Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Independ. Rivadavia, result Union Santa Fe wins
F. Sartori
70'
34'
(ast. J. Palacios)
B. Cuello
49'
(ast. M. Del Blanco)
C. Tarragona
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Union Santa Fe 23%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
6
1.78
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
M. Pitton
34'
ast. J. Palacios ·
B. Cuello⚽
49'
ast. M. Del Blanco ·
C. Tarragona⚽
M. Fernandez
/ G. Rios
53'
E. Bonifacio
/ J. M. Elordi
53'
T. Bottari
56'
63'
M. Estigarribia
T. Bottari
/ R. Atencio
64'
⚽F. Sartori
70'
75'
A. Solari
/
B. Cuello
81'
L. Menossi
/
R. Profini
81'
C. Corvalan
/
J. Palacios
L. Gomez
/ L. Costa
86'
88'
A. Colazo
/
M. Estigarribia
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
55.29%
Independ.
20.75%
X
23.96%
Union ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Union Santa Fe)
23.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.19
1.78
-0.41
1.36
1.49
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
14
Luciano Gómez
86'
D
Luciano Gómez
86'
D
42
Sheyko Studer
D
Sheyko Studer
D
40
Iván Villalba
D
Iván Villalba
D
36
Ezequiel Bonifacio
53'
D
Ezequiel Bonifacio
53'
D
25
José Florentín
M
José Florentín
M
5
Tomás Bottari
64'
M
Tomás Bottari
64'
M
22
Sebastián Villa
M
Sebastián Villa
M
43
Fabrizio Sartori
1 ⚽
M
Fabrizio Sartori
1 ⚽
M
10
Matías Fernández
53'
M
Matías Fernández
53'
M
9
Alex Arce
F
Alex Arce
F
Bench
13
Alejo Osella
D
Alejo Osella
D
20
Alessandro Riep
M
Alessandro Riep
M
27
Diego Crego
M
Diego Crego
M
21
Emmanuel Gómez
G
Emmanuel Gómez
G
11
Gonzalo Ríos
37'
M
Gonzalo Ríos
37'
M
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
37'
D
Juan Manuel Elordi
37'
D
32
Kevin Vázquez
M
Kevin Vázquez
M
2
Leonard Costa
14'
D
Leonard Costa
14'
D
8
Leonel Bucca
M
Leonel Bucca
M
19
Rodrigo Atencio
26'
F
Rodrigo Atencio
26'
F
34
Stefano Moreyra
M
Stefano Moreyra
M
7
Victorio Ramis
F
Victorio Ramis
F
21
Matías Mansilla
G
Matías Mansilla
G
11
Mateo Del Blanco
1 👟
D
Mateo Del Blanco
1 👟
D
26
Juan Pablo Ludueña
D
Juan Pablo Ludueña
D
2
Maizon Rodriguez
D
Maizon Rodriguez
D
35
Lautaro Vargas
D
Lautaro Vargas
D
22
Brahian Cuello
1 ⚽
75'
M
Brahian Cuello
1 ⚽
75'
M
24
R. Profini
81'
M
R. Profini
81'
M
30
Mauro Pittón
M
Mauro Pittón
M
20
Julián Palacios
1 👟
81'
M
Julián Palacios
1 👟
81'
M
19
M. Estigarribia
88'
F
M. Estigarribia
88'
F
25
Cristian Tarragona
1 ⚽
F
Cristian Tarragona
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Agustín Colazo
12'
F
Agustín Colazo
12'
F
23
Augusto Solari
15'
M
Augusto Solari
15'
M
3
Claudio Corvalán
9'
D
Claudio Corvalán
9'
D
29
Diego Diaz
F
Diego Diaz
F
4
Emiliano Álvarez
D
Emiliano Álvarez
D
43
Emilio Giaccone
M
Emilio Giaccone
M
7
Franco Fragapane
M
Franco Fragapane
M
5
Lucas Menossi
9'
M
Lucas Menossi
9'
M
40
Lucas Meuli
G
Lucas Meuli
G
32
Nicolás Paz
D
Nicolás Paz
D
10
Tomás Gonzalez
F
Tomás Gonzalez
F
13
Valentín Fascendini
D
Valentín Fascendini
D
Best on the pitch
Mateo Del Blanco
D · Union
8.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
Brahian Cuello
M · Union
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.60
· 19 pass
Sebastián Villa
M · Independ.
7.60
· 40 pass
Cristian Tarragona
F · Union
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
Gonzalo Ríos
M · Independ.
7.20
· 24 pass
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Iván Villalba | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Bonifacio | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| José Florentín | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 55 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Tomás Bottari | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Villa | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabrizio Sartori | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matías Fernández | M | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alex Arce | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Ríos | M | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Elordi | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonard Costa | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Atencio | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Mansilla | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Del Blanco | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Ludueña | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Maizon Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Vargas | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Brahian Cuello | M | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Profini | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauro Pittón | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Palacios | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Estigarribia | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Tarragona | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Colazo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Augusto Solari | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Claudio Corvalán | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Menossi | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 20% to a draw, and 23% to an Union Santa Fe win.