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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Águilas Doradas
#5 · 3 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente Medellin, result Águilas Doradas wins
D. Moreno (ast. F. Fabra) 90'+4
20' (ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez) J. Rivaldo
78' N. Lara Vasquez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Águilas Doradas 14%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
2.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez · J. Rivaldo⚽
29'
F. A. Suarez Chalare / J. Rivaldo ↕
31'
D. Hernandez / H. Lopes ↕
40'
I. Arboleda
↕ F. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
46'
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
46'
D. Londono
52'
↕ D. Londono / D. Catano
64'
66'
J. Pineda / J. Mena ↕
66'
J. Obregon / R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↕
66'
J. Roa / A. Ricaurte ↕
F. Fabra
67'
67'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
Yony Gonzalez
77'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
78'
78'
N. Lara Vasquez⚽
Yony Gonzalez
80'
Yony Gonzalez
80'
F. Fydriszewski
88'
90'+3
D. Hernandez
⚽D. Moreno · ast. F. Fabra
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
60.47%
Independiente
24.84%
X
14.69%
Águilas ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas) 14.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.46
2.49
+1.03
Águilas
0.56
0.39
-0.17
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 1 3
2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1 3
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1 3
4 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1 3
5 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 1 3
6 Llaneros Llaneros 1 3
7 Chico Chico 0 0
8 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0 0
9 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0 0
10 Cucuta Cucuta 0 0
11 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0 0
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 0 0
13 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 0 0
14 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 0 0
15 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1 0
16 Junior Junior 1 0
17 Millonarios Millonarios 1 0
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1 0
19 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 1 0
20 Jaguares Jaguares 1 0
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G 6.70
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 1 👟 D 7.30
33 D. Londoño D. Londoño 64' D 6.20
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.50
2 Léyser Chaverra Léyser Chaverra D 6.00
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 45' M 6.50
6 Didier Moreno Didier Moreno M 7.20
11 Yony González Yony González 80' M 5.60
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 78' M 6.90
13 Francisco Chaverra Francisco Chaverra 45' M 6.20
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.70
Bench
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza M
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 26' M 6.90
31 Diego Moreno Diego Moreno 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.00
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena 45' M 6.90
30 Hayen Palacios Hayen Palacios D
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño 45' F 7.50
5 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia D
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 3-4-3
1 Iván Arboleda Iván Arboleda G 7.60
30
N. Lara Vasquez 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 Joaquin Varela Joaquin Varela D 6.70
29 H. Lópes H. Lópes 31' D 6.90
18
A. Alvarez M 6.70
19
M 7.30
8 Andrés Ricaurte Andrés Ricaurte 66' M 7.20
26 Dylan Lozano Dylan Lozano M 6.60
32 Javier Mena Javier Mena 66' F 6.30
9 Jorge Rivaldo Jorge Rivaldo 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.30
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez 1 👟 66' F 7.20
Bench
5
D. Hernandez 59' D 6.60
15
Fabián Suárez 61' F 7.50
16
Jaen Pineda 24' M 6.50
99 Jorge Obregón Jorge Obregón 24' F 6.60
25 Juan Camilo Roa Juan Camilo Roa 24' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Iván Arboleda
Iván Arboleda
G · Águilas
7.60
· 26 pass
Fabián Suárez
F · Águilas
7.50
· 13 pass
John Edwin Montaño
John Edwin Montaño
F · Independiente
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 47 pass
Jorge Rivaldo
Jorge Rivaldo
F · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
N. Lara Vasquez
D · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Eder Chaux G 90 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — 1 — 47 39% 2 1 —
D. Londoño D 64 6.20 — — 1 43 39% — 1 —
José Ortiz D 90 6.50 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
Léyser Chaverra D 90 6.00 — — 2 44 39% — — —
Halam Loboa M 45 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
Didier Moreno M 90 7.20 — — 3 88 79% 2 — —
Yony González M 80 5.60 — — 1 19 14% 1 2 1
Alexis Serna M 78 6.90 — — — 33 31% 1 — —
Francisco Chaverra M 45 6.20 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.70 — — 4 21 17% — 1 —
Daniel Cataño M 26 6.90 — — 1 14 14% — — —
Diego Moreno M 12 7.00 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
Esneyder Mena M 45 6.90 — — 1 13 12% — — —
John Edwin Montaño F 45 7.50 — — 2 10 10% 1 — —
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Iván Arboleda G 90 7.60 — — — 26 12% — 1 —
N. Lara Vasquez D 90 7.30 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
Joaquin Varela D 90 6.70 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
H. Lópes D 31 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Alvarez M 90 6.70 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Andrés Ricaurte M 66 7.20 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Dylan Lozano M 90 6.60 — — 2 15 9% 2 — —
Javier Mena F 66 6.30 — — 2 16 11% — — —
Jorge Rivaldo F 29 7.30 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
R. A. Benitez Hernandez F 66 7.20 — 1 — 10 7% 1 — —
D. Hernandez D 59 6.60 — — — 6 4% 4 1 —
Fabián Suárez F 61 7.50 — — — 13 10% 1 1 —
Jaen Pineda M 24 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Jorge Obregón F 24 6.60 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Juan Camilo Roa M 24 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Águilas Doradas win.