← Liga Profesional
Liga Profesional · Apertura - Round of 16 May 10, 2026 02:30
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 30 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Union Santa Fe
#8 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independ. Rivadavia, result Union Santa Fe vince
F. Sartori 70'
34' (ast. J. Palacios) B. Cuello
49' (ast. M. Del Blanco) C. Tarragona

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Union Santa Fe 23%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
6
1.78
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
M. Pitton
34'
ast. J. Palacios · B. Cuello⚽
49'
ast. M. Del Blanco · C. Tarragona⚽
↕ M. Fernandez / G. Rios
53'
↕ E. Bonifacio / J. M. Elordi
53'
T. Bottari
56'
63'
M. Estigarribia
↕ T. Bottari / R. Atencio
64'
⚽F. Sartori
70'
75'
A. Solari / B. Cuello ↕
81'
L. Menossi / R. Profini ↕
81'
C. Corvalan / J. Palacios ↕
↕ L. Gomez / L. Costa
86'
88'
A. Colazo / M. Estigarribia ↕
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
55.29%
Independ.
20.75%
X
23.96%
Union ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Union Santa Fe) 23.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independ.
2.19
1.78
-0.41
Union
1.36
1.49
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 14 30
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 27
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 30
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 River Plate River Plate 14 26
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 26
4 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 26
5 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 14 26
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
5 Independiente Independiente 16 24
6 Lanus Lanus 16 24
6 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 24
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
7 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 24
7 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 22
8 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
8 Rosario Central Rosario Central 14 24
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
9 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 14 23
10 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 19
10 Lanus Lanus 14 22
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
11 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 19
11 Independiente Independiente 14 21
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
12 Platense Platense 16 16
12 Huracan Huracan 14 21
13 Barracas Central Barracas Central 14 20
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 16
14 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 14 20
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
14 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 15
15 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 19
15 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 11
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
16 Tigre Tigre 14 19
17 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 19
18 Racing Club Racing Club 14 19
19 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 19
20 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 17
21 Platense Platense 14 16
22 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 14 16
23 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 16
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 15
25 Banfield Banfield 14 14
26 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 13
27 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 14 10
28 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 7
29 Aldosivi Aldosivi 14 7
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 14 5
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
30 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato G 7.60
14 Luciano Gómez Luciano Gómez 86' D 6.90
42 Sheyko Studer Sheyko Studer D 6.50
40 Iván Villalba Iván Villalba D 6.70
36 Ezequiel Bonifacio Ezequiel Bonifacio 53' D 6.30
25 José Florentín José Florentín M 7.00
5 Tomas Bottari Tomas Bottari 64' M 6.30
22 S. Villa S. Villa M 7.60
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori 1 ⚽ M 6.90
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 53' M 6.30
9 A. Arce A. Arce F 6.60
Bench
13 Alejo Osella Alejo Osella D
20 Alessandro Riep Alessandro Riep M
27 Diego Crego Diego Crego M
21 Emmanuel Gómez Riga Emmanuel Gómez Riga G
11 Gonzalo Ríos Gonzalo Ríos 37' M 7.20
3 Juan Manuel Elordi Juan Manuel Elordi 37' D 6.90
32 Kevin Vázquez Kevin Vázquez M
2 Leonard Costa Leonard Costa 14' D 6.60
8 Leonel Bucca Leonel Bucca M
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio 26' F 6.90
34 Stefano Moreyra Stefano Moreyra M
7 Victorio Ramis Victorio Ramis F
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 4-4-2
21 Matías Mansilla Matías Mansilla G 6.60
11 Mateo Del Blanco Mateo Del Blanco 1 👟 D 8.20
26 Juan Pablo Ludueña Juan Pablo Ludueña D 6.90
2 Maizon Rodriguez Maizon Rodriguez D 6.30
35 Lautaro Vargas Lautaro Vargas D 6.20
22 Brahian Cuello Brahian Cuello 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.70
24 Rafael Profini Rafael Profini 81' M 7.20
30 Mauro Pittón Mauro Pittón M 6.50
20 Julián Palacios Julián Palacios 1 👟 81' M 6.70
19 Marcelo Estigarribia Marcelo Estigarribia 88' F 6.30
25 Cristian Tarragona Cristian Tarragona 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
9 Agustín Colazo Agustín Colazo 12' F 6.60
23 Augusto Solari Augusto Solari 15' M 6.20
3 Claudio Corvalán Claudio Corvalán 9' D 6.90
29 Diego Diaz Diego Diaz F
4 Emiliano Álvarez Emiliano Álvarez D
43 Emilio Giaccone Emilio Giaccone M
7 Franco Fragapane Franco Fragapane M
5 Lucas Menossi Lucas Menossi 9' M 6.90
40 Lucas Meuli Lucas Meuli G
32 Nicolás Paz Nicolás Paz D
10 Tomás Gonzalez Tomás Gonzalez F
13 Valentín Fascendini Valentín Fascendini D
Best on the pitch
Mateo Del Blanco
Mateo Del Blanco
D · Union
8.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
Brahian Cuello
Brahian Cuello
M · Union
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.60
· 19 pass
S. Villa
S. Villa
M · Independ.
7.60
· 40 pass
Cristian Tarragona
Cristian Tarragona
F · Union
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 18 pass
Gonzalo Ríos
Gonzalo Ríos
M · Independ.
7.20
· 24 pass
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 90 7.60 — — — 19 12% — — —
Luciano Gómez D 86 6.90 — — 1 35 27% — — —
Sheyko Studer D 90 6.50 — — — 44 28% — — —
Iván Villalba D 90 6.70 — — — 44 33% 1 — —
Ezequiel Bonifacio D 53 6.30 — — 1 15 13% — — —
José Florentín M 90 7.00 — — 4 55 42% 4 — —
Tomas Bottari M 64 6.30 — — — 26 23% 3 1 —
S. Villa M 90 7.60 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
F. Sartori M 90 6.90 1 — 2 8 5% — — —
M. Fernández M 53 6.30 — — — 20 13% — — —
A. Arce F 90 6.60 — — 2 31 18% — — —
Gonzalo Ríos M 37 7.20 — — — 24 21% — — —
Juan Manuel Elordi D 37 6.90 — — 2 23 14% 1 — —
Leonard Costa D 14 6.60 — — — 3 1% — — —
R. Atencio F 26 6.90 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matías Mansilla G 90 6.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
Mateo Del Blanco D 90 8.20 — 1 — 26 15% 3 — —
Juan Pablo Ludueña D 90 6.90 — — — 14 10% 2 — —
Maizon Rodriguez D 90 6.30 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Lautaro Vargas D 90 6.20 — — — 26 17% 2 — —
Brahian Cuello M 75 7.70 1 — 1 28 15% — — —
Rafael Profini M 81 7.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
Mauro Pittón M 90 6.50 — — — 25 18% — 1 —
Julián Palacios M 81 6.70 — 1 — 19 14% 3 — —
Marcelo Estigarribia F 88 6.30 — — 2 22 8% 1 1 —
Cristian Tarragona F 90 7.60 1 — 4 18 9% — — —
Agustín Colazo F 12 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Augusto Solari M 15 6.20 — — — 5 1% 1 — —
Claudio Corvalán D 9 6.90 — — — — — — — —
Lucas Menossi M 9 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 20% to a draw, and 23% to an Union Santa Fe win.