HJK Helsinki - Ilves
Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 13:00
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
14.6°C
💨 14 km/h
· Helsinki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.0%
Win
HJK Helsinki
33.36%
Draw
26.64%
Win
Ilves
0.95
0.45
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives HJK Helsinki a 40% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Ilves. Expected goals are 0.9 for HJK Helsinki and 0.4 for Ilves (total 1.4), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 24.7% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ HJK Helsinki
Ilves →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24.7% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 1 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
HJK Helsinki
Attack
31
Defence
85
Form
58
Ilves
Attack
33
Defence
56
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
The model gives HJK Helsinki a 40% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 26% for an Ilves win.
How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
Expected goals: HJK Helsinki 0.9, Ilves 0.4 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 24.7%.