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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30
Independiente Medellin
#11 · 26 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Águilas Doradas
#12 · 26 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente Medellin, result Águilas Doradas vince
D. Moreno (ast. F. Fabra) 90'+4
20' (ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez) J. Rivaldo
78' N. Lara Vasquez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Águilas Doradas 14%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
2.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez · J. Rivaldo⚽
29'
F. A. Suarez Chalare / J. Rivaldo ↕
31'
D. Hernandez / H. Lopes ↕
40'
I. Arboleda
↕ F. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
46'
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
46'
D. Londono
52'
↕ D. Londono / D. Catano
64'
66'
J. Pineda / J. Mena ↕
66'
J. Obregon / R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↕
66'
J. Roa / A. Ricaurte ↕
F. Fabra
67'
67'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
Yony Gonzalez
77'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
78'
78'
N. Lara Vasquez⚽
Yony Gonzalez
80'
Yony Gonzalez
80'
F. Fydriszewski
88'
90'+3
D. Hernandez
⚽D. Moreno · ast. F. Fabra
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
60.47%
Independiente
24.84%
X
14.69%
Águilas ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas) 14.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.46
2.49
+1.03
Águilas
0.56
0.39
-0.17
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
25
E. Chaux G 6.70
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 1 👟 D 7.30
33
D. Londono 64' D 6.20
24
J. Ortiz D 6.50
2
L. Chaverra D 6.00
16
H. Loboa 45' M 6.50
6
D. Moreno 1 ⚽ M 7.20
11
Yony Gonzalez 80' M 5.60
8
A. Serna 78' M 6.90
13
F. Chaverra 45' M 6.20
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.70
Bench
14
B. Perlaza M
10
D. Catano 26' M 6.90
31
D. Moreno 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.00
26
E. Mena Perea 45' M 6.90
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios D
20
J. Montano 45' F 7.50
5
L. Escorcia D
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 3-4-3
1
I. Arboleda G 7.60
30
N. Lara Vasquez 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3
J. Varela D 6.70
29
H. Lopes 31' D 6.90
18
A. Alvarez M 6.70
19
M 7.30
8
Andrés Ricaurte 66' M 7.20
26
D. Lozano M 6.60
32
J. Mena 66' F 6.30
9 Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.30
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez 1 👟 66' F 7.20
Bench
5
D. Hernandez 59' D 6.60
15
Fabián Suárez 61' F 7.50
16
Jaen Pineda 24' M 6.50
99
J. Obregon 24' F 6.60
25
J. Roa 24' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
I. Arboleda
G · Águilas
7.60
· 26 pass
Fabián Suárez
F · Águilas
7.50
· 13 pass
J. Montano
F · Independiente
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 47 pass
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
N. Lara Vasquez
D · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — 1 — 47 39% 2 1 —
D. Londono D 64 6.20 — — 1 43 39% — 1 —
J. Ortiz D 90 6.50 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
L. Chaverra D 90 6.00 — — 2 44 39% — — —
H. Loboa M 45 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
D. Moreno M 90 7.20 1 — 3 88 79% 2 — —
Yony Gonzalez M 80 5.60 — — 1 19 14% 1 2 1
A. Serna M 78 6.90 — — — 33 31% 1 — —
F. Chaverra M 45 6.20 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.70 — — 4 21 17% — 1 —
D. Catano M 26 6.90 — — 1 14 14% — — —
D. Moreno M 12 7.00 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
E. Mena Perea M 45 6.90 — — 1 13 12% — — —
J. Montano F 45 7.50 — — 2 10 10% 1 — —
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Arboleda G 90 7.60 — — — 26 12% — 1 —
N. Lara Vasquez D 90 7.30 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
J. Varela D 90 6.70 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
H. Lopes D 31 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Alvarez M 90 6.70 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Andrés Ricaurte M 66 7.20 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
D. Lozano M 90 6.60 — — 2 15 9% 2 — —
J. Mena F 66 6.30 — — 2 16 11% — — —
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto F 29 7.30 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
R. A. Benitez Hernandez F 66 7.20 — 1 — 10 7% 1 — —
D. Hernandez D 59 6.60 — — — 6 4% 4 1 —
Fabián Suárez F 61 7.50 — — — 13 10% 1 1 —
Jaen Pineda M 24 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
J. Obregon F 24 6.60 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
J. Roa M 24 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Águilas Doradas win.