← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 2 April 16, 2026 04:00
Independiente del Valle
#2 · 7 pts
3 – 1
Final score
UCV
#3 · 6 pts
J. Alcivar 44'
C. Gonzalez 45'+5
C. Gonzalez (ast. L. Loor) 63'
21' (ast. J. Cuesta) J. Bolivar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 53% win probability (draw 23%, UCV 23%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 3–1 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UCV.

Match statistics
27
Total shots
12
13
Shots on target
3
3.54
Actual xG
1.53
1
Saves
9
67%
Possession
33%
10
Corners
2
15
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. J. Cuesta · J. Bolivar⚽
37'
J. Cuesta
⚽J. Alcivar
44'
45'+2
A. Simarra
⚽C. Gonzalez (missed pen.)
45'+5
⚽C. Gonzalez
45'+5
46'
V. Rodriguez / S. Sosa ↕
⚽C. Gonzalez · ast. L. Loor
63'
64'
Y. Murillo / J. Zapata ↕
67'
V. Rodriguez
72'
Y. Cumana / D. Carrillo ↕
72'
R. Ramirez / F. Sole ↕
↕ J. Alcivar / J. Mendez
73'
↕ A. Rodriguez / E. Pata
73'
↕ R. Briones / Y. Ochoa
73'
↕ M. Perello / D. Guagua
73'
J. Viacava
77'
↕ J. Lerma / A. Velasco
80'
83'
C. Ortiz / A. Simarra ↕
Pre-match prediction
53.08%
Independiente ←
23.66%
X
23.27%
UCV
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle) 53.08% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
2.50
3.54
+1.04
UCV
1.07
1.53
+0.46
Independiente del Valle dominated by xG (3.54 vs 1.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
1 Aldair Quintana Aldair Quintana G 6.30
19 L. Loor L. Loor 1 👟 D 7.60
23 Juan Viacava Juan Viacava 77' D 6.90
14
M. Carabajal D 8.20
13 Daykol Romero Daykol Romero D 6.70
6 Jordy Alcivar Jordy Alcivar 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.00
17 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 73' M 6.90
16 Ronald Briones Ronald Briones 73' M 7.60
53 Justin Lerma Justin Lerma 80' M 6.30
11 M. Perelló M. Perelló 73' M 7.70
9 C. González C. González 2 ⚽ F 6.60
Bench
33 Andy Velasco Andy Velasco 10' D 6.60
55 Darwin Guagua Darwin Guagua 17' M 6.90
99 D. Reasco D. Reasco F
31 Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez 17' F 6.70
32 Jhegson Méndez Jhegson Méndez 17' M 6.70
4 Jhon Espinoza Jhon Espinoza D
50 Juan Angulo Juan Angulo F
8 Youri Ochoa Youri Ochoa 17' M 6.70
UCV UCV 4-2-3-1
13
G. Schiavone G 8.00
27
D. Carrillo 72' D 6.20
19
A. Simarra 83' D 6.20
5
D 6.60
2
Kendrys Silva D 6.30
6
Francisco Solé 72' M 6.30
30
A. Gonzalez M 6.90
7 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta 1 👟 M 6.20
8
Juan Camilo Zapata 64' M 6.20
10
Samuel Sosa 45' M 6.30
11
J. Bolivar 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
57
C. Cermeno M
21
C. Ortiz 13' F 6.30
16
D. De Sousa F
14
K. Mendoza M
28
M. Ruiz D
3
R. Ramirez 18' D 6.90
17
V. Rodriguez 45' M 6.90
4
W. Velasquez D
24
Y. Cumana 18' D 6.70
9
Yeiber Murillo 26' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
J. Bolivar
F · UCV
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
M. Carabajal
D · Independiente
8.20
1 shots · 93 pass
G. Schiavone
G · UCV
8.00
· 29 pass
M. Perelló
M. Perelló
M · Independiente
7.70
1 shots · 24 pass
L. Loor
L. Loor
D · Independiente
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
Ronald Briones
Ronald Briones
M · Independiente
7.60
3 shots · 11 pass
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aldair Quintana G 90 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
L. Loor D 90 7.60 — 1 1 58 55% 2 — —
Juan Viacava D 77 6.90 — — 2 81 75% 1 — 1
M. Carabajal D 90 8.20 — — 1 93 90% 1 — —
Daykol Romero D 90 6.70 — — 1 45 41% 2 — —
Jordy Alcivar M 73 7.00 1 — 3 38 36% 1 — —
A. Rodríguez M 73 6.90 — — 4 27 22% 2 — —
Ronald Briones M 73 7.60 — — 3 11 9% 2 — —
Justin Lerma M 80 6.30 — — 2 23 23% 2 — —
M. Perelló M 73 7.70 — — 1 24 17% — — —
C. González F 90 6.60 2 — 8 7 4% 1 — —
Andy Velasco D 10 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Darwin Guagua M 17 6.90 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez F 17 6.70 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Jhegson Méndez M 17 6.70 — — — 13 13% — — —
Youri Ochoa M 17 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
UCV UCV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Schiavone G 90 8.00 — — — 29 18% — — —
D. Carrillo D 72 6.20 — — 1 13 11% — — —
A. Simarra D 83 6.20 — — — 13 9% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 19 13% 1 — —
Kendrys Silva D 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% 2 — —
Francisco Solé M 72 6.30 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
A. Gonzalez M 90 6.90 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
J. Cuesta M 90 6.20 — 1 1 15 9% — 1 —
Juan Camilo Zapata M 64 6.20 — — — 7 2% 2 — —
Samuel Sosa M 45 6.30 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
J. Bolivar F 90 8.20 1 — 3 20 11% 3 — —
C. Ortiz F 13 6.30 — — 3 1 — — — —
R. Ramirez D 18 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
V. Rodriguez M 45 6.90 — — 1 25 24% 2 1 —
Y. Cumana D 18 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
Yeiber Murillo F 26 6.90 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs UCV?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 3–1 UCV.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs UCV?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an UCV win.