HNL · Regular Season - 33 May 02, 2026 16:00 Arigato Service Dream, Imabari

HNK Gorica

#10 · 7 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Dinamo Zagreb

#2 · 22 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb

J. Prsir (ast. A. Kavelj) 12'

5' (ast. J. Misic) A. Hoxha

90' (ast. S. Dominguez) M. Bakrar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 66% win probability (draw 18%, HNK Gorica 14%). The final result was HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

4

3

Shots on target

4

0.65

Actual xG

0.23

2

Saves

2

48%

Possession

52%

8

Corners

8

18

Tackles

8

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

5'

ast. J. Misic · A. Hoxha⚽

⚽J. Prsir · ast. A. Kavelj

12'

62'

S. Dominguez / S. McKenna ↕

62'

F. Topic / D. Beljo ↕

62'

L. Stojkovic / M. Soldo ↕

65'

M. Perez Vinlof

↕ J. Prsir / T. Epailly

66'

68'

M. Lisica / A. Hoxha ↕

77'

I. Bennacer / J. Misic ↕

↕ B. Bogojevic / L. Vrzic

78'

↕ A. Erceg / W. Sule

78'

80'

S. Dominguez

↕ D. Pavicic / S. Kucis

90'

90'

ast. S. Dominguez · M. Bakrar⚽

Pre-match prediction

14.42%

HNK

18.75%

X

66.83%

Dinamo ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 66.83% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

1.01

0.65

-0.36

Dinamo

2.64

0.23

-2.41

HNK Gorica dominated by xG (0.65 vs 0.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7

Lineups

HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1

71

G 6.30

19 M. Čabraja D 7.20

4

D 6.30

45 S. Perić D 6.60

25 B. Bogojević 78' M 6.30

36 Ante Kavelj 1 👟 M 8.20

8 Iker Pozo M 7.20

22

Z. Trontelj M 7.00

24 D. Pavičić F 6.90

10 J. Pršir 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.20

50 A. Erceg 78' F 6.90

Bench

5 Mateo Leš D

7 O. Bakić M

64 T. Epailly 27' F 6.30

11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule 15' F 6.70

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

40

G 6.30

22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D 6.70

26 S. McKenna 62' D 6.70

15 N. Galešić D 6.90

25 M. Valinčić D 6.60

10 G. Vidović M 6.20

27 J. Mišić 1 👟 77' M 7.50

14 M. Soldo 62' M 6.20

11 A. Hoxha 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.70

9 D. Beljo 62' F 6.30

71 M. Bakrar 1 ⚽ M 7.20

Bench

3 B. Goda D

7 L. Stojković 31' M 6.50

21 M. Lisica 25' F 6.30

36 Sergi Domínguez 1 👟 31' D 7.20

Best on the pitch

Ante Kavelj

M · HNK

8.20

1 👟

· 37 pass

A. Hoxha

M · Dinamo

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

7.50

1 👟

· 40 pass

Sergi Domínguez

D · Dinamo

7.20

1 👟

· 22 pass

M. Čabraja

D · HNK

7.20

· 44 pass

M. Bakrar

M · Dinamo

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

HNK Gorica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	25	16%	—	—	—
M. Čabraja	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	44	38%	3	—	—
	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	32	27%	—	—	—
S. Perić	D	93	6.60	—	—	1	53	52%	—	—	—
B. Bogojević	M	78	6.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
Ante Kavelj	M	93	8.20	—	1	—	37	32%	4	—	—
Iker Pozo	M	93	7.20	—	—	—	43	41%	4	—	—
Z. Trontelj	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	40	32%	3	—	—
D. Pavičić	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	24	24%	1	—	—
J. Pršir	F	66	7.20	1	—	1	17	12%	1	—	—
A. Erceg	F	78	6.90	—	—	—	26	22%	—	—	—
T. Epailly	F	27	6.30	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Wisdom Aondowase Sule	F	15	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	16	11%	—	—	—
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	45	39%	—	1	—
S. McKenna	D	62	6.70	—	—	1	46	41%	—	—	—
N. Galešić	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	58	53%	—	—	—
M. Valinčić	D	93	6.60	—	—	—	36	32%	1	—	—
G. Vidović	M	93	6.20	—	—	—	43	42%	—	—	—
J. Mišić	M	77	7.50	—	1	—	40	37%	1	—	—
M. Soldo	M	62	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	4	—	—
A. Hoxha	M	68	7.70	1	—	1	23	21%	—	—	—
D. Beljo	F	62	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
M. Bakrar	M	93	7.20	1	—	1	16	10%	1	—	—
L. Stojković	M	31	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
M. Lisica	F	25	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Sergi Domínguez	D	31	7.20	—	1	—	22	19%	1	1	—