HNL · Regular Season - 33 May 03, 2026 18:45

HNK Hajduk Split

#2 · 64 pts

3 – 1

Final score

NK Varazdin

#4 · 48 pts

✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split

S. Lesjak 27' (og)

R. Pukstas (ast. D. Maresic) 45'+1

A. Sanyang (ast. M. Livaja) 90'+6

21' (ast. M. Vuk) A. Latkovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 56% win probability (draw 24%, NK Varazdin 19%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for NK Varazdin.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

6

8

Shots on target

3

1.28

Actual xG

1.85

2

Saves

6

50%

Possession

50%

4

Corners

3

17

Tackles

20

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

N. Sigur

8'

R. Brajkovic

18'

21'

ast. M. Vuk · A. Latkovic⚽

⚽S. Lesjak (og)

27'

Z. Sarlija

30'

⚽R. Pukstas · ast. D. Maresic

45'+1

46'

M. Mladenovski / M. Barac ↕

46'

S. Ilinkovic / D. Puclin ↕

↕ Z. Sarlija / R. Gabric

46'

↕ D. Melnjak / S. Hrgovic

60'

69'

I. Canjuga / T. Duvnjak ↕

↕ M. Sego / A. Guram

72'

↕ R. Brajkovic / L. Hodak

72'

77'

P. Bockaj / M. Vuk ↕

↕ R. Pukstas / A. Sanyang

82'

82'

Paizinho / L. Mamic ↕

86'

90'+3

M. Mladenovski

⚽A. Sanyang · ast. M. Livaja

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

56.03%

HNK ←

24.94%

X

19.02%

NK

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 56.03% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

1.95

1.28

-0.67

NK

1.09

1.85

+0.76

NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1

33

G 6.30

17

D. Melnjak 61' D 6.70

15

1 👟 D 8.30

31 Z. Šarlija 45' D 7.20

28

R. Brajkovic 73' D 6.20

4

A. Pajaziti M 6.90

8

N. Sigur M 7.30

11 M. Šego 73' M 6.50

21 R. Pukštas 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.30

30

I. Almena M 8.30

10 M. Livaja 1 👟 F 6.50

Bench

24

A. Sanyang 1 ⚽ 14' F 6.90

37

N. Skoko M

32

S. Hrgovic 35' D 6.60

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1

33

G 8.30

25

A. Borsic D 6.20

44

M. Barac 45' D 6.50

2

S. Lesjak 1 ⚽ D 6.00

23

D 6.50

6

D. Puclin 45' M 6.50

8 T. Duvnjak 69' M 6.90

38

I. Tavares M 6.20

22

L. Mamic 82' M 6.90

7

M. Vuk 1 👟 78' M 7.20

10 A. Latković 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

20

Gregor Sikosek D

28

I. Canjuga 27' F 6.90

13

Mario Mladenovski 48' D 6.60

24

M. Marina M

16

Novak Tepšić D

Best on the pitch

D · HNK

8.30

1 👟

· 59 pass

I. Almena

M · HNK

8.30

2 shots · 38 pass

G · NK

8.30

· 21 pass

A. Latković

F · NK

7.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 15 pass

N. Sigur

M · HNK

7.30

· 56 pass

R. Pukštas

M · HNK

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.30	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
D. Melnjak	D	61	6.70	—	—	—	23	17%	—	—	—
	D	96	8.30	—	1	—	59	56%	2	—	—
Z. Šarlija	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	29	27%	2	1	—
R. Brajkovic	D	73	6.20	—	—	—	28	23%	2	1	—
A. Pajaziti	M	96	6.90	—	—	1	68	66%	1	—	—
N. Sigur	M	96	7.30	—	—	—	56	54%	5	1	—
M. Šego	M	73	6.50	—	—	1	22	18%	1	—	—
R. Pukštas	M	82	7.30	1	—	3	19	16%	—	—	—
I. Almena	M	96	8.30	—	—	2	38	36%	1	—	—
M. Livaja	F	96	6.50	—	1	3	29	18%	1	—	—
A. Sanyang	F	14	6.90	1	—	1	3	2%	1	—	—
S. Hrgovic	D	35	6.60	—	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	8.30	—	—	—	21	19%	—	—	—
A. Borsic	D	96	6.20	—	—	1	53	44%	2	—	—
M. Barac	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	21	20%	1	—	—
S. Lesjak	D	96	6.00	1	—	—	53	46%	3	—	—
	D	96	6.50	—	—	—	46	35%	3	—	—
D. Puclin	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
T. Duvnjak	M	69	6.90	—	—	—	43	39%	2	—	—
I. Tavares	M	96	6.20	—	—	1	30	27%	3	—	—
L. Mamic	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	1	—	—
M. Vuk	M	78	7.20	—	1	—	23	21%	—	—	—
A. Latković	F	96	7.50	1	—	4	15	9%	1	—	—
I. Canjuga	F	27	6.90	—	—	—	9	8%	2	—	—
Mario Mladenovski	D	48	6.60	—	—	—	38	30%	2	—	1