B. Lyons-Foster
43'
M. Borchers
(ast. T. Pukki)
83'
21'
M. Stjopin
59'
(ast. T. Hytonen)
M. Stjopin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HJK Helsinki a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Ilves 25%). The final result was HJK Helsinki 2–2 Ilves.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
2.12
Actual xG
1.07
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
4
Match Events
V. Tikkanen
21'
21'
M. Stjopin⚽
⚽B. Lyons-Foster
43'
59'
ast. T. Hytonen ·
M. Stjopin⚽
T. Mero
/ A. Ring
61'
62'
O. Multala
/
Y. Raap
62'
A. Popovitch
/
O. Tiitinen
A. Cicale
/ L. Lappalainen
71'
J. Kallinen
/ M. Borchers
71'
76'
G. Bamba
/
O. Pettersson
76'
S. Suvanne
/
K. Wallius
76'
J. Kanga
/
A. Popovitch
M. Bogicevic
79'
⚽M. Borchers
· ast. T. Pukki
83'
T. Pukki
/ M. Kirilov
84'
90'+2
M. Stjopin
M. Bogicevic
90'
M. Bogicevic
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.45%
HJK
32.69%
X ←
25.86%
Ilves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
2.12
+1.22
0.43
1.07
+0.64
HJK Helsinki dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
Matej Marković
G
2
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
1 ⚽
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
1 ⚽
D
6
V. Tikkanen
D
V. Tikkanen
D
31
M. Bogićević
D
M. Bogićević
D
28
M. Ylitolva
D
M. Ylitolva
D
8
P. Mentu
M
P. Mentu
M
10
L. Lingman
M
L. Lingman
M
18
Toivo Mero
M
22
Liam Möller
M
7
Alfie Cicale
M
Alfie Cicale
M
20
T. Pukki
1 👟
F
T. Pukki
1 👟
F
Bench
4
A. Ring
M
A. Ring
M
19
D. Ezeh
F
D. Ezeh
F
24
Emil Levealahti
D
15
J. Kallinen
M
J. Kallinen
M
1
J. Öst
G
J. Öst
G
26
L. Lappalainen
M
L. Lappalainen
M
17
Martin Kirilov
M
9
M. Borchers
1 ⚽
F
M. Borchers
1 ⚽
F
92
Mustafa Ameen
D
1
Otso Virtanen
G
3
Matias Rale
D
Matias Rale
D
16
T. Miettunen
D
T. Miettunen
D
24
Ville Kumpu
D
Ville Kumpu
D
28
J. Kilo
M
J. Kilo
M
6
Yiandro Raap
D
Yiandro Raap
D
20
Otto Tiitinen
M
Otto Tiitinen
M
4
Oliver Pettersson
D
Oliver Pettersson
D
13
K. Wallius
M
K. Wallius
M
8
M. Stjopin
2 ⚽
M
M. Stjopin
2 ⚽
M
9
T. Hytönen
1 👟
F
T. Hytönen
1 👟
F
Bench
19
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba
D
23
André Raymond
D
André Raymond
D
14
Anton Popovitch
M
Anton Popovitch
M
12
Faris Krkalić
G
Faris Krkalić
G
30
J. Kanga
M
J. Kanga
M
22
Oskari Multala
M
33
Oskari Paavola
F
25
Sebastian Suvanne
D
17
Stanislav Baranov
M
Stanislav Baranov
M
HJK Helsinki — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Marković | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Tikkanen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bogićević | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ylitolva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mentu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lingman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toivo Mero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Möller | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Cicale | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Pukki | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ilves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otso Virtanen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matias Rale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Miettunen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Kumpu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kilo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiandro Raap | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otto Tiitinen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Pettersson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Wallius | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stjopin | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hytönen | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
The final score was HJK Helsinki 2–2 Ilves.
What did the model predict before HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
The model assigned 41% probability to a HJK Helsinki win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Ilves win.