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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Águilas Doradas
#6 · 8 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente Medellin, result Águilas Doradas wins
D. Moreno (ast. F. Fabra) 90'+4
20' (ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez) J. Rivaldo
78' N. Lara Vasquez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Águilas Doradas 14%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
2.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez · J. Rivaldo⚽
29'
F. A. Suarez Chalare / J. Rivaldo ↕
31'
D. Hernandez / H. Lopes ↕
40'
I. Arboleda
↕ F. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
46'
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
46'
D. Londono
52'
↕ D. Londono / D. Catano
64'
66'
J. Pineda / J. Mena ↕
66'
J. Obregon / R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↕
66'
J. Roa / A. Ricaurte ↕
F. Fabra
67'
67'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
Yony Gonzalez
77'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
78'
78'
N. Lara Vasquez⚽
Yony Gonzalez
80'
Yony Gonzalez
80'
F. Fydriszewski
88'
90'+3
D. Hernandez
⚽D. Moreno · ast. F. Fabra
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
60.47%
Independiente
24.84%
X
14.69%
Águilas ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas) 14.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.46
2.49
+1.03
Águilas
0.56
0.39
-0.17
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 8 20
2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 8 16
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 6 15
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 8 13
5 Millonarios Millonarios 9 13
6 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5 12
7 Llaneros Llaneros 8 11
8 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 6 10
9 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 6 10
10 Once Caldas Once Caldas 7 9
11 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 7 9
12 Cucuta Cucuta 8 9
13 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 9 8
14 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 8 8
15 Jaguares Jaguares 8 7
16 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 6 6
17 Chico Chico 6 5
18 Junior Junior 6 3
19 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 8 2
20 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 7 2
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
25 E. Chaux E. Chaux G 6.70
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 1 👟 D 7.30
33 D. Londoño D. Londoño 64' D 6.20
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.50
2 L. Chaverra L. Chaverra D 6.00
16 H. Loboa H. Loboa 45' M 6.50
6 D. Moreno D. Moreno 1 ⚽ M 7.20
11 Y. González Y. González 80' M 5.60
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 78' M 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 45' M 6.20
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.70
Bench
14 B. Perlaza B. Perlaza M
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 26' M 6.90
31 D. Moreno D. Moreno 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.00
26 E. Mena E. Mena 45' M 6.90
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios D
20 J. Montaño J. Montaño 45' F 7.50
5 L. Escorcia L. Escorcia D
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 3-4-3
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G 7.60
30 N. Lara N. Lara 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 J. Varela J. Varela D 6.70
29 Hernán Lópes Hernán Lópes 31' D 6.90
18
A. Alvarez M 6.70
19
M 7.30
8 A. Ricaurte A. Ricaurte 66' M 7.20
26 Dylan Lozano Dylan Lozano M 6.60
32 J. Mena J. Mena 66' F 6.30
9 Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.30
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez 1 👟 66' F 7.20
Bench
5
D. Hernandez 59' D 6.60
15 F. Suárez F. Suárez 61' F 7.50
16
Jaen Pineda 24' M 6.50
99 Jorge Obregón Jorge Obregón 24' F 6.60
25 Juan Camilo Roa Juan Camilo Roa 24' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
I. Arboleda
I. Arboleda
G · Águilas
7.60
· 26 pass
F. Suárez
F. Suárez
F · Águilas
7.50
· 13 pass
J. Montaño
J. Montaño
F · Independiente
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 47 pass
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
N. Lara
N. Lara
D · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — 1 — 47 39% 2 1 —
D. Londoño D 64 6.20 — — 1 43 39% — 1 —
José Ortiz D 90 6.50 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
L. Chaverra D 90 6.00 — — 2 44 39% — — —
H. Loboa M 45 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
D. Moreno M 90 7.20 1 — 3 88 79% 2 — —
Y. González M 80 5.60 — — 1 19 14% 1 2 1
Alexis Serna M 78 6.90 — — — 33 31% 1 — —
F. Chaverra M 45 6.20 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.70 — — 4 21 17% — 1 —
Daniel Cataño M 26 6.90 — — 1 14 14% — — —
D. Moreno M 12 7.00 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
E. Mena M 45 6.90 — — 1 13 12% — — —
J. Montaño F 45 7.50 — — 2 10 10% 1 — —
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Arboleda G 90 7.60 — — — 26 12% — 1 —
N. Lara D 90 7.30 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
J. Varela D 90 6.70 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Hernán Lópes D 31 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Alvarez M 90 6.70 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
A. Ricaurte M 66 7.20 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Dylan Lozano M 90 6.60 — — 2 15 9% 2 — —
J. Mena F 66 6.30 — — 2 16 11% — — —
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto F 29 7.30 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
R. A. Benitez Hernandez F 66 7.20 — 1 — 10 7% 1 — —
D. Hernandez D 59 6.60 — — — 6 4% 4 1 —
F. Suárez F 61 7.50 — — — 13 10% 1 1 —
Jaen Pineda M 24 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Jorge Obregón F 24 6.60 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Juan Camilo Roa M 24 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Águilas Doradas win.