Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Independ. Rivadavia, result Union Santa Fe wins
F. Sartori
70'
34'
(ast. J. Palacios)
B. Cuello
49'
(ast. M. Del Blanco)
C. Tarragona
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Union Santa Fe 23%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
6
1.78
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
M. Pitton
34'
ast. J. Palacios ·
B. Cuello⚽
49'
ast. M. Del Blanco ·
C. Tarragona⚽
M. Fernandez
/ G. Rios
53'
E. Bonifacio
/ J. M. Elordi
53'
T. Bottari
56'
63'
M. Estigarribia
T. Bottari
/ R. Atencio
64'
⚽F. Sartori
70'
75'
A. Solari
/
B. Cuello
81'
L. Menossi
/
R. Profini
81'
C. Corvalan
/
J. Palacios
L. Gomez
/ L. Costa
86'
88'
A. Colazo
/
M. Estigarribia
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
55.29%
Independ.
20.75%
X
23.96%
Union ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Union Santa Fe)
23.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.19
1.78
-0.41
1.36
1.49
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
14
Luciano Gómez
86'
D
Luciano Gómez
86'
D
42
Sheyko Studer
D
Sheyko Studer
D
40
I. Villalba
D
I. Villalba
D
36
E. Bonifacio
53'
D
E. Bonifacio
53'
D
25
J. Florentín
M
J. Florentín
M
5
T. Bottari
64'
M
T. Bottari
64'
M
22
S. Villa
M
S. Villa
M
43
F. Sartori
1 ⚽
M
F. Sartori
1 ⚽
M
10
M. Fernández
53'
M
M. Fernández
53'
M
9
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
Bench
20
Alessandro Riep
M
Alessandro Riep
M
13
A. Osella
D
A. Osella
D
27
D. Crego
M
D. Crego
M
21
Emmanuel Gómez
G
Emmanuel Gómez
G
11
G. Ríos
37'
M
G. Ríos
37'
M
3
J. Elordi
37'
D
J. Elordi
37'
D
32
K. Vázquez
M
K. Vázquez
M
8
L. Bucca
M
L. Bucca
M
2
L. Costa
14'
D
L. Costa
14'
D
19
R. Atencio
26'
F
R. Atencio
26'
F
34
S. Moreyra
M
S. Moreyra
M
7
V. Ramis
F
V. Ramis
F
21
M. Mansilla
G
M. Mansilla
G
11
Mateo Del Blanco
1 👟
D
Mateo Del Blanco
1 👟
D
26
J. Ludueña
D
J. Ludueña
D
2
Maizon Rodriguez
D
Maizon Rodriguez
D
35
L. Vargas
D
L. Vargas
D
22
B. Cuello
1 ⚽
75'
M
B. Cuello
1 ⚽
75'
M
24
R. Profini
81'
M
R. Profini
81'
M
30
Mauro Pittón
M
Mauro Pittón
M
20
J. Palacios
1 👟
81'
M
J. Palacios
1 👟
81'
M
19
M. Estigarribia
88'
F
M. Estigarribia
88'
F
25
C. Tarragona
1 ⚽
F
C. Tarragona
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
A. Colazo
12'
F
A. Colazo
12'
F
23
Augusto Solari
15'
M
Augusto Solari
15'
M
3
Claudio Corvalán
9'
D
Claudio Corvalán
9'
D
29
Diego Diaz
F
Diego Diaz
F
4
E. Álvarez
D
43
E. Giaccone
M
E. Giaccone
M
7
Franco Fragapane
M
Franco Fragapane
M
5
L. Menossi
9'
M
L. Menossi
9'
M
40
L. Meuli
G
L. Meuli
G
32
Nicolás Paz
D
Nicolás Paz
D
10
T. González
F
T. González
F
13
V. Fascendini
D
V. Fascendini
D
Best on the pitch
Mateo Del Blanco
D · Union
8.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Cuello
M · Union
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.60
· 19 pass
S. Villa
M · Independ.
7.60
· 40 pass
C. Tarragona
F · Union
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
G. Ríos
M · Independ.
7.20
· 24 pass
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | — | — |
| I. Villalba | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bonifacio | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 55 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Bottari | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Villa | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Sartori | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Arce | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 18% | — | — | — |
| G. Ríos | M | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Elordi | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Costa | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Atencio | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mansilla | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Del Blanco | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ludueña | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Maizon Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cuello | M | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Profini | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauro Pittón | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Palacios | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Estigarribia | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Tarragona | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Colazo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Augusto Solari | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Claudio Corvalán | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Menossi | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 Union Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 20% to a draw, and 23% to an Union Santa Fe win.