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#10 · 1 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#7 · 6 pts
J. Prsir (ast. B. Bogojevic) 31'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 51% win probability (draw 31%, Istra 1961 16%). The final result was HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
11
Corners
5
10
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
J. Prsir · ast. B. Bogojevic
31'
45'+1
V. Rozic
46'
D. Ahmeti / A. Mauric
A. Erceg
50'
57'
A. Kadusic
J. Prsir / T. Epailly
67'
B. Bogojevic / O. Bakic
73'
A. Erceg / W. Sule
73'
78'
N. Sepic / M. Heister
78'
C. Agada / V. Rozic
D. Pavicic / E. Durakovic
82'
85'
A. Obando / E. Frederiksen
86'
R. Kumar
S. Peric
89'
90'
S. Prevljak
90'
R. Hrvatin / A. Kadusic
Pre-match prediction
51.86%
HNK ←
31.33%
X
16.81%
Istra
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica) 51.86% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.42
1.41
-0.01
Istra
0.61
0.80
+0.19
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 NK Osijek NK Osijek 7 15
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 6 13
3 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 6 13
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 6 13
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 11
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 7
7 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 6 6
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 6 6
9 Rudes Rudes 6 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 6 1
Lineups
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71
G 7.30
5 Mateo Leš Mateo Leš D 7.00
4
D 6.90
45 S. Perić S. Perić D 6.90
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 1 👟 73' M 6.90
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj M 6.90
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo M 7.70
22
Z. Trontelj M 7.20
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić 82' F 6.50
10 J. Pršir J. Pršir 1 ⚽ 67' F 8.00
50 Ante Erceg Ante Erceg 73' F 6.30
Bench
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić 17' M 6.70
64 T. Epailly T. Epailly 23' F 6.70
11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule Wisdom Aondowase Sule 17' F 6.30
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
26 M. Heister M. Heister 78' D 6.70
38 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 6.70
24
D 6.70
97 A. Kadušić A. Kadušić 89' D 7.00
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 45' M 6.50
23
Leo Štulac M 7.00
7 V. Rozić V. Rozić 78' M 6.30
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar M 7.20
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 85' M 6.50
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak F 6.60
Bench
29 A. Obando A. Obando 10' F 6.50
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada 12' F 6.30
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 45' M 7.20
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín M
18 I. Ayuma I. Ayuma M
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin 1' D
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D
Best on the pitch
J. Pršir
J. Pršir
F · HNK
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo
M · HNK
7.70
2 shots · 39 pass
G · HNK
7.30
· 28 pass
D. Ahmeti
D. Ahmeti
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots · 12 pass
S. Lončar
S. Lončar
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots · 39 pass
Z. Trontelj
M · HNK
7.20
1 shots · 26 pass
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 28 23%
Mateo Leš D 90 7.00 30 27% 1
D 90 6.90 1 28 21% 1
S. Perić D 90 6.90 39 35% 2 1
B. Bogojević M 73 6.90 1 2 13 10%
Ante Kavelj M 90 6.90 1 24 23%
Iker Pozo M 90 7.70 2 39 33% 2
Z. Trontelj M 90 7.20 1 26 20% 1
D. Pavičić F 82 6.50 29 24% 1
J. Pršir F 67 8.00 1 1 24 18% 2
Ante Erceg F 73 6.30 2 23 17% 1
O. Bakić M 17 6.70 4 3%
T. Epailly F 23 6.70 2 2%
Wisdom Aondowase Sule F 17 6.30 2 1%
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 28 23%
M. Heister D 78 6.70 36 34% 4
R. Kumar D 90 6.70 75 67% 1
D 90 6.70 78 67% 3
A. Kadušić D 89 7.00 39 28% 6 1
A. Maurić M 45 6.50 1 28 23%
Leo Štulac M 90 7.00 43 39% 2
V. Rozić M 78 6.30 3 15 11% 2 1
S. Lončar M 90 7.20 1 39 32% 1
E. Frederiksen M 85 6.50 19 12% 1
S. Prevljak F 90 6.60 1 11 7% 2 1
A. Obando F 10 6.50 1 1%
Charles Adah Agada F 12 6.30 1 1%
D. Ahmeti M 45 7.20 1 12 11% 2
R. Hrvatin D 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
The final score was HNK Gorica 1–0 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 51% probability to a HNK Gorica win, 31% to a draw, and 16% to an Istra 1961 win.