✗Model wrong — prediction HNK Hajduk Split, result NK Osijek wins
56'
(ast. D. M. Mejia Moscoso)
V. Bubanja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 71% win probability (draw 18%, NK Osijek 10%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NK Osijek.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
2
2.17
Actual xG
1.24
1
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
2
Corners
4
19
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Sego
16'
56'
ast. D. M. Mejia Moscoso ·
V. Bubanja⚽
R. Brajkovic
/ I. Almena
64'
S. Hrgovic
/ D. Melnjak
64'
71'
I. Baric
/
A. Jakupovic
71'
S. Akere
/
N. Omerovic
N. Skoko
/ A. Guram
72'
A. Pajaziti
/ H. Guillamon
78'
A. Rebic
/ B. Durdov
78'
82'
L. Vrbancic
/
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
82'
S. Mikolcic
/
D. Bukvic
⚽M. Sego
(missed pen.)
83'
87'
D. Colina
90'+1
L. Vrbancic
90'+2
J. Mersinaj
/
O. Petrusenko
Pre-match prediction
71.07%
HNK
18.85%
X
10.08%
NK ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (NK Osijek)
10.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
2.17
-0.29
0.69
1.24
+0.55
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
32
Šimun Hrgović
64'
D
Šimun Hrgović
64'
D
15
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
8
Niko Sigur
D
Niko Sigur
D
37
N. Skoko
72'
M
4
Adrion Pajaziti
78'
M
9
A. Rebić
78'
M
A. Rebić
78'
M
21
R. Pukstas
M
28
Roko Brajković
64'
M
Roko Brajković
64'
M
11
M. Šego
F
M. Šego
F
Bench
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
F
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
F
17
Dario Melnjak
29'
D
Dario Melnjak
29'
D
30
Iker Almena
29'
F
Iker Almena
29'
F
14
Ron Raçi
D
31
G
38
David Čolina
D
David Čolina
D
26
Luka Jelenić
D
Luka Jelenić
D
33
D
39
Domagoj Bukvić
82'
M
Domagoj Bukvić
82'
M
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
M
Oleksandr Petrusenko
M
6
D. Mejía
1 👟
82'
M
D. Mejía
1 👟
82'
M
98
Miloš Jovičić
M
Miloš Jovičić
M
21
V. Bubanja
1 ⚽
F
V. Bubanja
1 ⚽
F
11
Nail Omerović
71'
F
Nail Omerović
71'
F
17
Arnel Jakupović
71'
F
Arnel Jakupović
71'
F
Bench
49
Ivano Kolarik
D
Ivano Kolarik
D
5
Jon Mersinaj
1'
D
Jon Mersinaj
1'
D
23
Luka Vrbančić
11'
M
Luka Vrbančić
11'
M
57
Samuel Akere
22'
M
Samuel Akere
22'
M
8
S. Mikolcic
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Niko Sigur
D · HNK
7.70
· 64 pass
Z. Šarlija
D · HNK
7.50
· 88 pass
A. Rebić
M · HNK
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
D · NK
7.30
· 32 pass
D · HNK
7.20
· 102 pass
D. Mejía
M · NK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 90% | 1 | — | — | |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 88 | 83% | 5 | — | — |
| Niko Sigur | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Skoko | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrion Pajaziti | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rebić | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Pukstas | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Šego | F | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Iker Almena | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
NK Osijek — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| David Čolina | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luka Jelenić | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — | |
| Domagoj Bukvić | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Oleksandr Petrusenko | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Mejía | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Miloš Jovičić | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| V. Bubanja | F | 93 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Nail Omerović | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Arnel Jakupović | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jon Mersinaj | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Vrbančić | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Akere | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Mikolcic | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 NK Osijek.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?
The model assigned 71% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 18% to a draw, and 10% to an NK Osijek win.