✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
S. Lesjak
27'
(og)
R. Pukstas
(ast. D. Maresic)
45'+1
A. Sanyang
(ast. M. Livaja)
90'+6
21'
(ast. M. Vuk)
A. Latkovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 56% win probability (draw 24%, NK Varazdin 19%). The final result was HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Hajduk Split have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for NK Varazdin.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
3
1.28
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
6
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
3
17
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
N. Sigur
8'
R. Brajkovic
18'
21'
ast. M. Vuk ·
A. Latkovic⚽
⚽S. Lesjak
(og)
27'
Z. Sarlija
30'
⚽R. Pukstas
· ast. D. Maresic
45'+1
46'
M. Mladenovski
/
M. Barac
46'
S. Ilinkovic
/
D. Puclin
Z. Sarlija
/ R. Gabric
46'
D. Melnjak
/ S. Hrgovic
60'
69'
I. Canjuga
/
T. Duvnjak
M. Sego
/ A. Guram
72'
R. Brajkovic
/ L. Hodak
72'
77'
P. Bockaj
/
M. Vuk
R. Pukstas
/ A. Sanyang
82'
82'
Paizinho
/
L. Mamic
86'
90'+3
M. Mladenovski
⚽A. Sanyang
· ast. M. Livaja
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
56.03%
HNK ←
24.94%
X
19.02%
NK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
56.03%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.28
-0.67
1.09
1.85
+0.76
NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
17
Dario Melnjak
61'
D
Dario Melnjak
61'
D
15
1 👟
D
31
Z. Šarlija
45'
D
Z. Šarlija
45'
D
28
Roko Brajković
73'
D
Roko Brajković
73'
D
4
Adrion Pajaziti
M
8
Niko Sigur
M
Niko Sigur
M
11
M. Šego
73'
M
M. Šego
73'
M
21
R. Pukstas
1 ⚽
82'
M
30
Iker Almena
M
Iker Almena
M
10
M. Livaja
1 👟
F
M. Livaja
1 👟
F
Bench
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
1 ⚽
14'
F
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
1 ⚽
14'
F
37
N. Skoko
M
32
Šimun Hrgović
35'
D
Šimun Hrgović
35'
D
33
G
25
Antonio Boršić
D
Antonio Boršić
D
44
Mateo Barać
45'
D
Mateo Barać
45'
D
2
Sven Lesjak
1 ⚽
D
Sven Lesjak
1 ⚽
D
23
D
6
David Puclin
45'
M
David Puclin
45'
M
8
T. Duvnjak
69'
M
T. Duvnjak
69'
M
38
Iuri Tavares
M
Iuri Tavares
M
22
Luka Mamić
82'
M
Luka Mamić
82'
M
7
M. Vuk
1 👟
78'
M
10
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Gregor Sikošek
D
Gregor Sikošek
D
28
Ivan Canjuga
27'
F
Ivan Canjuga
27'
F
24
Mario Marina
M
Mario Marina
M
13
Mario Mladenovski
48'
D
Mario Mladenovski
48'
D
16
Novak Tepšić
D
Novak Tepšić
D
Best on the pitch
D · HNK
8.30
1 👟
· 59 pass
Iker Almena
M · HNK
8.30
2 shots
· 38 pass
G · NK
8.30
· 21 pass
A. Latković
F · NK
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
Niko Sigur
M · HNK
7.30
· 56 pass
R. Pukstas
M · HNK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — | |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Roko Brajković | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrion Pajaziti | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Niko Sigur | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 54% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Šego | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pukstas | M | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Iker Almena | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Livaja | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Antonio Boršić | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Barać | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Sven Lesjak | D | 96 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 53 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 3 | — | — | |
| David Puclin | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Duvnjak | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Iuri Tavares | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Luka Mamić | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vuk | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Latković | F | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Canjuga | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Mario Mladenovski | D | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
The final score was HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin.
What did the model predict before HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
The model assigned 56% probability to a HNK Hajduk Split win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an NK Varazdin win.