser
17'
M
Daniel Barlaser
17'
M
21
J. Obita
45'
D
J. Obita
45'
D
32
Josh Campbell
45'
M
Josh Campbell
45'
M
12
G
63
Kieran Tierney
D
Kieran Tierney
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
2
A. Johnston
1 👟
64'
D
A. Johnston
1 👟
64'
D
27
Arne Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
23
S. Tounekti
63'
M
S. Tounekti
63'
M
8
B. Nygren
77'
M
B. Nygren
77'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
70'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
70'
M
38
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
49
James Forrest
27'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
1 ⚽
20'
F
14
Luke McCowan
26'
M
41
Reo Hatate
M
Reo Hatate
M
56
Tony Ralston
13'
D
Tony Ralston
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Warren O'Hora
D · Hibernian
8.20
· 19 pass
Joe Newell
M · Hibernian
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
A. Johnston
D · Celtic
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 46 pass
Kelechi Iheanacho
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots
· 100 pass
G · Hibernian
7.20
· 32 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Jack Iredale | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicky Cadden | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. McGrath | F | 21 | 3.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Owen Elding | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Dane Scarlett | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Obita | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Campbell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 77% | — | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 109 | 106% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 100 | 93% | — | — | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 64 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Arne Engels | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 49% | — | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| James Forrest | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 20 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luke McCowan | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Celtic?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Hibernian win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Celtic win.