2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 13:00 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

#13 · 8 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Eintracht Braunschweig

#10 · 10 pts

P. Harres (ast. J. Therkelsen) 31'

P. Harres (ast. A. Bernhardsson) 87'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Holstein Kiel a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Eintracht Braunschweig 25%). The final result was Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig. In 2 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Eintracht Braunschweig.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

3

1.30

Actual xG

0.54

3

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

4

Corners

4

18

Tackles

18

3

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

K. Davidsen

17'

A. Kapralik

25'

⚽P. Harres · ast. J. Therkelsen

31'

44'

F. Flick

46'

F. Di Michele Sanchez / L. Bell Bell ↕

46'

L. Frenkert / A. Hoti ↕

46'

F. Alidou / M. Aydin ↕

63'

G. Ranos / L. Tempelmann ↕

I. Ugoh

63'

↕ I. Ugoh / S. Schwab

65'

67'

R. Heusser

75'

E. Yardimci / R. Heusser ↕

↕ K. Davidsen / A. Bernhardsson

83'

⚽P. Harres · ast. A. Bernhardsson

87'

↕ P. Harres / M. Muller

90'

↕ F. Roslyng / M. Komenda

90'

↕ J. Therkelsen / N. Niehoff

90'

Pre-match prediction

48.43%

Holstein ←

26.1%

X

25.48%

Eintracht

we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 48.43% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Holstein

1.38

1.30

-0.08

Eintracht

0.93

0.54

-0.39

Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	9	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	9	18
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	9	18
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	16
5	1. FC Magdeburg	9	16
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	12
8	VfL Osnabrück	9	11
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	11
10	Eintracht Braunschweig	9	10
11	Energie Cottbus	9	10
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	9	9
13	Holstein Kiel	9	8
14	VfL Bochum	9	8
15	Dynamo Dresden	9	8
16	Hannover 96	9	8
17	Karlsruher SC	9	8
18	SV Darmstadt 98	9	8

Lineups

Holstein Kiel 4-5-1

1

G 6.60

6 M. Ivezić D 7.30

2 Frederik Roslyng D 6.90

26 D. Zec D 6.60

23 Lasse Rosenboom D 6.90

10 J. Therkelsen 1 👟 M 7.50

15 K. Davidsen 83' M 6.30

28 J. Meffert M 6.60

49 I. Ugoh 65' M 6.70

20 A. Kaprálik M 6.30

19 P. Harres 2 ⚽ F 8.70

Bench

11 A. Bernhardsson 1 👟 11' F 7.20

18

A. Jakupović F

25 Marcus Müller 4' F

22 S. Schwab 29' M 6.70

Eintracht Braunschweig 4-3-3

1 R. Hoffmann G 6.20

19 Leon Bell Bell 45' D 6.20

4 A. Hoti 45' D 6.20

21 K. Ehlers D 6.60

8 M. Aydın 45' D 6.00

15 Max Marie M 7.50

6 F. Flick M 6.90

30 R. Heußer 75' M 6.20

44 J. Gómez F 6.70

11 J. Mijatović F 6.90

20 L. Tempelmann 63' F 6.30

Bench

9 E. Yardımcı 19' F 6.60

10 F. Alidou 49' F 6.30

22 F. Di Michele Sanchez 49' D 6.20

7 F. Kaufmann M

25

Grant-Leon Ranos 31' F 6.20

29 L. Frenkert 49' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

P. Harres

F · Holstein

8.70

2 ⚽

2 shots · 6 pass

J. Therkelsen

M · Holstein

7.50

1 👟

2 shots · 28 pass

Max Marie

M · Eintracht

7.50

1 shots · 33 pass

M. Ivezić

D · Holstein

7.30

· 56 pass

A. Bernhardsson

F · Holstein

7.20

1 👟

· 1 pass

Frederik Roslyng

D · Holstein

6.90

· 51 pass

Holstein Kiel — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.60	—	—	—	64	43%	—	—	—
M. Ivezić	D	94	7.30	—	—	—	56	48%	6	—	—
Frederik Roslyng	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	51	44%	1	—	—
D. Zec	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	39	35%	2	—	—
Lasse Rosenboom	D	94	6.90	—	—	1	29	17%	3	—	—
J. Therkelsen	M	90	7.50	—	1	2	28	19%	1	—	—
K. Davidsen	M	83	6.30	—	—	2	27	17%	2	1	—
J. Meffert	M	94	6.60	—	—	—	34	30%	1	—	—
I. Ugoh	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	9	6%	1	1	—
A. Kaprálik	M	94	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	—	1	—
P. Harres	F	90	8.70	2	—	2	6	3%	—	—	—
A. Bernhardsson	F	11	7.20	—	1	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Marcus Müller	F	4	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
S. Schwab	M	29	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	1	—	—

Eintracht Braunschweig — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Hoffmann	G	94	6.20	—	—	—	36	29%	—	—	—
Leon Bell Bell	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
A. Hoti	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	20	16%	—	—	—
K. Ehlers	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	39	31%	3	—	—
M. Aydın	D	45	6.00	—	—	—	15	10%	3	—	—
Max Marie	M	94	7.50	—	—	1	33	28%	2	—	—
F. Flick	M	94	6.90	—	—	1	34	28%	1	1	—
R. Heußer	M	75	6.20	—	—	—	12	7%	2	1	—
J. Gómez	F	94	6.70	—	—	1	24	16%	2	—	—
J. Mijatović	F	94	6.90	—	—	1	10	7%	1	—	—
L. Tempelmann	F	63	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	2	—	—
E. Yardımcı	F	19	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
F. Alidou	F	49	6.30	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
F. Di Michele Sanchez	D	49	6.20	—	—	—	18	12%	—	—	—
Grant-Leon Ranos	F	31	6.20	—	—	1	8	4%	2	—	—
L. Frenkert	D	49	6.30	—	—	2	35	24%	—	—	—