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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
Independiente Medellin
#8 · 23 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Águilas Doradas
#9 · 22 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente Medellin, result Águilas Doradas wins
D. Moreno (ast. F. Fabra) 90'+4
20' (ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez) J. Rivaldo
78' N. Lara Vasquez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Águilas Doradas 14%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
2.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. R. A. Benitez Hernandez · J. Rivaldo⚽
29'
F. A. Suarez Chalare / J. Rivaldo ↕
31'
D. Hernandez / H. Lopes ↕
40'
I. Arboleda
↕ F. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
46'
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
46'
D. Londono
52'
↕ D. Londono / D. Catano
64'
66'
J. Pineda / J. Mena ↕
66'
J. Obregon / R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↕
66'
J. Roa / A. Ricaurte ↕
F. Fabra
67'
67'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
Yony Gonzalez
77'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
78'
78'
N. Lara Vasquez⚽
Yony Gonzalez
80'
Yony Gonzalez
80'
F. Fydriszewski
88'
90'+3
D. Hernandez
⚽D. Moreno · ast. F. Fabra
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
60.47%
Independiente
24.84%
X
14.69%
Águilas ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas) 14.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.46
2.49
+1.03
Águilas
0.56
0.39
-0.17
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 16 35
2 America de Cali America de Cali 16 34
3 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 16 30
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 16 28
5 Millonarios Millonarios 16 26
6 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 15 25
7 Once Caldas Once Caldas 17 24
8 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 16 23
9 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 16 22
10 Cucuta Cucuta 16 21
11 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 16 20
12 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 17 20
13 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 16 18
14 Llaneros Llaneros 16 17
15 Junior Junior 16 16
16 Chico Chico 16 16
17 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 15 14
18 Jaguares Jaguares 15 13
19 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 16 12
20 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 15 12
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G 6.70
18 Frank Fabra Frank Fabra 1 👟 D 7.30
33 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño 64' D 6.20
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.50
2 Léyser Chaverra Léyser Chaverra D 6.00
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 45' M 6.50
6 Didier Moreno Didier Moreno M 7.20
11 Yony González Yony González 80' M 5.60
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 78' M 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 45' M 6.20
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.70
Bench
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza M
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 26' M 6.90
31 Diego Moreno Diego Moreno 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.00
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena 45' M 6.90
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios D
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño 45' F 7.50
5 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia D
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 3-4-3
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G 7.60
30 Nicolás Lara Nicolás Lara 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 Joaquin Varela Joaquin Varela D 6.70
29 Hernán Lópes Hernán Lópes 31' D 6.90
18
A. Alvarez M 6.70
19
M 7.30
8 Andrés Ricaurte Andrés Ricaurte 66' M 7.20
26 Dylan Lozano Dylan Lozano M 6.60
32 Javier Mena Javier Mena 66' F 6.30
9 Jorge Rivaldo Jorge Rivaldo 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.30
90
R. A. Benitez Hernandez 1 👟 66' F 7.20
Bench
5 D. Hernández D. Hernández 59' D 6.60
15 F. Suárez F. Suárez 61' F 7.50
16
Jaen Pineda 24' M 6.50
99 J. Obregón J. Obregón 24' F 6.60
25 Juan Camilo Roa Juan Camilo Roa 24' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
I. Arboleda
I. Arboleda
G · Águilas
7.60
· 26 pass
F. Suárez
F. Suárez
F · Águilas
7.50
· 13 pass
John Edwin Montaño
John Edwin Montaño
F · Independiente
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
Frank Fabra
Frank Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 47 pass
Jorge Rivaldo
Jorge Rivaldo
F · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Nicolás Lara
Nicolás Lara
D · Águilas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Eder Chaux G 90 6.70 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Frank Fabra D 90 7.30 — 1 — 47 39% 2 1 —
Daniel Londoño D 64 6.20 — — 1 43 39% — 1 —
José Ortiz D 90 6.50 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
Léyser Chaverra D 90 6.00 — — 2 44 39% — — —
Halam Loboa M 45 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
Didier Moreno M 90 7.20 — — 3 88 79% 2 — —
Yony González M 80 5.60 — — 1 19 14% 1 2 1
Alexis Serna M 78 6.90 — — — 33 31% 1 — —
F. Chaverra M 45 6.20 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.70 — — 4 21 17% — 1 —
Daniel Cataño M 26 6.90 — — 1 14 14% — — —
Diego Moreno M 12 7.00 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
Esneyder Mena M 45 6.90 — — 1 13 12% — — —
John Edwin Montaño F 45 7.50 — — 2 10 10% 1 — —
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Arboleda G 90 7.60 — — — 26 12% — 1 —
Nicolás Lara D 90 7.30 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
Joaquin Varela D 90 6.70 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Hernán Lópes D 31 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Alvarez M 90 6.70 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Andrés Ricaurte M 66 7.20 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Dylan Lozano M 90 6.60 — — 2 15 9% 2 — —
Javier Mena F 66 6.30 — — 2 16 11% — — —
Jorge Rivaldo F 29 7.30 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
R. A. Benitez Hernandez F 66 7.20 — 1 — 10 7% 1 — —
D. Hernández D 59 6.60 — — — 6 4% 4 1 —
F. Suárez F 61 7.50 — — — 13 10% 1 1 —
Jaen Pineda M 24 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
J. Obregón F 24 6.60 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Juan Camilo Roa M 24 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–2 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Águilas Doradas win.