HNL
· Regular Season - 32
April 27, 2026 20:00
J. Prsir
(ast. B. Bogojevic)
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 51% win probability (draw 31%, Istra 1961 16%). The final result was HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Istra 1961.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
11
Corners
5
10
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽J. Prsir
· ast. B. Bogojevic
31'
45'+1
V. Rozic
46'
D. Ahmeti
/
A. Mauric
A. Erceg
50'
57'
A. Kadusic
J. Prsir
/ T. Epailly
67'
B. Bogojevic
/ O. Bakic
73'
A. Erceg
/ W. Sule
73'
78'
N. Sepic
/
M. Heister
78'
C. Agada
/
V. Rozic
D. Pavicic
/ E. Durakovic
82'
85'
A. Obando
/
E. Frederiksen
86'
R. Kumar
S. Peric
89'
90'
S. Prevljak
90'
R. Hrvatin
/
A. Kadusic
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
HNK ←
31.33%
X
16.81%
Istra
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica)
51.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.41
-0.01
0.61
0.80
+0.19
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
71
G
5
Mateo Leš
D
Mateo Leš
D
4
D
45
Stefan Perić
D
Stefan Perić
D
25
Bruno Bogojević
1 👟
73'
M
Bruno Bogojević
1 👟
73'
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
8
Iker Pozo
M
Iker Pozo
M
22
Žan Trontelj
M
Žan Trontelj
M
24
Domagoj Pavičić
82'
F
Domagoj Pavičić
82'
F
10
J. Pršir
1 ⚽
67'
F
J. Pršir
1 ⚽
67'
F
50
Ante Erceg
73'
F
Ante Erceg
73'
F
Bench
7
Ognjen Bakić
17'
M
Ognjen Bakić
17'
M
64
Theo Epailly
23'
F
Theo Epailly
23'
F
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
17'
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
17'
F
1
G
26
M. Heister
78'
D
M. Heister
78'
D
38
Raul Kumar
D
Raul Kumar
D
24
D
97
Advan Kadušić
89'
D
Advan Kadušić
89'
D
8
Antonio Maurić
45'
M
Antonio Maurić
45'
M
23
Leo Štulac
M
Leo Štulac
M
7
Vinko Rozić
78'
M
Vinko Rozić
78'
M
10
S. Lončar
M
S. Lončar
M
17
E. Frederiksen
85'
M
E. Frederiksen
85'
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
S. Prevljak
F
Bench
29
Allen Obando
10'
F
Allen Obando
10'
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
12'
F
Charles Adah Agada
12'
F
20
Dukan Ahmeti
45'
M
Dukan Ahmeti
45'
M
25
Gustavo Albarracín
M
Gustavo Albarracín
M
18
Israel Ayuma
M
Israel Ayuma
M
44
Rene Hrvatin
1'
D
Rene Hrvatin
1'
D
16
Samuli Miettinen
D
Samuli Miettinen
D
Best on the pitch
J. Pršir
F · HNK
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Iker Pozo
M · HNK
7.70
2 shots
· 39 pass
G · HNK
7.30
· 28 pass
Dukan Ahmeti
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 12 pass
S. Lončar
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Žan Trontelj
M · HNK
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Mateo Leš | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Stefan Perić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Bogojević | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Iker Pozo | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Žan Trontelj | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Domagoj Pavičić | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pršir | F | 67 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Ante Erceg | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Theo Epailly | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wisdom Aondowase Sule | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| M. Heister | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Raul Kumar | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 67% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 78 | 67% | 3 | — | — | |
| Advan Kadušić | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Antonio Maurić | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Leo Štulac | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinko Rozić | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Allen Obando | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charles Adah Agada | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dukan Ahmeti | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Rene Hrvatin | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
The final score was HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 51% probability to a HNK Gorica win, 31% to a draw, and 16% to an Istra 1961 win.