2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 02, 2026 13:00
P. Harres
(ast. J. Therkelsen)
31'
P. Harres
(ast. A. Bernhardsson)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Holstein Kiel a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Eintracht Braunschweig 25%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig. In 1 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Eintracht Braunschweig.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.30
Actual xG
0.54
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
4
18
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
K. Davidsen
17'
A. Kapralik
25'
⚽P. Harres
· ast. J. Therkelsen
31'
44'
F. Flick
46'
F. Di Michele Sanchez
/
L. Bell Bell
46'
L. Frenkert
/
A. Hoti
46'
F. Alidou
/
M. Aydin
63'
G. Ranos
/
L. Tempelmann
I. Ugoh
63'
I. Ugoh
/ S. Schwab
65'
67'
R. Heusser
75'
E. Yardimci
/
R. Heusser
K. Davidsen
/ A. Bernhardsson
83'
⚽P. Harres
· ast. A. Bernhardsson
87'
P. Harres
/ M. Muller
90'
F. Roslyng
/ M. Komenda
90'
J. Therkelsen
/ N. Niehoff
90'
Pre-match prediction
48.43%
Holstein ←
26.1%
X
25.48%
Eintracht
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel)
48.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.30
-0.08
0.93
0.54
-0.39
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
Marko Ivezić
D
2
F. Roslyng
D
26
D. Zec
D
D. Zec
D
23
L. Rosenboom
D
10
J. Therkelsen
1 👟
M
15
Kasper Davidsen
83'
M
28
J. Meffert
M
49
I. Ugoh
65'
M
20
A. Kapralik
M
19
P. Harres
2 ⚽
F
Bench
11
A. Bernhardsson
1 👟
11'
F
18
Aldin Jakupovic
F
25
M. Muller
4'
F
22
Stefan Schwab
29'
M
1
R. Hoffmann
G
19
L. Bell Bell
45'
D
4
A. Hoti
45'
D
21
K. Ehlers
D
8
M. Aydin
45'
D
15
Max Marie
M
6
F. Flick
M
30
R. Heusser
75'
M
44
J. Gomez
F
11
J. Mijatovic
F
20
L. Tempelmann
63'
F
Bench
9
E. Yardimci
19'
F
22
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez
49'
D
10
F. Alidou
49'
F
7
F. Kaufmann
M
25
G. Ranos
31'
F
29
L. Frenkert
49'
D
Best on the pitch
P. Harres
F · Holstein
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
J. Therkelsen
M · Holstein
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Max Marie
M · Eintracht
7.50
1 shots
· 33 pass
Marko Ivezić
D · Holstein
7.30
· 56 pass
A. Bernhardsson
F · Holstein
7.20
1 👟
· 1 pass
F. Roslyng
D · Holstein
6.90
· 51 pass
Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| Marko Ivezić | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 6 | — | — |
| F. Roslyng | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Zec | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Rosenboom | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Therkelsen | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Meffert | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ugoh | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kapralik | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Harres | F | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernhardsson | F | 11 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Muller | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Schwab | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Eintracht Braunschweig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hoffmann | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Bell Bell | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Hoti | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Ehlers | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Aydin | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Max Marie | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Flick | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Heusser | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Gomez | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mijatovic | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Tempelmann | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Yardimci | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Di Michele Sanchez | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Alidou | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Ranos | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Frenkert | D | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
The final score was Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
What did the model predict before Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Holstein Kiel win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Eintracht Braunschweig win.