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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 14 March 31, 2026 01:10
#11 · 26 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#4 · 33 pts
J. Ortiz (ast. F. Chaverra) 84'
J. Ortiz (ast. D. Catano) 89'
25' (ast. J. Lucumi) Y. Guzman

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 29%, America de Cali 26%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
5
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
ast. J. Lucumi · Y. Guzman
K. Mantilla / J. Ortiz
36'
H. Loboa / E. Larrosa
46'
47'
Rafael Carrascal
Hayen Palacios
60'
H. Palacios / D. Catano
61'
64'
J. Palacios / D. Machis
64'
Y. Garces / D. Valencia
76'
Josen Escobar
78'
Marlon Torres
D. Moreno / Yony Gonzalez
84'
L. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
84'
J. Ortiz · ast. F. Chaverra
84'
85'
D. Mina / O. Bertel
85'
J. Romero / J. Lucumi
J. Ortiz · ast. D. Catano
89'
90'+3
A. Ramos / J. Escobar
Pre-match prediction
43.64%
Independiente ←
29.91%
X
26.44%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 43.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.62
1.39
-0.23
America
0.96
0.51
-0.45
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
1
G 6.50
33
D. Londono D 7.20
4
K. Mantilla 36' D 6.30
2
L. Chaverra 84' D 6.70
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra M 6.90
31
D. Moreno 84' M 6.50
16
H. Loboa 45' M 6.90
14
B. Perlaza M 7.00
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 61' M 5.90
20
J. Montano F 6.50
13
F. Chaverra 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
10
D. Catano 1 👟 29' M 7.00
25
E. Chaux G
9
E. Larrosa 45' F 6.30
26
E. Mena Perea 14' M 6.70
24
J. Ortiz 2 ⚽ 54' M 9.60
5
L. Escorcia D
11
Yony Gonzalez 14' F 6.50
1 Jean Fernandes Jean Fernandes G 6.20
30 Omar Bertel Omar Bertel 85' D 7.00
4 Andrés Mosquera Andrés Mosquera D 7.20
2 M. Torres M. Torres D 6.30
13
M. Castillo D 6.50
11 Darwin Machís Darwin Machís 64' M 6.70
5 Josen Escobar Josen Escobar 89' M 6.20
15 Rafael Carrascal Rafael Carrascal M 6.90
17 Jan Lucumí Jan Lucumí 1 👟 85' M 6.90
9 J. Valencia J. Valencia 64' F 6.60
10
Yeison Guzmán 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
20 Adrián Ramos Adrián Ramos 1' F
3 Dany Rosero Dany Rosero D
25 Joel Romero Joel Romero 13' M 6.50
12 Jorge Soto Jorge Soto G
6 José Cavadia José Cavadia M
21 T. Ángel T. Ángel F
19 Tilman Palacios Tilman Palacios 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. Ortiz
M · Independiente
9.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 39 pass
Yeison Guzmán
F · America
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
F. Chaverra
F · Independiente
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
D. Londono
D · Independiente
7.20
· 59 pass
Andrés Mosquera
Andrés Mosquera
D · America
7.20
· 52 pass
D. Catano
M · Independiente
7.00
1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 25 16%
D. Londono D 90 7.20 59 54%
K. Mantilla D 36 6.30 15 12%
L. Chaverra D 84 6.70 45 34% 1
F. Fabra M 90 6.90 1 28 24% 1
D. Moreno M 84 6.50 1 27 25%
H. Loboa M 45 6.90 17 16%
B. Perlaza M 90 7.00 25 23% 2
H. Palacios M 61 5.90 2 8 6% 1
J. Montano F 90 6.50 1 18 13%
F. Chaverra F 90 7.70 1 2 33 28%
D. Catano M 29 7.00 1 2 19 15%
E. Larrosa F 45 6.30 1 6 4%
E. Mena Perea M 14 6.70 5 4%
J. Ortiz M 54 9.60 2 3 39 33% 1
Yony Gonzalez F 14 6.50 4 4%
America de Cali America de Cali — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jean Fernandes G 90 6.20 26 17%
Omar Bertel D 85 7.00 40 33% 2
Andrés Mosquera D 90 7.20 52 47% 1
M. Torres D 90 6.30 33 27% 1
M. Castillo D 90 6.50 1 23 17% 4
Darwin Machís M 64 6.70 1 21 20%
Josen Escobar M 89 6.20 37 32% 1
Rafael Carrascal M 90 6.90 55 50% 1 1
Jan Lucumí M 85 6.90 1 14 12% 1
J. Valencia F 64 6.60 1 10 7%
Yeison Guzmán F 90 8.20 1 2 35 31%
Adrián Ramos F 1
Joel Romero M 13 6.50 3 2%
Tilman Palacios F 26 6.30 1 8 8% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an America de Cali win.