HNL · Regular Season - 33 May 02, 2026 16:00

HNK Gorica

#8 · 38 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Dinamo Zagreb

#1 · 82 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb

J. Prsir (ast. A. Kavelj) 12'

5' (ast. J. Misic) A. Hoxha

90' (ast. S. Dominguez) M. Bakrar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 66% win probability (draw 18%, HNK Gorica 14%). The final result was HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

4

3

Shots on target

4

0.65

Actual xG

0.23

2

Saves

2

48%

Possession

52%

8

Corners

8

18

Tackles

8

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

5'

ast. J. Misic · A. Hoxha⚽

⚽J. Prsir · ast. A. Kavelj

12'

62'

S. Dominguez / S. McKenna ↕

62'

F. Topic / D. Beljo ↕

62'

L. Stojkovic / M. Soldo ↕

65'

M. Perez Vinlof

↕ J. Prsir / T. Epailly

66'

68'

M. Lisica / A. Hoxha ↕

77'

I. Bennacer / J. Misic ↕

↕ B. Bogojevic / L. Vrzic

78'

↕ A. Erceg / W. Sule

78'

80'

S. Dominguez

↕ D. Pavicic / S. Kucis

90'

90'

ast. S. Dominguez · M. Bakrar⚽

Pre-match prediction

14.42%

HNK

18.75%

X

66.83%

Dinamo ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 66.83% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

1.01

0.65

-0.36

Dinamo

2.64

0.23

-2.41

HNK Gorica dominated by xG (0.65 vs 0.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1

71

G 6.30

19 M. Čabraja D 7.20

4

D 6.30

45 Stefan Perić D 6.60

25 Bruno Bogojević 78' M 6.30

36 Ante Kavelj 1 👟 M 8.20

8 Iker Pozo M 7.20

22 Žan Trontelj M 7.00

24 Domagoj Pavičić F 6.90

10 J. Pršir 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.20

50 Ante Erceg 78' F 6.90

Bench

5 Mateo Leš D

7 Ognjen Bakić M

64 Theo Epailly 27' F 6.30

11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule 15' F 6.70

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

40

G 6.30

22

M. Perez Vinlof D 6.70

26

S. McKenna 62' D 6.70

15

N. Galesic D 6.90

25

M. Valincic D 6.60

10 G. Vidović M 6.20

27 J. Mišić 1 👟 77' M 7.50

14

M. Soldo 62' M 6.20

11 A. Hoxha 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.70

9 D. Beljo 62' F 6.30

71 M. Bakrar 1 ⚽ M 7.20

Bench

3

B. Goda D

7 L. Stojković 31' M 6.50

21 M. Lisica 25' F 6.30

36

S. Dominguez 1 👟 31' D 7.20

Best on the pitch

Ante Kavelj

M · HNK

8.20

1 👟

· 37 pass

A. Hoxha

M · Dinamo

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

7.50

1 👟

· 40 pass

S. Dominguez

D · Dinamo

7.20

1 👟

· 22 pass

M. Čabraja

D · HNK

7.20

· 44 pass

M. Bakrar

M · Dinamo

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

HNK Gorica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	25	16%	—	—	—
M. Čabraja	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	44	38%	3	—	—
	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	32	27%	—	—	—
Stefan Perić	D	93	6.60	—	—	1	53	52%	—	—	—
Bruno Bogojević	M	78	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
Ante Kavelj	M	93	8.20	—	1	—	37	32%	4	—	—
Iker Pozo	M	93	7.20	—	—	—	43	41%	4	—	—
Žan Trontelj	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	40	32%	3	—	—
Domagoj Pavičić	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	24	24%	1	—	—
J. Pršir	F	66	7.20	1	—	1	17	12%	1	—	—
Ante Erceg	F	78	6.90	—	—	—	26	22%	—	—	—
Theo Epailly	F	27	6.30	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Wisdom Aondowase Sule	F	15	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	16	11%	—	—	—
M. Perez Vinlof	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	45	39%	—	1	—
S. McKenna	D	62	6.70	—	—	1	46	41%	—	—	—
N. Galesic	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	58	53%	—	—	—
M. Valincic	D	93	6.60	—	—	—	36	32%	1	—	—
G. Vidović	M	93	6.20	—	—	—	43	42%	—	—	—
J. Mišić	M	77	7.50	—	1	—	40	37%	1	—	—
M. Soldo	M	62	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	4	—	—
A. Hoxha	M	68	7.70	1	—	1	23	21%	—	—	—
D. Beljo	F	62	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
M. Bakrar	M	93	7.20	1	—	1	16	10%	1	—	—
L. Stojković	M	31	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
M. Lisica	F	25	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
S. Dominguez	D	31	7.20	—	1	—	22	19%	1	1	—