HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 21, 2026 20:45

HNK Hajduk Split

#2 · 64 pts

0 – 1

Final score

NK Osijek

#9 · 32 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction HNK Hajduk Split, result NK Osijek vince

56' (ast. D. M. Mejia Moscoso) V. Bubanja

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 71% win probability (draw 18%, NK Osijek 10%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NK Osijek.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

6

5

Shots on target

2

2.17

Actual xG

1.24

1

Saves

5

64%

Possession

36%

2

Corners

4

19

Tackles

22

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

M. Sego

16'

56'

ast. D. M. Mejia Moscoso · V. Bubanja⚽

↕ R. Brajkovic / I. Almena

64'

↕ S. Hrgovic / D. Melnjak

64'

71'

I. Baric / A. Jakupovic ↕

71'

S. Akere / N. Omerovic ↕

↕ N. Skoko / A. Guram

72'

↕ A. Pajaziti / H. Guillamon

78'

↕ A. Rebic / B. Durdov

78'

82'

L. Vrbancic / D. M. Mejia Moscoso ↕

82'

S. Mikolcic / D. Bukvic ↕

⚽M. Sego (missed pen.)

83'

87'

D. Colina

90'+1

L. Vrbancic

90'+2

J. Mersinaj / O. Petrusenko ↕

Pre-match prediction

71.07%

HNK

18.85%

X

10.08%

NK ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (NK Osijek) 10.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

2.46

2.17

-0.29

NK

0.69

1.24

+0.55

HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1

33

G 6.90

32

S. Hrgovic 64' D 6.30

15

D 7.20

31 Z. Šarlija D 7.50

8

N. Sigur D 7.70

37

N. Skoko 72' M 6.70

4

A. Pajaziti 78' M 6.70

9 A. Rebić 78' M 7.30

21 R. Pukštas M 7.20

28

R. Brajkovic 64' M 6.70

11 M. Šego F 5.60

Bench

24

A. Sanyang F

17

D. Melnjak 29' D 6.90

30

I. Almena 29' F 6.60

14

R. Raci D

NK Osijek 3-4-1-2

31

G 7.20

38 David Čolina D 7.00

26 Luka Jelenić D 6.90

33

D 7.30

39 Domagoj Bukvić 82' M 6.70

16 Oleksandr Petrusenko M 7.00

6 D. Mejía 1 👟 82' M 7.20

98 Miloš Jovičić M 6.20

21 Vladan Bubanja 1 ⚽ F 7.00

11 Nail Omerović 71' F 6.20

17 Arnel Jakupović 71' F 7.00

Bench

49 Ivano Kolarik D

5 Jon Mersinaj 1' D

23 Luka Vrbančić 11' M 6.60

57 Samuel Akere 22' M 6.70

8

S. Mikolcic 11' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

N. Sigur

D · HNK

7.70

· 64 pass

Z. Šarlija

D · HNK

7.50

· 88 pass

A. Rebić

M · HNK

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

D · NK

7.30

· 32 pass

D · HNK

7.20

· 102 pass

D. Mejía

M · NK

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 28 pass

HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
S. Hrgovic	D	64	6.30	—	—	—	46	35%	2	—	—
	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	102	90%	1	—	—
Z. Šarlija	D	93	7.50	—	—	—	88	83%	5	—	—
N. Sigur	D	93	7.70	—	—	—	64	59%	2	—	—
N. Skoko	M	72	6.70	—	—	—	38	28%	4	—	—
A. Pajaziti	M	78	6.70	—	—	—	50	43%	1	—	—
A. Rebić	M	78	7.30	—	—	1	23	15%	3	—	—
R. Pukštas	M	93	7.20	—	—	2	34	21%	—	—	—
R. Brajkovic	M	64	6.70	—	—	—	35	29%	—	—	—
M. Šego	F	93	5.60	—	—	3	15	10%	—	1	—
D. Melnjak	D	29	6.90	—	—	2	23	22%	—	—	—
I. Almena	F	29	6.60	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—

NK Osijek — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	7.20	—	—	—	27	11%	—	—	—
David Čolina	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	50	39%	4	1	—
Luka Jelenić	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	34	33%	—	—	—
	D	93	7.30	—	—	—	32	27%	2	—	—
Domagoj Bukvić	M	82	6.70	—	—	—	31	26%	2	—	—
Oleksandr Petrusenko	M	92	7.00	—	—	1	31	28%	7	—	—
D. Mejía	M	82	7.20	—	1	1	28	22%	4	—	—
Miloš Jovičić	M	93	6.20	—	—	—	26	14%	—	—	—
Vladan Bubanja	F	93	7.00	1	—	1	34	23%	—	—	—
Nail Omerović	F	71	6.20	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—
Arnel Jakupović	F	71	7.00	—	—	2	13	9%	2	—	—
Jon Mersinaj	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Luka Vrbančić	M	11	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	1	—
Samuel Akere	M	22	6.70	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
S. Mikolcic	M	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—